2dynasty move
Indiana climbs into top 4% power rating, joining dynasty ranks.
Cignetti's second season arrives with a 27-10 arc and a market already pricing in 10.5 wins — the most improbable leap of the playoff era.
Indiana16-0CFP #1Latest
Indiana fans are split on what comes next.
belief cooled ↓ 3.9vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Mixed
52/100 · 812 mentions
~ our readGrounding
backed by facts
10% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 31 pts
~ our readThe model
#1
CFB Zeitgeist · +19.0
✓ measured2Hope-Doping·Offseason
Indiana is the reigning national champion — a sentence a century-long basketball school still has no muscle memory for saying.
CFP Ranking#1 CFP
The same voices who called 2024 a fluke and 2025 a soft schedule are still waiting for Indiana to fall back to earth. Cignetti's answer — roughly, 'I win, look it up' — became the fanbase's whole post…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Indiana
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production25%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#72 nationally247 composite 645.3
Portal Additions17Primary repair: S
Portal Losses16Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss8Heavy NFL Draft loss (8) — 3 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#29Development class
EDGEin 3 - Tobi Osunsanmiout 4 - Andrew DePaepeUpgrade
WRin 2 - Nick Marshout 4 - Makai JacksonStarter Risk
current room: 199 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - A.J. Harrisout 2 - Dontrae HendersonUpgrade
current room: 185 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 1 - Joe Hjelleout 2 - Hosea WheelerDowngrade
current room: 270 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 2 - Preston Zachmanout 1 - Jah Jah BoydUpgrade
IOLin 1 - Joe Brunnerout 1 - Mitch VerstegenEven
current room: 298 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Next man up
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs North Texas · Sat Sep 5 · 16:00 UTC
The experience
Indiana is the basketball school whose football team won the national championship — 16-0, the longest perfect season by a major-college champion since at least 1972 (Michigan went 15-0 in 2023), and the most-improbable dynasty origin story in modern CFB.
Offense: EliteRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlDefense: Elite
Indiana's 2026 College Football Team Faces Heavy Roster Reload and Recruitment Challenges
With a returning player total of only 25% and a heavy NFL Draft loss of 8 players, Indiana must integrate 17 new transfers and rely on a development-class recruiting cohort ranked #29.
- Roster reloadIndiana's roster faces significant turnover with only 25% of players returning and a heavy NFL Draft loss of 8 players, necessitating the integration of 17 new transfers.
- RecruitingIndiana's recruiting class is ranked #29 with a score of 226.46, indicating a development-class cohort that will need time to mature.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
The Hoosier is patient.
Indiana · the story right now
13 storylines developing
What Indiana's program standing is really about
the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?
dynastythis cycle~readnew
Cignetti's second season arrives with a 27-10 arc and a market already pricing in 10.5 wins — the most improbable leap of the playoff era.
what happenedIndiana has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 4% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 26% a year ago. ✓ fact
the contexta 27-10 record over the last three regular seasons
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Indiana enters 2025 at No. 1 in SP+ — the gap between its top ranking and #72 talent is the story Curt Cignetti must answer in the Big Ten.
what happenedIndiana enters 2025 rated No. 1 in SP+ (+32.4), up 10 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~read★new
Curt Cignetti, in his second season at Indiana, inherits a program that just went 16-0 and is still navigating the aftermath of a national championship run.
what happenedIndiana: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~read★new
Curt Cignetti's second season at Indiana follows a 16-0 perfect season, raising questions about sustaining elite performance after a historic run and a coordinator reshaping key units.
what happenedIndiana: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle✓ factnew
Charlie Becker is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
narrative tension · our read
money downthis cycle✓ factnew
Elijah Sarratt is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Elijah Sarratt is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Kaelon Black does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
narrative tension · our read
short yardagethis cycle~attributednew
Kaelon Black: a short yardage signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Omar Cooper Jr.: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Riley Nowakowski is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Roman Hemby does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
narrative tension · our read
short yardagethis cycle~attributednew
Roman Hemby converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
ReplacedIndiana's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
AnsweredIndiana's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downIndiana's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Indiana
6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- Recruiting
Top-10 QB commits to Indiana
Cignetti just dropped 8 draftees and still lands a top-10 QB — that's not rebuilding, that's a program that recruits like it already arrived.
- News
Indiana makes roster move amid eligibility fight
Federal eligibility ruling hits different when you're No. 1 in SP+ and already down 8 drafted starters — getting that defender back isn't a luxury, it's structural for a roster trying to reload at the top.
- News
Carter Smith provides injury update
Smith's health matters more than usual when Indiana's WR room is already absorbing draft-loss pressure and a #29 class hasn't proven it can plug the gap yet.
- Portal
Indiana defender enters transfer portal
One defender out the door, but with 8 draftees already gone and a #29 class still filling gaps, Cignetti's roster math is getting tested faster than the hype cycle expected.
