6dynasty move
North Texas's dynasty status climb signals new era
Eric Morris' 12-2 season vaulted North Texas into dynasty territory, but the market projects just 6 wins — a skepticism gap after a historic G5 run.
North Texas12-2CFP #25North Texas fans are split on what comes next.
belief cooled ↓ 2.0vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Mixed
52/100 · 76 mentions
~ our readGrounding
backed by facts
9% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 26 pts
~ our readThe model
#50
CFB Zeitgeist · +4.1
✓ measured6Hope-Doping·Offseason
North Texas is the program named for Joe Greene's 'Mean Green' that broke a 66-year ranking drought in 2025 — 12 wins, a poll appearance, and then the coach who built it gone to Oklahoma State before the celebration ended.
AP Top 25#23 AP
Fans note that the moment North Texas finally got good — the first ranking since 1959, 12 wins, a Burlsworth Trophy quarterback — a power-conference school simply reached down and took the coach and t…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - North Texas
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production56%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#96 nationally247 composite 569.1
Portal Additions49Primary repair: S
Portal Losses38Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#135Depth class
Sin 7 - Ja'Bree Bickhamout 4 - Quinton HammondsNeed Filled
current room: 193 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 6 - Justin Stevensonout 5 - Wyatt YoungEven
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 4 - Jahiem Whiteout 6 - Caleb HawkinsStarter Risk
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 5 - Christian Lorenzoout 4 - Ethan DayEven
current room: 263 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 5 - Zach Johnsonout 3 - Kollin LewisNeed Filled
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 5 - Curlee Thomas IVout 3 - Will SmithNeed Filled
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · at Indiana · Sat Sep 5 · 16:00 UTC
The experience
North Texas is the American Athletic program whose Joe Greene 'Mean Green' identity + Apogee Stadium + Eric Morris 2024 7-6 bowl appearance define what historic-Texas-G5-football looks like.
Offense: EliteDefense: SolidDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
North Texas Faces Mixed Roster Dynamics in 2026
The team's moderate continuity and net portal importer status suggest a balanced but unpredictable season. With 49 transfers in and 38 out, the roster overhaul could impact performance consistency.
- Roster reloadNorth Texas has 49 transfers in and 38 out, indicating a significant roster overhaul.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Scrappy the Eagle is patient.
North Texas · the story right now
14 storylines developing
What North Texas's program standing is really about
the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?
dynastythis cycle~readnew
Eric Morris' 12-2 season vaulted North Texas into dynasty territory, but the market projects just 6 wins — a skepticism gap after a historic G5 run.
what happenedNorth Texas has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 57% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 63% a year ago. ✓ fact
the contexta 22-15 record over the last three regular seasons
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle✓ factnew
Neal Brown took over as North Texas's head coach, replacing Eric Morris.
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-01-27~readnew
Eric Morris' top-2 portal class targets CB, DL, and EDGE — addressing the defensive gaps that followed key departures in a 12-2 season.
what happenedNorth Texas signed a top-29 transfer-portal class — 49 additions headlined by Tayven Jackson (QB) from UCF and Chaston Ditta (QB) from East Carolina. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Neal Brown inherits a 12-2 winning record at North Texas, but the program's lower-tier status and coordinator reshapes raise questions about sustaining the Mean Green's historic G5 identity.
what happenedNorth Texas: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
market_swing2026-07-11~readnew
Eric Morris enters his third season with a 12-2 record and a #23 AP finish, positioning North Texas to sustain its historic-Texas-G5-football identity as a rising middle-tier program.
what happenedNorth Texas win total fell from 6.5 to 5.5 (-1 wins) between Jul 10 and Jul 11, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 1.0 — crosses below bowl eligibility territory
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle✓ factnew
Caleb Hawkins does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps -- the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
narrative tension · our read
portal2025-05-06~readnew
Tayven Jackson arrives at North Texas as Eric Morris' second straight top-25 portal class aims to replace 82% of QB production after a historic 12-2 season.
what happenedNorth Texas signed a top-50 transfer-portal class — 34 additions headlined by Reese Poffenbarger (QB) from Miami and Isaiah Collins (CB) from Texas Tech. ✓ fact
the contextsecond consecutive top-30 portal class
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Ashton Gray sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Kiefer Sibley: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Tre Williams III is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Wyatt Young is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Wyatt Young: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Neal Brown's first season at North Texas follows a 12-2 record, but the program's lower-tier status and coordinator reshaping raise questions about sustaining the AP's #23 finish.
what happenedNorth Texas: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Eric Morris enters his third season with a 12-2 record and a #23 AP finish, anchoring North Texas as the historic Texas G5 program redefining its identity in Conference USA.
what happenedNorth Texas: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
ReplacedNorth Texas's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
The story
The Offseason Ledger · North Texas
6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation
Morris just dropped his win total to 5.5 and lost a key piece off a roster already thin at OT — Becks' dismissal isn't just a culture note, it's a depth problem on a team that couldn't afford one.
