D.J. Lagway
DJ Lagway was the No. 3 recruit in America -- a five-star arm everyone wanted. Two years later, after Florida went 4-8 and fired its coach, he's starting over at Baylor. The talent was never the question. The turnovers are.
Buzz vs Tape
Attention percentile: 88th · Production percentile: 38th
He's mentioned more than 88% of qualified QBs this season, but his production sits in just the 38th percentile — a gap of 50 points between volume and tape.
Also worth knowing:
The story
He arrived at Florida as a Five-Star Plus+, the No. 3 overall recruit in the 2024 class, and the arm was every bit as advertised. The results weren't: in 2025 he threw for 2,264 yards but 14 interceptions against 16 touchdowns -- at one point leading the nation in picks, including a five-interception night against LSU -- while fighting through shoulder and calf injuries on a team that went 4-8 and fired Billy Napier. So the five-star did what five-stars now do when it breaks: he reset. Lagway transferred to Baylor, where Dave Aranda called him a defining portal win and needs him to convert pedigree into production after a 5-7 season. The forward stakes are the oldest question in the sport, just in a new city: can a quarterback with this much arm talent finally play efficient, ball-secure football? In Waco, 2026 is the leap -- or the latest reminder that recruiting stars don't throw the passes.
Career Arc
2025 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
Splits & context
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jon Sumrall
Career stats
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 6 · 2025
W 29–21
vs Texas
298 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT · QBR 94.9
How he plays
Play style
Lagway throws with rare arm talent -- the trait that made him the No. 3 recruit in the country -- and the tape is a tug-of-war between that ceiling and his decision-making. The 2025 efficiency was genuinely poor: our play-by-play put his touchdown rate in the 12th percentile and his dropback success rate in the 36th, and the box score agrees (16 touchdowns, 14 interceptions, a five-pick game against LSU that was the most by a Florida quarterback since 1992). Some of that is volatility you can live with from a big arm; some is the kind of turnover habit that sinks seasons. Durability is part of the profile too -- a shoulder injury that limited spring work and a preseason calf strain are on the record. The honest frame: this is a high-variance gunslinger whose floor showed up more than his ceiling in 2025. Baylor is betting the arm is real and the mistakes are coachable. The film to watch in 2026 is simple -- does the interception number come down?
Our classifier reads him the same way: operates within the system without forcing anything.
2026 Outlook
Florida
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Florida
Returning around him
- 55% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 7 Florida players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -9 net (27 in / 36 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Florida · Last season: 4-8 (AP #13) · Talent rank #12 · 2026 recruiting class #17
Perception vs tape
He arrived at Florida as a Five-Star Plus+, the No. 3 overall recruit in the 2024 class, and the arm was every bit as advertised.
Read the story →DNA match
Player DNA
Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Will Levis’s 2021 season.
Differs from Will on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Arch Manning’s path through Texas.
Matches Arch on
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jayden Maiava's sophomore season at USC (2024).
Matches Jayden on
Differs from Jayden on
Player DNA
Players who play like D.J. Lagway
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2025
Peak #174
Peaked at #174 this season.
Development
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025+18%
Modest growth (18%) across the multi-season window.