- Recruiting
Monshun Sales commits to Indiana
Eight players drafted and a WR room under real pressure — Sales is development-class depth that matters when Cignetti's rebuilding the skill layer, not just patching it.
- Recruiting
4-star edge rusher commits to Kentucky
Losing 8 players to the draft is the kind of roster bleed that makes a #47 class feel thinner than it looks — Kentucky just beat Cignetti's room to an edge rusher Indiana probably had circled.
Transfer portal snapshot
+11.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +17.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)CB+4.7
DL-4.0
RB+3.8
low confidence
OT-3.7
low confidence
S+3.7
TE+3.7
low confidence
K+3.3
low confidence
EDGE+2.4
LS+1.0
low confidence
P+1.0
low confidence
IOL+0.9
QB+0.8
WR-0.2
starter risk
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★★☆
Gabriel Hill
#213 national
Profiles like a typical incoming interior lineman — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Two-Gap Base archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Henry Ohlinger
#264 national
★★★★☆
Kasmir Hicks
#277 national
↓
Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years
39th percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↓
39th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
10.5
Vegas O/U wins
(98th among FBS)
(98th among FBS)
Market 59pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 10.5
CFP championship#5 in field+750
Big Ten title#2 in market+240
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Indiana · Next-Season Outcome Band
Indiana · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 6-7
Base 9-4
Ceiling 11-2
floor6-7Bowl game.
base9-4Bowl game.
ceiling11-2Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Indiana · Program power Confidence
The arrow is pointing up for Indiana — the data backs it.
Indiana has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 4% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 26% a year ago. It is a 27-10 record over the last three regular seasons. A real, measurable rise in the model. The room has caught up; now the schedule has to agree.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers3 bull takes
Developing1 new this week
yesterdayIndiana makes roster move amid eligibility fight — Reported
2 weeks agoTop-10 QB commits to Indiana — Reported
2 weeks ago2027 5* WR Monshun Sales commits to Indiana — r/CFB
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Cignetti's second season arrives with a 27-10 arc and a market already pricing in 10.5 wins — the most improbable leap of the playoff era.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious consequence of climbing the power tiers is the expectation tax: the same season that looked like a breakout last year now reads as a disappointment. Watch whether the schedule lets the run actually show up on the field.
Source of record: Indiana has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 4% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 26% a year ago — a 27-10 record over the last three regular seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers3 bullish/momentum items -- the case it's working.›
The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.
“Indiana Football Opens Fall Camp Following Title: 3 Thoughts from Day 1”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Cignetti and the 2026 Big Ten's Indiana Hoosiers football team start camp, best photos - The Herald-Times”
news · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Indiana’s Curt Cignetti on Stephen Daley: ‘He’ll give it his best shot’”
The Crimson Quarry · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'wait and see' counter -- power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
Following now · Indiana · Season outlook Confidence
Indiana is in the national conversation. The model has receipts.
Indiana enters 2025 rated No. 1 in SP+ (+32.4), up 10 spots from 2024. An efficiency model in the top 10 means three straight years of elite tape. The schedule decides whether the field keeps agreeing. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers3 bull takes
💬 fans: 22% volume · negative overall
Developing1 new this week
yesterdayIndiana makes roster move amid eligibility fight — Reported
2 weeks agoTop-10 QB commits to Indiana — Reported
2 weeks ago2027 5* WR Monshun Sales commits to Indiana — r/CFB
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Indiana enters 2025 at No. 1 in SP+ — the gap between its top ranking and #72 talent is the story Curt Cignetti must answer in the Big Ten.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious read on this rating isn't the number — it's the schedule. A team at this level has 2-3 games where the model says they're overmatched, and those are the games that define the narrative. Watch whether the model holds through the first month of the schedule. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: Indiana enters 2025 rated No. 1 in SP+ (+32.4), up 10 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers3 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
“Indiana Football Opens Fall Camp Following Title: 3 Thoughts from Day 1”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Cignetti and the 2026 Big Ten's Indiana Hoosiers football team start camp, best photos - The Herald-Times”
news · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Indiana’s Curt Cignetti on Stephen Daley: ‘He’ll give it his best shot’”
The Crimson Quarry · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards22% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (67%).›
This event was in 338 of 1516 board posts (22%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Ok I see it makes you emotional. I dont care. I trust Cig on what's best for Indiana football. Send to be going well."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi! I'm an incoming Kelley Direct Admit freshman coming in with about 35 credits from AP and transfer coursework, so I've already completed most of my GenEd requirements. While pla"
r/IndianaUniversity ~ fan take
Board health this week (982 posts): 19% positive · 47% neutral · 34% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hot
Five straight. The momentum tier on every blog right now.
Streak W10Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 10-0
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs North Texas · at home
Season line10.5 winsover +100
EliteRun-heavy, ground-controlElite
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Purdue
Hopeful+12
Old Oaken Bucket
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
23
IN · 7FL · 3OH · 3GA · 2IL · 2MD · 2WI · 2KY · 1+1 more
IN leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 9 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
83 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. IN leads the pull.