- News
Win total: 6.5 → 5.5 (▼1)
Win total dropped from 6.5 to 5.5 with conference peers flat — the books see something program-specific.
- Recruiting
Isaiah Rasheed commits to North Texas
The McClain connection closed this one — Rasheed's bond with the WRs coach matters when a class ranked 112th nationally needs recruits who chose the program, not just the offer.
- News
Win total (line at 5.5) still unmoved 11d after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
The market hasn't budged since "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation" broke on 2026-07-26 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.
- News
Win total (line at 5.5) still unmoved 10d after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
The market hasn't budged since "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation" broke on 2026-07-26 — either the books see it as already priced in, or this one's genuinely slipped past them.
- News
Win total (line at 5.5) — no reprice yet on "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
It's been 9d since "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation" and the line hasn't moved. Worth checking again in a few days to see if the books are just slow.
Transfer portal snapshot
-4.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: +25.0 — unweighted, no position adjustment)OT-10.5
starter risk
IOL+10.5
need not filled
CB+7.0
need not filled
TE+6.9
need not filled
LB+5.6
RB-5.6
starter risk
S+5.4
need not filled
EDGE+3.9
need not filled
QB-1.6
WR+1.5
P+1.0
low confidence
DL+0.9
K+0.0
LS+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Lathon Latiolais
#1358 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 18 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Cason Applewhite
#1976 national
★★★☆☆
Ziondre Williams
#2022 national
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
42nd percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↑
42nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
(26th among FBS)
Fans 16pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 5.5▼1 since Jul 2026
CFP championship#80 in field+50000
AAC title#9 in market+1800
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
North Texas · Next-Season Outcome Band
North Texas · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 7-6
Ceiling 9-4
floor4-8No postseason.
base7-6Bowl game.
ceiling9-4Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · North Texas · Transfer portal Confidence
North Texas signed a top-29 portal class — Tayven Jackson headlines the class. Fall camp is the real verdict.
North Texas signed a top-29 transfer-portal class — 49 additions headlined by Tayven Jackson (QB) from UCF and Chaston Ditta (QB) from East Carolina. It is a top-2 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers5 bull takes
💬 fans: 10% volume · negative overall
Developing5 new this week
todayWin total (line at 5.5) still unmoved 11d after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
yesterdayWin total (line at 5.5) still unmoved 10d after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
2 days agoWin total (line at 5.5) — no reprice yet on "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
last weekWin total (line at 5.5) holding steady right after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
last weekAmerican Conference hit hard by transfer portal after 2025 college football season; How did Mountain West compare? — Sports Illustrated
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Tayven Jackson QB · UCF
Chaston Ditta QB · East Carolina
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Eric Morris' top-2 portal class targets CB, DL, and EDGE — addressing the defensive gaps that followed key departures in a 12-2 season.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious question after any portal class isn't who signed — it's who just lost their job. Depth-chart displacement is the untold second chapter: one starter-level arrival means a returning contributor is now competing or transferring out. Watch depth-chart competition in fall camp — that's where portal classes win or lose their billing. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: North Texas signed a top-29 transfer-portal class — 49 additions headlined by Tayven Jackson (QB) from UCF and Chaston Ditta (QB) from East Carolina — a top-2 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers5 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.›
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
“Top UNT transfer additions White, Onuoha named to Shrine Bowl 1000”
KTEN · 2026-07-21 · read ↗
“North Texas bolsters defense with addition of Wagner transfer LB Jordan Johnson - Denton Record-Chronicle”
news · 2026-05-08 · read ↗
“North Texas has 52 incoming transfers for new coach after 12-win season”
Spectrum News · 2026-01-29 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards10% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (39%).›
This event was in 67 of 652 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Honestly i think im just confused about the parking portal. All of the lots near my dorm i would have to join the waitlist but dont see how far on the waitlist i am and i dont see"
r/unt ~ fan take
"I have been trying to buy a parking pass for the 2026 and 202, and I know this is a bit late but I cannot find it anywhere on the portal. Just wondering I need to go up and ask the"
r/unt ~ fan take
Board health this week (82 posts): 18% positive · 59% neutral · 23% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Following now · North Texas · Developing Confidence
North Texas: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
North Texas: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
Developing4 new this week
todayWin total (line at 5.5) still unmoved 11d after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
yesterdayWin total (line at 5.5) still unmoved 10d after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
2 days agoWin total (line at 5.5) — no reprice yet on "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
last weekWin total (line at 5.5) holding steady right after "Jayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation"
last weekJayden Becks dismissed for team rules violation — Official
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Neal Brown inherits a 12-2 winning record at North Texas, but the program's lower-tier status and coordinator reshapes raise questions about sustaining the Mean Green's historic G5 identity.
