CFB Zeitgeist Score
62
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 92nd percentile.
Aaron Turner
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Aaron Turner is a cornerstone for Rice — measured against the line he joined.
398REC YDS63REC4REC TD
TEAM RECEIVING YARDS LEADER
398
Team leader in receiving yards (398).
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Rice for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Rice
Returning around him
- 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Rice · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #106 · 2026 recruiting class #100
WR · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Aaron Turner
- 4
- #1
- 5-8 | 184 lb
- Ellicott, MD
Heisman Heat
#1048
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+72%
Up 72% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | UConn -> Cincinnati | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (398).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Aaron Turner
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Aaron Turner
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
4
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th
Why it matters
#161 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 4 TDs on 63 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 4 (70th)
HIGH · n=63 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#301 / 531
- Yards per reception#523 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 at Texas State — 1 receiving_tds
Result L 10-41
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Texas State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
398Rec yards
63Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
30.6Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
398Rec yards
63Receptions
4Rec TDs
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 63.
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Aaron Turner is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
63 96th
YDS
398 74th
YPR
6.3 11th
TD
4 86th
Rushing
CAR
50 99th
YDS
259 99th
YPC
5.2 59th
TD
3 100th
Returns
KR YDS
79 58th
KR AVG
19.8 54th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 14-12@ Louisiana | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 2 | L 9-35vs Houston | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-17vs Prairie View A&M | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 4 | W 28-17@ Charlotte | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 5 | L 13-21@ Navy | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-27vs Florida Atlantic | 5 | 50 | 10.0 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 7 | L 13-61@ UTSA | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 9 | W 37-34vs UConn | 7 | 49 | 7.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 10 | L 14-38vs Memphis | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | W 24-17vs UAB | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 13 | L 24-56vs North Texas | 8 | 58 | 7.3 | 1 | 25 | |
| Wk 14 | L 3-52@ South Florida | 7 | 99 | 14.1 | 0 | 55 | Season-high 99 yds |
| Bowl | L 10-41@ Texas State | 10 | 24 | 2.4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Total | 63 | 398 | 6.1 | 4 | 55 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021UConn1-11HC: Lou Spanos · Balanced
2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023Cincinnati3-9HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Rice | 63 | 398 | 6.3 | 4 | -- |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | 5 | 85 | 17.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Cincinnati | 11 | 89 | 8.1 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | UConn | 57 | 529 | 9.3 | 3 | -- |
| 2021 | UConn | 33 | 232 | 7.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 169 | 1,333 | 7.9 | 9 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Rice | 50 | 259 | 79 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Cincinnati | 11 | 97 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | UConn | 14 | 53 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | UConn | 1 | 22 | 130 | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 76 | 431 | 209 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 63 | #44/1110 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 398 | #288/1107 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #152/1111 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.3 | #989/1106 | 11th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 79 | #100/238 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 28.1% | #15/1137 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 259 | #5/397 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 52 | #11/346 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 50 | #5/407 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.2 | #164/393 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #2/411 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 55 | #215/1105 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 19.8 | #109/236 | 54th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 4 | #96/243 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 17.8% | #23/1137 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.2% | #19/1137 | 98th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 12.8% | #28/1137 | 98th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.6% | #147/1137 | 87th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.4% | #45/1137 | 96th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 10.3% | #57/1137 | 95th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 7.2% | #12/1137 | 99th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.10 | #5/8 | 50th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 40 weighted playsvs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 5.0 | 31.3 | 6.2 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 4.7 | 29.8 | 6.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 3.8 | 15.4 | 4.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 5.5 | 40.1 | 7.4 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 3.9 | 20.0 | 5.4 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 6.4 | 47.6 | 7.2 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
62Solid starter
Elite: rush tds (98th). Strength: rush yards (98th). Concern: yards / catch (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.1Mid (p50–p75) (n=2)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Aaron TurnerRiceDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 82% simDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 78% simHank BeattyIllinois· 77% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Slot Technician
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gavin Freeman’s 2025 season.
Gavin Freeman
73%match
#2
Hassan Beydoun
All-MAC
73%
#3
Dalen Cobb
All-Sun Belt
72%
#4
Aaron Turner
72%
#5
Myles Price
68%
Matches Gavin on
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Differs from Gavin on
Class year (higher)
Yards / reception (lower)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Rondale Moore’s path through Purdue.
Rondale Moore
99%match
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 17
#2
K.J. Franklin
99%
#3
Benjamin Omayebu
96%
#4
Kylon Harris
95%
#5
Bret Clark
94%
Matches Rondale on
Yards per reception
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Noah Whittington's graduate season at Oregon (2024).
Noah Whittington
66%match
#2
Deion Burks
All-SECNFL Rd 7
66%
#3
Josh Williams
63%
#4
TJ Sheffield
57%
#5
Rahmir Johnson
54%
Matches Noah on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate
Differs from Noah on
Reception volume (higher)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Abell
Pass share
26.0%
224 pass / 636 run
Plays / game
66.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.6%
147 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2022
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2023
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2024
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2025era →
Scott Abell
Rice
Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Bloomgren → Scott Abell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownEllicott, MD
Height5'8"
Weight184 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamRice
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Cincinnati | WR4 | #1048 | #1133 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Cincinnati | WR4 | #2070 | #2768 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | UConn | WR4 | #939 | #1257 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2021 | UConn | WR4 | #2264 | #3006 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Rice | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 5-8 | 184 lb | Ellicott, MD |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 5-8 | 184 lb | Ellicott, MD |
| 2023 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 5-8 | 184 lb | Ellicott, MD |
| 2022 | UConn | FBS Independents | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 5-8 | 184 lb | Ellicott, MD |
| 2021 | UConn | FBS Independents | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 5-8 | 184 lb | Ellicott, MD |