Recruiting & portal buzz
Indiana QB Alberto Mendoza has entered the transfer portal
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza has declared for the NFL Draft
Indiana Wide Receiver Omar Cooper Jr has declared for the NFL Draft
Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months
Voter spread
Unanimous #1 — all 66 AP voters agree, final AP ballot (2025).
Individual AP Top 25 ballots, final AP ballot, 2025 — 66 voters tracked.
National spotlight
14 games with TV coverage: 7 national broadcast, 3 ESPN, 2 cable, 2 conference network
Kickoff windows: 4 noon, 5 afternoon, 5 primetime
Fumble luck
80% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~49% league baseline.
8 of 10 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
32% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~19% league average.
17 interceptions of 53 disrupted passes (36 deflected, 17 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
60 penalties committed, 65 drawn on opponents — netting a 118-yard field-position edge.
441 penalty yards committed vs. 559 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Indiana
52
Δ -3.9 vs last wk
812
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go IU"
— Indiana fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence1 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 12 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
How Indiana fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Rr/CFBthe room
“First I wanted to stay home, then my grandma got sick with cancer and I was like, I got to get away from here” I guess everyone handles things differently but this is a bizarre thought process
▲ 1.7k ▼open ↗
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Media−0.03
Casuals−0.07
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
1649 mentions · 5 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Fan reads
What's in the air
Indiana beat out competitive offers, including from Georgia, to land a top-tier linebacker for its 2027 class.
How will Jalaythan Mayfield's addition impact Indiana's defensive lineup in the future?
I'm surprised Shanahan hasn't been hired away from Indiana yet. I feel like he could be the next great Shanahan 😅😂YouTube · The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football Podcast
Indiana fans wonder if the program can recover from key losses after coach Curt Cignetti highlights quarterback Brendan…
How will Brendan Sorsby's NFL transition unfold?
After the actual day in court it was never in question.... The NCAA sent in lawyers unprepared and out of their depth... Sorsby hired Kessler the NCAA slayer.... And in court he came prepared and presented a fantastic case... While the NCAA law team…YouTube · Josh Pate's College Football Show
Brendan Sorsby lost me when it was discovered he bet on Indiana while there as backup QB..YouTube · Josh Pate's College Football Show
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readIndiana fans are down on the program, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 982 posts from Indiana fans this week.
What fans are saying
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
recruiting resultWidely held among fans
fans believe Fernando Mendoza was an exceptional but unlikely acquisition
This is great but Indiana still has to deal with the same things that plague everyone in college football. Roster churn. Fernando Mendoza was a steal. Lightning doesn't usually strike twice like that.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 31, 2026 · via Josh Pate's College Football Show
recruiting resultWidely held among fans
fans believe Curt Cignetti has achieved success despite poor recruiting and unconventional strategies
I would argue Indiana recruiting sucks cause even though he committed they’re still ranked 30th but they just won a natty. I simply don’t know what to say lol. Recruiting matters but somehow Cignetti go away with it. Idk if it’s sustainable long term but we’ll see.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 18, 2026 · via ESPN College Football
Season storylines
Week 5
“Bro just destroyed his fucking legacy. Now people wont remember him as a good coach but as someone that “needed” Brady”— r/CFB
Week 9
“Reminder: Paul Finebaum said on ESPN in September that he would leave this country if an SEC team does not make the championship game this year, and he will not come back until the SEC wins a championship”— r/CFB
Week 4
“That was a fantastic fucking game Anyways XII the knife fight in the dark is back this year”— r/CFB
Week 8
“Crazy how we just beat a team with a winning conference record by 50 where our defense scored as many points as they allowed and our backup was slinging TDs in the 3rd quarter and I’m thinking “man we have some things to clean up” that behavior is ridiculous for any program to…”— r/CFB
Week 10
“If they're voting before that game with two obvious candidates that's voting malpractice which is why you're exactly right and we should expect it to happen.”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial6 posts
News & campus coverage9 posts
CFB analyst takes12 posts
Bluesky · @chrisvannini.com
1d ago
Fanbase Health Index · Indiana · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Indiana · high confidenceGrowing (74)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 16-0 (100% win rate)88
Volume — 4310 effective signal-N100
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.01 — quiet35
From the booth
The Lexicon
228 posts and articles vs the field · 2026 season
Word of the Weekmonshun×73.2wk 1
cignetti
×57.6 the field
Signature — ≥10× the rest of college football
cignetti×57.6n=34
Characteristic — 3–10×
natty×4.6n=12
recruit×3.2n=15
Mild — <3×
recruiting×1.8n=24
high×2.3n=10
cfp×2.3n=10
day×2.2n=10
ranked×2.0n=12
top×1.7n=21
“The Indiana Hoosiers will return in... CFP: CIGNETTISDAY”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Fans using CIGNETTI (8 examples)
Cignetti some insane amounts of praise as if he’s already running a Dynasty. It was a legendary
Yes, before Cignetti we regularly scheduled a decent opponent. We did Missouri, Virginia, Cincinnati,
"Was making this point the other day. Cignetti purposefully keeps the regular season schedules as light as is in his power in order
Cignetti’s stated strategy, he isn’t going to look for any early world beater anyway, but
Big 10 what ifs: How many other big name teams will Cignetti and Indiana run away from???