Source of record: North Texas: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“North Texas 2025 Season Rewatch: Mestemaker Leads UNT to Comeback Win Against MAC Champion Western Michigan”
Pistols Firing · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“North Texas Football 2026: Win Total, Betting Odds, Full Schedule”
betmgm.com · 2026-07-23 · read ↗
“North Texas hits the ground running on opening day of fall practice - Denton Record-Chronicle”
news · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards10% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (39%).›
This event was in 66 of 652 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"For as long as I've been a student UNT, I've once again run into trouble of being charged for something that was 100% not my fault. The first time I didn't even live at The Ridge o"
r/unt ~ fan take
"James Avery has officially released the north Texas charms there's a money clip and a Signet ring as well. Now it's our time to go and buy these products to show that we're a fan b"
GoMeanGreen ~ fan take
Board health this week (82 posts): 18% positive · 59% neutral · 23% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Warming
Four of five. The board favors this trend.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Indiana · away
Season line5.5 winsover -130
EliteSolidBend-don't-break
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
12
TX · 10CT · 1NV · 1
TX leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 3 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
77 signees across 11 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] USF Defeats North Texas 63-36
[Postgame Thread] North Texas Defeats Army 45-38 (OT)
[Postgame Thread] North Texas Defeats Navy 31-17
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Voter spread
43 of 66 AP voters have them ranked, final AP ballot (2025) — from #17, Chris Murray (Nevada Sports Net), to #25, Madison Hricik (The (Cedar Rapids) Gazette). 23 voters left them off the ballot entirely.
Individual AP Top 25 ballots, final AP ballot, 2025 — 66 voters tracked.
National spotlight
10 games with TV coverage: 1 national broadcast, 5 ESPN, 1 cable, 3 streaming
Kickoff windows: 3 noon, 3 afternoon, 4 primetime
Fumble luck
25% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~51% league baseline.
3 of 12 own fumbles recovered themselves; 12 of 17 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
36% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~19% league average.
13 interceptions of 36 disrupted passes (23 deflected, 13 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
78 penalties committed, 90 drawn on opponents — netting a 145-yard field-position edge.
637 penalty yards committed vs. 782 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on North Texas
52
Δ -2.0 vs last wk
76
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"GMG"
— North Texas fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence0 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 9 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
GGoMeanGreen
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
+0.00whole-room sentiment · warm our read
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.01 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
UUnderdog DynastyBeat · article
Ryder Burton looks to build on iconic upset as Uab’s QB1
underdogdynasty.com →How North Texas fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Die-hards+0.06
Bettors+0.05
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
388 mentions · 7 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readNorth Texas fans are leaning negative, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 82 posts from North Texas fans this week.
Fanbase divided: 44% believers, 56% skeptics
Fan opinions split nearly 50/50 right now · See all divided fanbases →
Season storylines
Week 10
“They threw zero passes between the first drive of the 2nd half and the final drive of the game. They had 65 passing yards before the final minute. Shit was insane lol”— r/CFB
Week 4
“9 total points, 13 total punts. I hope some sick bastard makes a highlight package of this game.”— r/CFB
Week 3
“The power of Friday night CFB on FOX. All three of the Friday Fox games have been good so far and next week should be good too.”— r/CFB
Week 9
“And got their first top 10 home win in 51 years in the process. Just SMU things”— r/CFB
Week 18
“They were down 30-12 late in the 3rd and never let up. All the respect to them, and I hope they get a better coach asap.”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial13 posts
Diehard fan boards16 posts
The broader fanbase3 posts
News & campus coverage5 posts
Fanbase Health Index · North Texas · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · North Texas · high confidenceGrowing (70)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 12-2 (86% win rate)85
Volume — 998 effective signal-N90
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.00 — quiet35
The Lexicon
297 posts and articles vs the field · 2025 season
unt
×64.3 the field
Signature — ≥10× the rest of college football
unt×64.3n=40
neal×112.2n=15
mestemaker×124.4n=14
Characteristic — 3–10×
mean×7.5n=20
cfp×5.0n=30
head coach×3.6n=20
head×3.1n=23
touchdown×3.5n=18
Mild — <3×
coach×2.0n=28
keep×3.0n=11
“7-0 Navy @ 7-1 UNT next week. GIVE US GAMEDAY COWARDS”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Fanbase Voice
556 fan mentions
Believers
vs the 81 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#1 / 138 · 100th pct45.1
Pts allowed/game#76 / 138 · 46th pct26.5
Total yards/gm#3 / 136 · 99th pct511.4
Rush yards/gm#17 / 136 · 88th pct194.1
Pass yards/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct317.3
Yards allowed/gm#121 / 136 · 12th pct382.1
Rush yds allowed/gm#136 / 136 · 1st pct215.9
Sacks#76 / 136 · 45th pct24
Interceptions#14 / 136 · 90th pct15
3rd-down conv#24 / 136 · 83rd pct45.9%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team7160511.4/gm7.23/play#3 / 136 · 99th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp5349382.1/gm5.39/play#121 / 136 · 12th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Rush yards
Team2718194.1/gm2.75/play#17 / 136 · 88th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp3022215.9/gm3.04/play#136 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Rush carries
Team51336.6/gm#33 / 136 · 76th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp60643.3/gm#136 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Rush TDs
Team493.5/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp282.0/gm#121 / 136 · 12th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Net pass yards
Team4442317.3/gm4.49/play#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp2327166.2/gm2.34/play#18 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team47734.1/gm#18 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp38727.6/gm#64 / 136 · 54th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Completions
Team32523.2/gm#9 / 136 · 94th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp21815.6/gm#36 / 136 · 74th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Pass TDs
Team352.5/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp161.1/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Passer rating
Team164.3164.3#5 / 136 · 97th pct#4 / 70 · 96th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp115.8115.8#18 / 136 · 88th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team90.6/gm#74 / 136 · 46th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp151.1/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Sacks (def)
