National signal
Fan Confidence Index
The aggregate mood of college football fandom. How bullish or bearish are fans across FBS, right now?
National fan confidence
Cautious
48/100 avg FBS percentile · 12 programs tracked
↑ +5.6 pts vs prior week
Coverage
12
FBS programs with sufficient data (≥20 mentions, most recent week)
By conference
| Conference |
Avg confidence |
Score |
Label |
Coverage |
| Mid-American | | 70 | Bullish | 2 teams |
| Mountain West | | 47 | Cautious | 3 teams |
| FBS Independents | | 41 | Mixed | 1 teams |
| Conference USA | | 32 | Mixed | 4 teams |
| Sun Belt | | 26 | Pessimistic | 2 teams |
The contrarian · this week
The market expects more from Old Dominion than their fans do right now
Vegas has them at 7.5 expected wins
— 73rd percentile among FBS programs.
Their fans sit at just the 2nd percentile in national fan confidence.
That 71-point gap between market and fanbase is the biggest in the dataset right now.
7.5
Vegas win total
2nd
Fan confidence pct.
+71
Market–fan gap
Old Dominion full profile →
Fan confidence = FBS belief percentile from r/cfb + team fan forums, most-recent week with ≥20 mentions per program.
National score = weighted average by mention volume.
Conference averages weighted equally (one vote per tracked team).
Full methodology →