Cignetti his flowers, but we need to pump the brakes hard on all of this. They have Josh
The Indiana Hoosiers will return in... CFP: CIGNETTISDAY
I’m really excited for 2-3 years from now when they renovate the stadium. Cignetti said “before I retire that press box has to come down.”
Fanbase Voice
1,157 fan mentions
Doomers
vs the 28 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
Season Vocabulary
2026SCHEDULE
schedulesecnattytexasosucfp
Don’t mind not playing them given their top-12 auto CFP bid crap. schedule Kentucky in this slot instead!
2025DEFENSE
defenseyardsmendozaillinoisminnesotaoffense
Wisconsin defense is looking solid, damn
Words of the season
how the conversation changed, year to year
2026
schedule×4.7sec×4.1natty×4.8texas×2.2osu×4.5
2025
defense×2.1yards×3.3mendoza×5.0illinois×3.1minnesota×8.9
Your Vocabulary Clustersales / commitment / star
salescommitmentstar
with 4 other fanbasesKey stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#2 / 138 · 99th pct41.6
Pts allowed/game#2 / 138 · 99th pct11.7
Total yards/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct456.3
Rush yards/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct217.2
Pass yards/gm#9 / 136 · 94th pct239.1
Yards allowed/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct266.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct77.2
Sacks#2 / 136 · 99th pct46
Interceptions#6 / 136 · 96th pct19
3rd-down conv#1 / 136 · 100th pct56.3%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team7301456.3/gm6.91/play#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp4256266.0/gm4.73/play#28 / 136 · 80th pct#20 / 69 · 72nd pct#7 / 18 · 67th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Rush yards
Team3475217.2/gm3.29/play#2 / 136 · 99th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp123577.2/gm1.37/play#7 / 136 · 96th pct#6 / 69 · 93rd pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Rush carries
Team65040.6/gm#3 / 136 · 99th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp41325.8/gm#18 / 136 · 88th pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#7 / 18 · 67th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Rush TDs
Team352.2/gm#8 / 136 · 95th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp80.5/gm#4 / 136 · 98th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Net pass yards
Team3826239.1/gm3.62/play#9 / 136 · 94th pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp3021188.8/gm3.36/play#100 / 136 · 27th pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#18 / 18 · 6th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Pass attempts
Team40625.4/gm#60 / 136 · 57th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#5 / 18 · 78th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp48730.4/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#18 / 18 · 6th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Completions
Team29218.2/gm#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp30218.9/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#18 / 18 · 6th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Pass TDs
Team462.9/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp100.6/gm#5 / 136 · 97th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team179.1179.1#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp118.0118.0#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#5 / 18 · 78th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team70.4/gm#97 / 136 · 29th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#11 / 18 · 44th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp191.2/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#17 / 18 · 11th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Sacks (def)
Team462.9/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Opp251.6/gm#78 / 136 · 43rd pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#11 / 18 · 44th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Tackles for loss
Team1298.1/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Opp664.1/gm#57 / 136 · 59th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#12 / 18 · 39th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
First downs
Team38023.8/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp21113.2/gm#11 / 136 · 93rd pct#8 / 69 · 90th pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
3rd-down conv
Team1127.0/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp623.9/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#5 / 18 · 78th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
3rd-down att
Team19912.4/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp20612.9/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#64 / 69 · 9th pct#17 / 18 · 11th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
4th-down conv
Team100.6/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#54 / 69 · 23rd pct#14 / 18 · 28th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp140.9/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#10 / 18 · 50th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
4th-down att
Team181.1/gm#110 / 136 · 20th pct#54 / 69 · 23rd pct#14 / 18 · 28th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp281.8/gm#77 / 136 · 44th pct#37 / 69 · 48th pct#11 / 18 · 44th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Time of possession
Team535:3933:29/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp424:0626:30/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#17 / 18 · 11th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#9 / 135 · 94th pct19/21 (90.5%)
Extra points87/87
Punting#84 / 136 · 39th pct42.5 avg · 43 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team80.5/gm#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#18 / 18 · 6th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp301.9/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#18 / 18 · 6th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Fumbles lost
Team10.1/gm#135 / 136 · 1st pct#68 / 69 · 3rd pct#18 / 18 · 6th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp110.7/gm#126 / 136 · 8th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#17 / 18 · 11th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
INT return TDs
Team20.1/gm#18 / 135 · 87th pct#12 / 69 · 84th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Opp10.1/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#11 / 18 · 44th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
INT return yards
Team1227.6/gm#64 / 136 · 54th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#7 / 18 · 67th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp1428.9/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#16 / 18 · 17th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Punt ret yds
Team41425.9/gm#6 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp1267.9/gm#79 / 136 · 43rd pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#14 / 18 · 28th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team30.2/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team20813.0/gm#119 / 136 · 13th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#15 / 18 · 22nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp70844.2/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#64 / 69 · 9th pct#16 / 18 · 17th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#6 / 18 · 72nd pct#3 / 11 · 82nd pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team44127.6/gm#129 / 136 · 6th pct#64 / 69 · 9th pct#13 / 18 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp55934.9/gm#30 / 136 · 79th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#11 / 18 · 44th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Other
Fumbles rec (def)#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct10.1/gm
Fumbles recovered#6 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct110.7/gm
Interceptions (def)#6 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct191.2/gm
H2 epa per play#7 / 142 · 96th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct0.40.0/gm