Team241.7/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp181.3/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Tackles for loss
Team745.3/gm#52 / 136 · 62nd pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp543.9/gm#17 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
First downs
Team35725.5/gm#3 / 136 · 99th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp28320.2/gm#117 / 136 · 15th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
3rd-down conv
Team795.6/gm#25 / 136 · 82nd pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp866.1/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
3rd-down att
Team17212.3/gm#72 / 136 · 48th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp20314.5/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
4th-down conv
Team251.8/gm#5 / 136 · 97th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp231.6/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
4th-down att
Team362.6/gm#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#4 / 70 · 96th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp372.6/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Time of possession
Team397:2028:23/gm#45 / 136 · 68th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp442:4031:37/gm#132 / 136 · 4th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#25 / 135 · 82nd pct12/14 (85.7%)
Extra points77/77
Punting#120 / 136 · 12th pct40.5 avg · 31 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team191.4/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp282.0/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Fumbles lost
Team100.7/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp130.9/gm#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#9 / 13 · 38th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp10.1/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
INT return yards
Team23216.6/gm#15 / 136 · 90th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp14210.1/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Punt ret yds
Team987.0/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp805.7/gm#42 / 136 · 70th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#43 / 135 · 69th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct
Kick ret yds
Team54138.6/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp80457.4/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team63745.5/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp78255.9/gm#108 / 136 · 21st pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Other
Fumbles recovered#3 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct130.9/gm
H1 epa per play#3 / 162 · 99th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct0.40.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#6 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct60.4/gm
Fourth down go rate#6 / 138 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct0.60.0/gm
H2 epa per play#9 / 142 · 94th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct0.30.0/gm
Interceptions (def)#14 / 136 · 90th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct151.1/gm
Red zone pass rate#34 / 154 · 79th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#5 / 13 · 69th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct0.50.0/gm
Kick returns#40 / 136 · 71st pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct251.8/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#50 / 136 · 64th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct90.6/gm
Punt returns#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct181.3/gm
Penalties#61 / 136 · 56th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct785.6/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#75 / 167 · 56th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#6 / 13 · 62nd pct0.20.0/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#85 / 143 · 41st pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct0.20.0/gm
First down pass rate#92 / 215 · 58th pct#32 / 70 · 56th pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct0.50.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#106 / 136 · 23rd pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct906.4/gm
Recruiting rating#112 / 138 · 20th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct130.19.3/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#123 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct100.7/gm
Kick ret (opp)#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct453.2/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off45.9%#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Def42.4%#105 / 136 · 24th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
4th-down conversion
Off69.4%#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def62.2%#109 / 136 · 21st pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Turnover margin#14 / 136 · 90th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct+0.64/gm
Sack rate (def)#84 / 136 · 39th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct6.2%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team775.5/gm#1 / 167 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp443.1/gm#104 / 166 · 38th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 13 · 69th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Red zone score %
Team87.0%87.0%#26 / 167 · 85th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp84.1%84.1%#123 / 166 · 27th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Points / drive
Team3.40.2/gm#2 / 167 · 99th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp1.80.1/gm#62 / 166 · 63rd pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#5 / 13 · 69th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / drive
Team48.43.5/gm#15 / 167 · 92nd pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp38.52.7/gm#46 / 166 · 73rd pct#25 / 70 · 66th pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.60.5/gm#78 / 167 · 54th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp6.90.5/gm#141 / 166 · 16th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team6.5%6.5%#11 / 167 · 94th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp11.8%11.8%#110 / 166 · 34th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#110 / 145 · 25th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct-4.3%-4.3%
Havoc rate
Team14.1%14.1%#106 / 140 · 25th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct
Opp11.3%11.3%#13 / 140 · 91st pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct
Standard-downs success
Team56.3%56.3%#1 / 154 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp49.7%49.7%#99 / 172 · 43rd pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct
Passing-downs success
Team39.7%39.7%#5 / 153 · 97th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp31.4%31.4%#87 / 149 · 42nd pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#7 / 13 · 54th pct
Line yards / carry
Team3.63.6#2 / 143 · 99th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp3.23.2#119 / 155 · 24th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Stuff rate
Team13.3%13.3%#8 / 143 · 95th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct
Opp13.9%13.9%#134 / 155 · 14th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Power success rate
Team82.9%82.9%#8 / 137 · 95th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp74.0%74.0%#98 / 141 · 31st pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#9 / 13 · 38th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off68.1%#13 / 136 · 91st pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def56.3%#17 / 136 · 88th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Yards / attempt
