North Texas routs Charlotte 50-10

Charlotte0-610
North Texas4-250Final
Sat, Oct 10 · DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas · Crowd 17,411ESPN+

North Texas routed Charlotte 50-10.

We had North Texas favored. It won.

Next: Charlotte beat Temple 38-31, Sat Oct 17

Next: North Texas at Navy, Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET · North Texas favored by 2.5

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave North Texas a 93% chance, and the closing betting line (North Texas was a 27.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

North Texas led by 7 after the first quarter and by 30 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+40+40
SafetyNorth Texas · Q2 6:42
FinalNorth Texas 50-10 CharlotteNorth Texas wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4North TexasWon50-10ScoresSafety
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4North TexasWon50-10ScoresSafety
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4North TexasLowest 0%Lost10-50ScoresSafety
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4North TexasLowest 0%Lost10-50ScoresSafety

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

North Texas’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (North Texas -27.5), at 97% for North Texas (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

North Texas scored on 8 of its 13 drives; Charlotte on 2 of its 13.

North Texas’s drives are teal, Charlotte’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1North Texas: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 8Field goalCharlotte: Interception, from 88 yards out to 84InterceptionNorth Texas: Touchdown, from 11 yards out to 0TouchdownCharlotte: Field goal, from 77 yards out to 28Field goalNorth Texas: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Charlotte: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNorth Texas: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownCharlotte: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntNorth Texas: Punt, from 63 yards out to 53PuntCharlotte: Safety, from 94 yards out to 100SafetyNorth Texas: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownCharlotte: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntNorth Texas: Punt, from 84 yards out to 65PuntCharlotte: Interception, from 84 yards out to 34InterceptionNorth Texas: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownCharlotte: End of half, from 75 yards out to 72End of halfQ3Charlotte: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntNorth Texas: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownCharlotte: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntNorth Texas: Punt, from 66 yards out to 55PuntCharlotte: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 31DownsNorth Texas: Turned over on downs, from 69 yards out to 42DownsCharlotte: Punt, from 58 yards out to 68PuntQ4North Texas: Field goal, from 66 yards out to 3Field goalCharlotte: Punt, from 75 yards out to 49PuntNorth Texas: End of game, from 80 yards out to 61End of game

What it cost

North Texas’s chance to win the conference rose from 13% to 14%.

Win the conference

Charlotte · lost0% → 0%
North Texas · won13% → ▲14%13%▲ 14%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

North Texas plays at Navy on Sat Oct 24 with a 14% chance to win the conference.

Box score

North Texas 50, Charlotte 10

North Texas covered −27.5 by 12.5. The total, 60, went over 58.5.

CharlotteNorth TexasTotal yardsCharlotte 274North Texas 580274580Passing yardsCharlotte 218North Texas 382218382Rushing yardsCharlotte 56North Texas 19856198First downsCharlotte 11North Texas 241124TurnoversCharlotte 2North Texas 020Time of possessionCharlotte 29:46North Texas 30:1429:4630:14
Team totalsCharlotteNorth Texas
Total yards274580
Passing15 of 23, 218 yds28 of 39, 382 yds
Rushing33 for 56 yds31 for 198 yds
First downs1124
Third down3 of 135 of 14
Fourth down0 of 22 of 3
Turnovers20
Penalties5 for 33 yds7 for 50 yds
Time of possession29:4630:14

Charlotte leaders

  • Passing Conner Harrell 15 of 22, 218 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Henry Rutledge 12 for 38 yds; D'Mariun Perteet 8 for 21 yds
  • Receiving Jaden Barnes 9 for 94 yds; Derrick Eley 2 for 79 yds, 1 TD

North Texas leaders

  • Passing Tayven Jackson 24 of 31, 349 yds, 5 TD
  • Rushing Jahiem White 12 for 105 yds, 1 TD; Brendon Haygood 7 for 35 yds
  • Receiving Justin Stevenson 9 for 122 yds, 2 TD; Baron Tipton 3 for 93 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

89° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 12 mph from the south-southeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 21

The usual here around this date is 73°, with about 7 in 10 games between 60° and 83°.