Punt returns#7 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct271.7/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#11 / 167 · 94th pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct0.10.0/gm
H1 epa per play#16 / 162 · 91st pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct0.30.0/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#23 / 136 · 84th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct70.4/gm
Penalties (opp)#29 / 136 · 79th pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#12 / 18 · 39th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct654.1/gm
Recruiting rating#47 / 138 · 67th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#14 / 18 · 28th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct201.812.6/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#52 / 143 · 64th pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#5 / 18 · 78th pct0.10.0/gm
Red zone pass rate#91 / 154 · 42nd pct#40 / 69 · 43rd pct#12 / 18 · 39th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct0.40.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#57 / 69 · 19th pct#15 / 18 · 22nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct181.1/gm
First down pass rate#106 / 215 · 51st pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#10 / 18 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct0.40.0/gm
Fourth down go rate#107 / 138 · 23rd pct#53 / 69 · 25th pct#16 / 18 · 17th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct0.30.0/gm
Penalties#114 / 136 · 17th pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#7 / 18 · 67th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct603.8/gm
Kick returns#125 / 136 · 9th pct#63 / 69 · 10th pct#16 / 18 · 17th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct100.6/gm
Kick ret (opp)#126 / 136 · 8th pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#17 / 18 · 11th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct362.2/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off56.3%#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def30.1%#8 / 136 · 95th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
4th-down conversion
Off55.6%#61 / 136 · 56th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#11 / 18 · 44th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Def50.0%#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#8 / 18 · 61st pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Turnover margin#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct+1.38/gm
Sack rate (def)#13 / 136 · 91st pct#8 / 69 · 90th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct9.4%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team654.1/gm#4 / 167 · 98th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp221.4/gm#31 / 166 · 82nd pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Red zone score %
Team81.5%81.5%#65 / 167 · 62nd pct#35 / 69 · 51st pct#9 / 18 · 56th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp77.3%77.3%#71 / 166 · 58th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#9 / 18 · 56th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Points / drive
Team3.20.2/gm#6 / 167 · 97th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp0.90.1/gm#4 / 166 · 98th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Yards / drive
Team49.53.1/gm#8 / 167 · 96th pct#8 / 69 · 90th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp32.72.0/gm#8 / 166 · 96th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.70.4/gm#63 / 167 · 63rd pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#10 / 18 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp5.80.4/gm#9 / 166 · 95th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Three-and-out rate
Team8.3%8.3%#27 / 167 · 84th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#5 / 18 · 78th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp17.8%17.8%#27 / 166 · 84th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#39 / 145 · 74th pct#10 / 69 · 87th pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct+3.7%+3.7%
Havoc rate
Team24.4%24.4%#1 / 140 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct
Opp11.3%11.3%#14 / 140 · 91st pct#6 / 69 · 93rd pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct
Standard-downs success
Team55.3%55.3%#6 / 154 · 97th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct
Opp40.1%40.1%#6 / 172 · 97th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct
Passing-downs success
Team40.8%40.8%#4 / 153 · 98th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct
Opp28.4%28.4%#41 / 149 · 73rd pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct
Line yards / carry
Team3.23.2#19 / 143 · 87th pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct
Opp2.12.1#3 / 155 · 99th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct
Stuff rate
Team15.0%15.0%#19 / 143 · 87th pct#10 / 69 · 87th pct#4 / 18 · 83rd pct
Opp30.3%30.3%#2 / 155 · 99th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct
Power success rate
Team66.7%66.7%#88 / 137 · 36th pct#46 / 69 · 35th pct#13 / 18 · 33rd pct
Opp54.8%54.8%#11 / 141 · 93rd pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off71.9%#2 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def62.0%#70 / 136 · 49th pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#6 / 18 · 72nd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Yards / attempt
Off9.4#3 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def6.2#21 / 136 · 85th pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#5 / 18 · 78th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / completion
Off13.1#23 / 136 · 84th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Def10.0#5 / 136 · 97th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / carry#16 / 136 · 89th pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#3 / 18 · 89th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct5.3
Yards / play#9 / 136 · 94th pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#2 / 18 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct6.91
Scoring margin#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 18 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct+29.9/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Surgeon · +0.50 EPA/play | 15 | 16 | 273 / 379 | 72.0 | 3535 #15 FBS | 9.3 | 41 #1 FBS | 6 | 182.9 | 85.9 | 9.9 | 5.5 | |
Yards by week → Pocket Surgeon· Money-downHigh-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation. National Player-of-the-Year / Heisman winner — the season's defining player. The rare part: he puts it wherever he wants — and he finds the end zone, too 12 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Completion %75.2% 98th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts TD rate10.8% 100th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 70th to 99th percentile among FBS QBs | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 8 | 18 / 24 | 75 | 286 | 11.9 | 5 | 1 | 235.5 | 93.3 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.05 EPA/play | 1 | 16 | 230 | 1120 #25 FBS | 4.9 | 7 | 82 | 14.5 | 16.2 | 12.8 | 10.1 | 5.2% (19/364) | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 16 of 21 games this season · senior View Roman Hemby's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.10 EPA/play | 8 | 16 | 187 | 1039 #35 FBS | 5.6 | 10 #46 FBS | 40 | 13.4 | 14.1 | 15.9 | 12.6 | — | |
Yards by week → Speed MerchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 48 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry6.5 86th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share2.1% bottom 7th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 20th percentile among FBS RBs to the 88th | |||||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.07 EPA/play | 28 | 11 | 77 | 506 | 6.6 | 6 | 36 | 2.7 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 20 | — | |