Off9.3#5 / 136 · 97th pct#4 / 70 · 96th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def6.0#11 / 136 · 93rd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Yards / completion
Off13.7#11 / 136 · 93rd pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Def10.7#31 / 136 · 78th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Yards / carry#19 / 136 · 87th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct5.3
Yards / play#3 / 136 · 99th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct7.23
Scoring margin#8 / 136 · 95th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct+18.6/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Surgeon · +0.31 EPA/play | 17 | 14 | 319 / 465 | 68.6 | 4369 #1 FBS | 9.4 | 34 #2 FBS | 9 | 167.8 | 70.8 | 9.4 | 3.3 | |
Yards by week → Pocket Surgeon· Money-downHigh-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation. saves his best for the money downs All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 12 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Completion %68.8% 82th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Yards / attempt9.5 93th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.30 EPA/play | 26 | 13 | 231 | 1424 #5 FBS | 6.2 | 25 #1 FBS | 51 | 23 | 19.2 | 10.8 | 18.3 | 8.8% (37/421) | |
Yards by week → Speed MerchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 48 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry6.2 82th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate10.8% 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Caleb Hawkins's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.06 EPA/play | — | 7 | 75 | 389 | 5.2 | 5 | 27 | 11.8 | 12.3 | 9.3 | 14.7 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Makenzie McGill's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.18 EPA/play | 25 | 10 | 58 | 377 | 6.5 | 5 | 51 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 17.3 | 11.5 | — | |
Yards by week → Speed MerchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 48 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry6.7 92th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate8.6% 95th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Ashton Gray's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.31 EPA/play | 21 | 8 | 45 | 274 | 6.1 | 5 | 45 | 9.1 | 8.7 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → Speed MerchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. 48 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry6.3 80th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate11.1% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Kiefer Sibley's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.22 EPA/play | 5 | 4 | 21 | 87 | 4.1 | 2 | 16 | 6.3 | 4.8 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.63 EPA/play | 10 | 14 | 70 | 1264 #3 FBS | 18.1 | 10 #12 FBS | 84 | 10.9 | 13.8 | 22.3% (94/421) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The rare part: he takes the top off a defense — and the passing game runs through him, too 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception18.6 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume70 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 99th percentile among FBS WRs, up from the 30th | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.64 EPA/play | 4 | 14 | 55 | 886 #42 FBS | 16.1 | 8 #23 FBS | 77 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 15.7% (66/421) | |
Yards by week → Deep Threat· Boom-or-bustStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception16.6 80th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.46 EPA/play | 1 | 12 | 47 | 550 | 11.7 | 2 | 59 | 10.6 | 9.2 | 14.7% (62/421) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume47 75th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate4.3% bottom 24th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Miles Coleman's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.41 EPA/play | 22 | 13 | 34 | 449 | 13.2 | 1 | 60 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 11.9% (50/421) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2023 class View Landon Sides's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.41 EPA/play | 6 | 14 | 30 | 375 | 12.5 | 5 | 56 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 9.7% (41/421) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception12.3 65th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate16.7% 83th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| +0.54 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 11 | 184 | 16.7 | 3 | 37 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3.6% (15/421) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.14 EPA/play | 3 | 14 | 16 | 136 | 8.5 | 0 | 30 | 5 | 5.7 | 4.8% (20/421) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Return threatReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. a house-call threat every time he fields it 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.7 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score climbed from the 71st percentile to the 3rd among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| -0.15 EPA/play | 11 | 9 | 7 | 80 | 11.4 | 0 | 21 | 2.9 | 2.2 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 90 | 14 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 4.5 | 8 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate13.0% bottom 43th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 36th percentile to the 90th among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 44 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate7.8% bottom 24th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Briceon Hayes's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 40 | 13 | 31 | 17 | 9.5 | 5 | 1 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.6% 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Keviyan Huddleston's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 98 | 11 | 30 | 15 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Saadiq Clements's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 8 | 12 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 16th to 57th percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 94 | 8 | 21 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Jayden Williams's full player pageTFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 42 | 8 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.5% bottom 33th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brayden Knox's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Fatafehi Vailea's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 45 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% bottom 49th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zhaiylen Scott's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 97 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% bottom 49th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Joshua Pierce's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 93 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight307 lb 80th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Terrell Washington's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 9 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 5 of 21 games this season · senior View Jalyn Durgan's full player page | |||||||