October game-day temperatures at DATCU Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4North Texas favoredCharlotte favored100%Win chanceNorth TexasRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4North Texas favoredCharlotte favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:50 left2:33 p.m.
Charlotte 0, North Texas 0 · North Texas 97% to win
no rain · wind 12 mph from the south, mostly along the field, gusts to 20 · 89°
Jackson 14-yd pass to Reese
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Denton airport, 2.4 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Charlotte · 0-5

Rated 166th in our preseason ratings, 204th now.

Three straight losses.

L 41-43 vs The Citadel #210 of 668

lost by 2 as a 20.5-point favorite

Last three games

North Texas · 3-2

Rated 135th in our preseason ratings, 76th now, up 59 spots.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

North Texas

Wk 1: L 16-52 at Indiana▼36IndianaWk 2: W 44-6 vs UNLV▲38UNLVWk 3: L 35-49 at Texas State▼14Texas St.Wk 4: W 63-14 vs Houston Christian▲49Houston…Wk 5: W 45-44 at Tulsa▲1Tulsa
  • Wk 1Lat Indiana16-52
  • Wk 2Wvs UNLV44-6
  • Wk 3Lat Texas State35-49
  • Wk 4Wvs Houston Christian63-14
  • Wk 5Wat Tulsa45-44

Charlotte

Wk 1: L 41-43 vs The Citadel▼2The Cita…Wk 2: L 9-41 at Ole Miss▼32Ole MissWk 3: L 21-26 at App State▼5App StateWk 4: L 7-34 vs Louisiana▼27LouisianaWk 5: L 8-59 vs Memphis▼51Memphis
  • Wk 1Lvs The Citadel41-43
  • Wk 2Lat Ole Miss9-41
  • Wk 3Lat App State21-26
  • Wk 4Lvs Louisiana7-34
  • Wk 5Lvs Memphis8-59

Power rating by week

North Texas is rated 8.7 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

1-4-10Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5North TexasCharlotte

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: North Texas’s EPA/play against Charlotte, 84 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. North Texas’s EPA/play against Charlotte’s defense

    84 pointsweakerstronger50th

    North Texas offense, 92nd percentile · Charlotte defense, 8th

  2. North Texas’s passing EPA against Charlotte’s defense

    84 pointsweakerstronger50th

    North Texas offense, 95th percentile · Charlotte defense, 11th

  3. North Texas’s explosive plays against Charlotte’s defense

    47 pointsweakerstronger50th

    North Texas offense, 84th percentile · Charlotte defense, 37th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

CharlotteNorth Texas
EPA/play, offense
Charlotte · 3North Texas · 92
EPA/play, defense
Charlotte · 8North Texas · 42
Success rate, offense
Charlotte · 6North Texas · 82
Success rate, defense
Charlotte · 3North Texas · 41
Explosive-play rate, offense
Charlotte · 8North Texas · 84
Explosive-play rate, defense
Charlotte · 37North Texas · 45
Rush EPA, offense
Charlotte · 0North Texas · 69
Rush EPA, defense
Charlotte · 8North Texas · 59
Pass EPA, offense
Charlotte · 16North Texas · 95
Pass EPA, defense
Charlotte · 11North Texas · 10

The series

Charlotte leads the series 2-1

3 meetings since 2019 · North Texas won the last meeting

  • 2025North Texas 54-20North Texas won 54-20 at Charlotte. Chance to win started at 93%, low 69%, high better than 99%.
  • 2020Charlotte 49-21North Texas lost 21-49 vs Charlotte. Chance to win started at 38%, low 1%, high 54%.
  • 2019Charlotte 39-38North Texas lost 38-39 at Charlotte. Chance to win started at 65%, low under 1%, high 97%.

Each line is North Texas’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

North Texas fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (77th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

50-50Model 93% · Line 99%North Texas fans ·…Charlotte fans · 23rdCharlotteNorth Texas

North Texas favored by 27.5 · Total 58.5

How games like this usually go

North Texas by 27.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Charlotte.

opened −28.5now −27.5

The total rose 1 point.

opened 57.5now 58.5

Spread: −28.5 → −27.5 · Total: 57.5 → 58.5

The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

North Texas is worth +3.8 points (±4.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 43rd percentile.

58% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (25-18 home, 22-27 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 101 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 948 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full American Athletic standings