Yards by week → Speed MerchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 48 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry7.0 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share1.3% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Khobie Martin's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.23 EPA/play | 29 | 3 | 27 | 209 | 7.7 | 1 | 24 | 11.8 | 2.7 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.69 EPA/play | 3 | 15 | 70 | 961 #28 FBS | 13.7 | 13 #3 FBS | 58 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 23.4% (85/364) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume70 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)52.6 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 28th to 70th to 98th percentile among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.72 EPA/play | 13 | 13 | 64 | 806 #68 FBS | 12.6 | 15 #1 FBS | 49 | 14.7 | 12.7 | 22.8% (83/364) | |
Yards by week → Jump-Ball TargetWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The rare part: he finds the end zone — and every touch moves the offense, too 29 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TD rate23.4% 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)52.0 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +1.10 EPA/play | 80 | 14 | 34 | 679 | 20.0 | 4 | 53 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 12.1% (44/364) | |
Yards by week → Deep Threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception21.2 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Charlie Becker's full player page | |||||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.57 EPA/play | 7 | 13 | 36 | 438 | 12.2 | 6 #62 FBS | 62 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 12.9% (47/364) | |
Yards by week → Jump-Ball Target· Boom-or-bustWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 29 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TD rate16.7% 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.6 63th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View E.J. Williams Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.74 EPA/play | 37 | 14 | 32 | 387 | 12.1 | 2 | 43 | 3.6 | 5 | 9.9% (36/364) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.7 74th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume32 80th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 82nd percentile among FBS TEs, up from the 4th | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.76 EPA/play | — | 13 | 14 | 115 | 8.2 | 3 | 16 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.1% (15/364) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Return threatReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. a house-call threat every time he fields it All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.0 bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate21.4% 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint View Jonathan Brady's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.80 EPA/play | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 8.9 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.08 EPA/play | 6 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 0 | 14 | 1.7 | 3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 95 | 15 | 38 | 17 | 11.5 #62 FBS | 6 #74 FBS | 3 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.3% 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 98th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 55th | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 8 | 13 | 35 | 24 | 19 #3 FBS | 5.5 | 5 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate54.3% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Stephen Daley's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 6 | 15 | 34 | 12 | 7.5 | 2 | 4 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.1% 78th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 97 | 14 | 32 | 14 | 6.5 | 5 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.3% 72th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 93rd percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 14th | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | — | 13 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior our readFading: his CFB Index score climbed from the 92nd percentile to the 64th among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 13 | 7 | 28 | 12 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.4% 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score moved from the 59th to 16th percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 17 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.4% 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Daniel Ndukwe's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 91 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.5 | 0 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate38.5% 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 27th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 66th | |||||||
| 18 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | 21 | 16 | 103 | 48 | 55 | 15 #21 FBS | 8 #27 FBS | 5 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.9% 79th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume103 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 57th to 99th percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 4 | 15 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. All-American — named 1st team by at least one NCAA-recognized selector. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume95 94th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate1.1% bottom 30th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 83rd percentile among FBS LBs to the 97th | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 46 | 16 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 14.5 #25 FBS | 7 #39 FBS | 2 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume78 83th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate18.6% 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 29th percentile among FBS LBs to the 98th | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 34 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume16 bottom 11th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeff Utzinger's full player page | |||||||||
| 14 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 7 | 16 | 90 | 3 | 5 #6 FBS | 2.5 | 0 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way National watch / fringe All-American — on the edge of a 1st-team nod. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.3% bottom 27th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readBounce-Back: his CFB Index score shows a real arc: 89th percentile among FBS Ss, fell to 39th, now back up to 96th | |||||||
| Rover | 12 | 16 | 60 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.3% 51th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Devan Boykin's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 5 | 15 | 60 | 10 #20 FBS | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way All-American — named 1st team by at least one NCAA-recognized selector. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate16.7% 88th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View D'Angelo Ponds's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 22 | 15 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 63th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jamari Sharpe's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 1 | 16 | 48 | 6 | 4 #23 FBS | 2 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Amare Ferrell's full player page | |||||||
| 10 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automatic | 15 | 16 | 17/18 | 94.4 | 87/87 | 138 | 46 |
| 35 | 2 | 2/3 | 66.7 | 0/0 | 6 | 58 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 44 | 12 | 37 | 1541 | 41.6 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.05 EPA/play | 1 | 16 | 9 | 203 | 22.6 | 0 | 34 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.76 EPA/play | — | 13 | 21 | 347 | 16.5 | 1 | 91 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Rolijah Hardy
LB
103 tot (def)
2.