| 95 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 32 | 14 | 113 | 59 | 54 | 9 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume113 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 61st to 87th percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 13 | 100 | 47 | 53 | 6.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume100 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate1.0% bottom 30th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 5th to 59th to 84th percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 8 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View Shane Whitter's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 19 | 6 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · senior View Kenton Allen's full player page | |||||||||
| 26 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | — | 14 | 82 | 2 | 3 #56 FBS | 3.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume82 97th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Will Jones II's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 10 | 13 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.3% bottom 31th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Patrick Smith-Young's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 11 | 11 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume54 71th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 58th percentile to the 83rd among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 1 | 13 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Perimeter TacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume48 91th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 10 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2023 class View Evan Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 2 | 14 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 3.5 | 1 |
Perimeter Tackler· Takeaway threatTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume43 84th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 35th to 89th percentile among FBS CBs | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 30 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate26.7% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View BJ Allen Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 25 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 141 of 270 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 13th to 42nd percentile among FBS CBs | |||||||
| 13 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 40 | 13 | 12/13 | 92.3 | 70/70 | 106 | 46 |
| 47 | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 7/7 | 7 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 41 | 11 | 31 | 1255 | 40.5 | 51 | 10 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.14 EPA/play | 3 | 14 | 18 | 506 | 28.1 | 0 | 61 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.46 EPA/play | 1 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | 14 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.41 EPA/play | 22 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 7.8 | 0 | 21 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Ethan Wesloski
LB
113 tot (def)
2.
Drew Mestemaker
QB
4,369 yds (pass)
3.
Wyatt Young
WR
1,264 yds (rec)
4.
Trey Fields
LB
100 tot (def)
5.
Caleb Hawkins
RB
1,424 yds (rush)
Roster
2025
28
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Caleb Hawkins
RB
#1 of 326
Wyatt Young
WR
#5 of 485
Drew Mestemaker
QB
#15 of 146
Cameron Dorner
WR
#50 of 485
Will Jones II
S
#71 of 544
Ethan Day
EDGE
#62 of 420
+22 more
North Texas · 2025 schedule & results12-2Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 53% · 3 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule. 1 ranked win banked (time-of-game rank).
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | #137 | #170 | -27.5 | Lamar | W 51–0 129 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #139 | #67 | -12.5 | @Western Michigan | W 33–30 134 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #105 | #160 | -6.5 | Washington State | W 59–10 126 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #102 | #67 | -2.5 | @Army | W 45–38 158 | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #93 | #108 | -11.5 | South Alabama | W 36–22 142 | 5-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 10 | #87 | #24 | -2.5 | South Florida | L 36–63 162 | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #90 | #29 | -3.5 | UTSA | W 55–17 138 | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | Oct 24 | #63 | #238 | -25.5 | @Charlotte | W 54–20 78 | 7-1 | 3-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #56 | #46 | -6.5 | NavyTop 25 win | W 31–17 127 | 8-1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #51 | #154 | -17.5 | @UAB | W 53–24 141 | 9-1 | 5-1 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | #42 | #154 | -18.5 | @Rice | W 56–24 129 | 10-1 | 6-1 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | #35 | #121 | -20.5 | Temple | W 52–25 134 | 11-1 | 7-1 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 15 | Dec 6 | #29 | #54 | -2.5 | @Tulane | L 21–34 142 | 11-2 | 7-2 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 18 | Dec 27 | #39 | #65 | -3 | San Diego State (N) | W 49–47 | 12-2 | 7-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | San Diego State | W 49–47 | — | — | — | +0.195 | 47.5% | 130.4% | One-score win |
| Dec 6 | @Tulane | L 21–34 | 415 | 5 | 24:52 | +0.047 | 47.8% | 121.2% | |
| Nov 28 | Temple | W 52–25 | 605 | 2 | 28:58 | +0.646 | 62.5% | 128.4% | |
| Nov 23 | @Rice | W 56–24 | 640 | 0 | 22:15 | +0.781 | 63.2% | 153.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 15 | @UAB | W 53–24 | 506 | 0 | 24:51 | +0.563 | 56.7% | 139.8% | Blowout win |
| Nov 1 | Navy | W 31–17 | 424 | 0 | 27:47 | +0.297 | 57.7% | 100.9% | |
| Oct 24 | @Charlotte | W 54–20 | 754 | 2 | 30:38 | +0.389 | 54.4% | 140.3% | Blowout win |
| Oct 18 | UTSA | W 55–17 | 584 | 0 | 33:39 | +0.457 | 46.9% | 154.0% | Blowout win |
| Oct 10 | South Florida | L 36–63 | 423 | 5 | 30:55 | +0.039 | 34.6% | 174.2% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 27 | South Alabama | W 36–22 | 435 | 1 | 27:32 | +0.337 | 47.7% | 139.9% | |
| Sep 20 | @Army | W 45–38 | 478 | 1 | 27:59 | +0.262 | 56.8% | 93.2% | One-score win |
| Sep 13 | Washington State | W 59–10 | 410 | 0 | 28:34 | +0.554 | 65.1% | 104.3% | Best success rate |
| Sep 6 | @Western Michigan | W 33–30 | 406 | 0 | 23:21 | +0.313 | 43.8% | 132.4% | One-score win |
| Aug 31 | Lamar | W 51–0 | 462 | 1 | 33:28 | +0.288 | 47.9% | 144.9% | Best defensive stand |
| Season average (14 games) | 503 | 1.3 | +0.369 | 52.3% | 132.6% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025North Texas fields an elite offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How North Texas actually scores
98th percentile quality, 7th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
North Texas's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 86th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 29th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does North Texas hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
100th percentile success on standard downs, 97th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
North Texas by half
1st-half offense ranks 99th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 94th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of North Texas's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.37; 99th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.13. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.38 raw vs. 0.09 adjusted.
