National signal
Fan Confidence Index
The aggregate mood of college football fandom. How bullish or bearish are fans across FBS, right now?
National fan confidence
Mixed
41/100 avg FBS percentile · 5 programs tracked
↓ -12.5 pts vs prior week
Coverage
5
FBS programs with sufficient data (≥20 mentions, most recent week)
By conference
The contrarian · this week
The market expects more from Sacramento State than their fans do right now
Vegas has them at 4.5 expected wins
— 100th percentile among FBS programs.
Their fans sit at just the 11th percentile in national fan confidence.
That 89-point gap between market and fanbase is the biggest in the dataset right now.
4.5
Vegas win total
11th
Fan confidence pct.
+89
Market–fan gap
Sacramento State full profile →
Fan confidence = FBS belief percentile from r/cfb + team fan forums, most-recent week with ≥20 mentions per program.
National score = weighted average by mention volume.
Conference averages weighted equally (one vote per tracked team).
Full methodology →