Louis Moore
DB
90.0 tot (def)
3.
Isaiah Jones
LB
78.0 tot (def)
4.
Roman Hemby
RB
1,120 yds (rush)
5.
Devan Boykin
DB
60.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
24
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Rolijah Hardy
LB
#6 of 583
Fernando Mendoza
QB
#3 of 146
Isaiah Jones
LB
#12 of 583
Omar Cooper Jr.
WR
#13 of 485
Aiden Fisher
LB
#21 of 583
Louis Moore
S
#20 of 544
+18 more
Indiana · 2025 schedule & results16-0Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 55% · 6 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule. 3 ranked wins banked (time-of-game rank).
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #32 | #72 | -23 | Old Dominion | W 27–14 134 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #33 | #151 | -35.5 | Kennesaw State | W 56–9 119 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 12 | #39 | #236 | -47.5 | Indiana State | W 73–0 118 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #27 | #25 | -7.5 | IllinoisTop 10 win | W 63–10 117 | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #13 | #29 | -9.5 | @Iowa | W 20–15 127 | 5-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #11 | #2 | +6.5 | @OregonTop 10 win | W 30–20 128 | 6-0 | 3-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #4 | #92 | -26.5 | Michigan State | W 38–13 118 | 7-0 | 4-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #5 | #70 | -27.5 | UCLA | W 56–6 129 | 8-0 | 5-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #4 | #74 | -21 | @Maryland | W 55–10 125 | 9-0 | 6-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #4 | #12 | -14 | @Penn State | W 27–24 126 | 10-0 | 7-0 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #4 | #78 | -28 | Wisconsin | W 31–7 107 | 11-0 | 8-0 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #5 | #139 | -28.5 | @Purdue | W 56–3 128 | 12-0 | 9-0 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 15 | Dec 7 | #5 | #1 | +3.5 | Ohio State (N)Top 10 win | W 13–10 113 | 13-0 | 10-0 |
| College Football Playoff | ||||||||
| 18 | Jan 1 | #5 | #9 | -7.5 | Alabama (N) | W 38–3 | 14-0 | 10-0 |
| 20 | Jan 10 | #4 | #1 | -3 | Oregon (N) | W 56–22 | 15-0 | 11-0 |
| 21 | Jan 20 | #1 | #5 | -7 | Miami (N) | W 27–21 | 16-0 | 11-0 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20 | Miami | W 27–21 | — | — | — | +0.084 | 36.5% | 129.0% | One-score win |
| Jan 10 | Oregon | W 56–22 | — | — | — | +0.447 | 42.6% | 162.9% | Most explosive |
| Jan 1 | Alabama | W 38–3 | — | — | — | +0.319 | 51.5% | 114.5% | Blowout win |
| Dec 7 | Ohio State | W 13–10 | 340 | 1 | 29:47 | +0.198 | 38.3% | 124.2% | One-score win |
| Nov 29 | @Purdue | W 56–3 | 548 | 0 | 26:52 | +0.690 | 65.5% | 136.9% | Blowout win |
| Nov 15 | Wisconsin | W 31–7 | 388 | 0 | 33:58 | +0.338 | 59.4% | 97.2% | |
| Nov 8 | @Penn State | W 27–24 | 326 | 1 | 30:37 | +0.185 | 42.9% | 119.6% | One-score win |
| Nov 1 | @Maryland | W 55–10 | 588 | 1 | 40:22 | +0.312 | 50.6% | 130.8% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 25 | UCLA | W 56–6 | 475 | 2 | 35:34 | +0.287 | 45.6% | 140.3% | Blowout win |
| Oct 18 | Michigan State | W 38–13 | 464 | 0 | 28:46 | +0.514 | 58.9% | 131.0% | |
| Oct 11 | @Oregon | W 30–20 | 343 | 1 | 33:10 | +0.050 | 45.6% | 93.1% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 27 | @Iowa | W 20–15 | 386 | 1 | 27:18 | +0.122 | 41.0% | 140.0% | One-score win |
| Sep 20 | Illinois | W 63–10 | 579 | 0 | 39:42 | +0.597 | 62.5% | 124.5% | Blowout win |
| Sep 12 | Indiana State | W 73–0 | 680 | 0 | 33:37 | +0.801 | 74.6% | 114.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | Kennesaw State | W 56–9 | 596 | 0 | 32:30 | +0.594 | 55.2% | 151.2% | Blowout win |
| Aug 30 | Old Dominion | W 27–14 | 502 | 1 | 41:28 | +0.101 | 52.8% | 77.6% | Defense's roughest night |
| Season average (16 games) | 478 | 0.6 | +0.352 | 51.5% | 124.2% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Indiana fields an elite run-heavy offense behind an elite, gives up the big play defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Indiana actually scores
95th percentile quality, 1st percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Indiana's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 87th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 54th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Indiana hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
97th percentile success on standard downs, 98th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Indiana by half
1st-half offense ranks 91st percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 96th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Indiana's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.35; 100th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.15. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.50 raw vs. 0.11 adjusted.