North Texas reads strongest in epa / play (top 2%) and success rate (top 2%); the crux lives in rushing epa allowed, where North Texas sits at the 21st percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · North Texas
Most Similar Programs · North TexasReads Like
CharlotteTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontColorado StateTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontEast CarolinaTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · North Texas · 2018-present
Strong
63% home win rate vs 45% on the road. margin runs +9.0 better at home. DATCU Stadium seats 30,850, averaging 69% full (21,212 attendance, 25 games reported).
Home31-18Away21-25
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Caleb Hawkins and Makenzie McGill split the carries (229/303 vs 74/303) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Caleb HawkinsMakenzie McGill
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Q4, leading (competitive)
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 4 claims, 0 survived, 4 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Wyatt Young (WR) and Tre Williams III (TE) split the targets (87/125 vs 38/125) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Wyatt YoungTre Williams III
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Inside the 10
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 4 claims, 0 survived, 4 falsified
What changed
North Texas’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: co-Tommy Mainord / co-Mike Bloesch (2020–2022) → Jordan Davis (2023–2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 18 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Defense: Matt Caponi (2023–2024) → Skyler Cassity (2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved down 9 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Season by season
How North Texas’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Offense: Jordan Davis (2023–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2023: 51% → 2025: 45% · 13-pt range · #45 of 171 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2023: 51% → 2025: 45% · 7-pt range · #141 of 171 · less than most
4th-down go rate
2023: 60% → 2025: 61% · 3-pt range · #169 of 171 · less than most
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, North Texas’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.0% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 168-play sample) — mid-pack, 20 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=168 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 60.7%
Venue texture
75°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.
Based on 72 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
North Texas's 2014–2025 record is 72-78. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
323-447-12
since 1914 · 104 seasons · .413 win rate
HOME
190-127-6
AWAY
130-307-6
NEUTRAL
3-13
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
North Texas went 12-2 in 2025, cracked the AP poll for the first time since 1959, and produced a Burlsworth Trophy quarterback. Then the coach who built it left for Oklahoma State and took the quarterback with him. That is the Mean Green in one paragraph.
The name came from Joe Greene. In the late 1960s, North Texas's defense was so punishing that opponents started calling them the 'Mean Green' — and when Greene went to Pittsburgh and became 'Mean Joe Greene,' the Steelers Hall of Famer carried the Denton program's identity into the NFL's permanent vocabulary. That is the weight behind the name. Four consecutive Sun Belt championships from 2001 to 2004 under Darrell Dickey added the conference dimension. A new on-campus stadium in 2011 added a home. The ingredients for relevance were always present in the recruit-rich DFW Metroplex; what the program needed was the right coach to convert proximity to talent into production.
Eric Morris converted it. A 12-2 2025 season — 7-1 in the American — with Drew Mestemaker winning the Burlsworth Trophy and leading the FBS in passing, an AP ranking for the first time since Eisenhower was president, and an American title game berth (a 34-21 loss to Tulane) before a 49-47 New Mexico Bowl win over San Diego State. Then Morris left for Oklahoma State before the bowl game, and Mestemaker followed him to Stillwater. The program's best season in history ended with the architects walking out the door while the confetti was still in the air.
The 2026 question is the hardest one in the American Conference: can North Texas sustain a breakthrough after losing both the coach who built it and the quarterback who ran it? New staff, new signal-caller, the same DFW talent pool that Morris exploited sitting right there in the Metroplex. The fanbase believes the foundation is real. The historical precedent — programs that peak and regress when a coach leaves — cuts the other way. What 2026 will answer is which of those stories applies to Denton.
