CFB Zeitgeist › Fan confidence

Fan Confidence Index

The aggregate mood of college football fandom. How bullish or bearish are fans across FBS, right now?

National fan confidence
Cautious
51/100 avg FBS percentile
↑ +4.5 pts vs prior week
Coverage
9 FBS programs with enough data (≥20 mentions, most recent week)
By conference
Conference Avg confidence Score Label Coverage
Mountain West
96Very bullish2 teams
Mid-American
87Very bullish2 teams
American Athletic
85Very bullish1 teams
Conference USA
67Bullish1 teams
Sun Belt
26Pessimistic2 teams
FBS Independents
23Pessimistic1 teams
The contrarian · this week

The market expects more from UConn than their fans do right now

Vegas has them at 0.0 expected wins — 75th percentile among FBS programs. Their fans sit at just the 23rd percentile in national fan confidence. That 52-point gap between market and fanbase is the biggest in the dataset right now.
0.0 Vegas win total
23rd Fan confidence pct.
+52 Market–fan gap
UConn full profile →
Fan confidence = FBS belief percentile from r/cfb + team fan forums, most-recent week with ≥20 mentions per program. National score = weighted average by mention volume. Conference averages weighted equally (one vote per tracked team). Full methodology →