How they play
High-octane Air Raid passing under Eric Morris — North Texas's 2025 identity was wide-open, spread formations, quick reads, and Drew Mestemaker distributing the ball to skill players who created after the catch. The DFW Metroplex provides the receiver and skill-position talent to run this system at a G5 level; the question is whether the new staff installs a similar scheme or pivots toward something the next quarterback fits better. DATCU Stadium in Denton is a wind-turbine-powered on-campus venue that gave the program a home-field identity it lacked during its decades at off-campus Fouts Field.
Steady
North Texas 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (+0.15 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 2.
CFP Era · North Texas
12 seasons on file
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Season Standing · 2025 · 12-2 · CFP #25 / AP #23
Season Standing · 2025 · 12-2 · CFP #25 / AP #23Ranked (25-16)
North Texas: Ranked in the AP/Coaches polls, 16-25. National relevance achieved.
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American Athletic Standing · 2025
3rd in the American Athletic
North Texas is 3rd in the American Athletic at 7-2. 2 teams above — that's the direct path to the title game.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 8-1 |
| 2 | Tulane | 8-1 |
| 3 | North Texas | 7-2 |
| 4 | East Carolina | 6-2 |
| 5 | South Florida | 6-2 |
| 6 | Memphis | 4-4 |
| 7 | UTSA | 4-4 |
| 8 | Army | 4-5 |
| 9 | Florida Atlantic | 3-5 |
| 10 | Temple | 3-5 |
| 11 | Rice | 2-6 |
| 12 | UAB | 2-6 |
| 13 | Tulsa | 1-7 |
| 14 | Charlotte | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · North Texas
Coaching Era · North TexasNeal Brown
Neal Brown took over from Eric Morris for the 2026 season.
Era Neal Brown · 2026–presentPrev: Eric Morris (2023–2025)OC: Mike BloeschPrev OC: Jordan Davis (2023–2025)DC: co-Bradley Dale Peveto / Matt PowledgePrev DC: Skyler Cassity (2025)
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year · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Joe Greene 'Mean Green' Origin (1966-1968)
since 1966
Joe Greene — defensive tackle at North Texas 1966-1968, #4 NFL draft 1969 — was the original inspiration for the 'Mean Green' nickname. Greene's Hall of Fame NFL career (4 Super Bowls with Pittsburgh Steelers, 'Mean Joe Greene') + the Coca-Cola commercial + the retired #75 jersey make the nickname permanent program identity.
Darrell Dickey 4 Sun Belt Titles (2001-2004)
since 2001
Darrell Dickey's 2001-2004 4 consecutive Sun Belt championships + multiple bowl appearances was the program's modern peak. The era's competitive cycles + the recruiting reach into Texas + the New Orleans Bowl appearances opened the modern Sun Belt G5 ascent narrative.
Apogee Stadium 2011
since 2011
Apogee Stadium (built 2011) — North Texas's first dedicated on-campus football venue + the modern facility — replaced decades at Fouts Field. The 30,850 capacity + the LEED Platinum sustainability rating + the modern construction + the Denton setting create a venue distinct from larger flagship-state programs.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2004
Four straight Sun Belt titles
North Texas caps four consecutive conference championships under Darrell Dickey, a rare college feat
2025
Ranked for the first time since 1959
The Mean Green crack the AP poll, ending the longest active ranking drought of any FBS program
2025
Morris leaves for Oklahoma State
After the best regular season ever, head coach Eric Morris departs for a power-conference job, QB Drew Mestemaker following him
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · North Texas · 2025
Moment of the Year · North Texas · 2025Postseason · Won 49-47 at San Diego State
Week 18 of 2025. Postseason win — the season-defining moment.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2016-2025): 1-7
Most recent: 2025 — win 47-49 (away). Last 5 postseason: 1-4.
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Unit lineage
North Texas’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014 · Mike Canales2015 · Mike Canales2016–2018 · Graham Harrell2019 · Bodie Reeder / co-Tommy Mainord2020–2022 · co-Tommy Mainord / co-Mike Bloesch2023–2025 · Jordan Davis
Hired for 2026: Mike Bloesch — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014 · John Skladany2015 · Chris Cosh2016 · Mike Ekeler / co-Troy Reffett2017–2019 · Troy Reffett2020 · Clint Bowen2021 · Phil Bennett2022 · co-Jim Gush / Phil Bennett2023–2024 · Matt Caponi2025 · Skyler Cassity
Hired for 2026: co-Bradley Dale Peveto / Matt Powledge — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
Average 2025 continuity (56% back) — offense anchors it, qb room is the stress point.
The portal upgraded the S room but opened a hole at RB.
North Texas sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
r/cfb moments
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[Postgame Thread] USF Defeats North Texas 63-36
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[Postgame Thread] North Texas Defeats Army 45-38 (OT)
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[Postgame Thread] Appalachian State Defeats North Texas 56-28
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[Postgame Thread] North Texas Defeats Navy 31-17
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[Postgame Thread] SMU Defeats North Texas 65-35
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