Indiana reads strongest in passing epa (top 2%) and epa / play (top 2%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Indiana sits at the 14th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Indiana
Most Similar Programs · IndianaReads Like
DukeTier 4 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontStanfordTier 4 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontVirginiaTier 4 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Indiana · 2018-present
Strong
64% home win rate vs 43% on the road. margin runs +13.7 better at home. Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) seats 52,656, averaging 91% full (48,057 attendance, 27 games reported).
Home32-18Away17-22
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Roman Hemby and Kaelon Black split the carries (229/414 vs 185/414) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Roman Hemby owns the receiving work; Kaelon Black produces in bigger chunks.
Roman HembyKaelon Black
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Q4, leading (competitive)
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
p = 0.044 -- real, not noise
Top-5-carry share
concentration and EPA/carry agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 4 claims, 2 survived, 2 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Omar Cooper Jr. (WR) and Riley Nowakowski (TE) split the targets (78/112 vs 34/112) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Omar Cooper Jr.Riley Nowakowski
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
What changed
Indiana’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Mike Shanahan / co-Tino Sunseri (2024) → Mike Shanahan / co-Chandler Whitmer (2025)
Play-calling barely moved on the change — every rate held within a few points.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Chad Wilt / co-Matt Guerrieri (2023) → Bryant Haines (2024–2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 7 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Season by season
How Indiana’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Defense: Bryant Haines (2024–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 41% → 2025: 44% · 3-pt range · #181 of 189 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 38% → 2025: 36% · 2-pt range · #189 of 189 · less than most
4th-down go rate
2024: 46% → 2025: 31% · 15-pt range · #101 of 188 · a typical amount
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Indiana’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.3% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 233-play sample) — mid-pack, 74 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=233 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 66.5%
Historical echo
Indiana’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
Georgia 1938–1943
kept climbing
Florida State 2009–2014
fell back
Auburn 2000–2005
held the gain
Notre Dame 2008–2013
kept climbing
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Venue texture
64°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 76 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Indiana's 2014–2025 record is 76-71. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
509-696-38
since 1892 · 131 seasons · .409 win rate
HOME
332-271-22
AWAY
168-412-16
NEUTRAL
9-13
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Program résumé
2CFP apps
The program, in full — read the essay
Indiana won the 2025 national championship. The sentence still doesn't read like English.
A basketball school. That's the permanent identifier, the 130-year context for everything that happened next: Bob Knight's banners, Assembly Hall, the Hurryin' Hoosiers. Football was the Tuesday afternoon commitment the other sport tolerated. Then Curt Cignetti arrived from James Madison, Fernando Mendoza won the Heisman, and Indiana went 16-0 — routing Alabama 38-3 in the semifinal and Miami 27-21 in the national final, never trailing once in the playoff.
The fanbase reaction was a specific kind of disbelief: the celebration of people watching something happen to someone else. Indiana fans know the long arc. They know the 11-1 Cignetti debut in 2024 felt like a miracle, and they know what the 130 years before it felt like. The title didn't fully land until months later, when the ring ceremonies started and the Heisman sat in Bloomington. The offseason truth is that disbelief is curdling into something new and unfamiliar: expectation. Cignetti's answer to questions about defending the title — roughly, 'total focus is 2026' — became the program's whole posture.
The 2026 question isn't about legitimacy — that argument ended in the fourth quarter against Miami. The question is whether a program with no muscle memory for this can defend it. Cignetti's blueprint — veteran transfers over recruiting-rank upside, players who absorb coaching immediately — is now the most-copied portal-era model in the sport. Indiana enters the season as the defending champion, favored to return to the CFP, still trying to decide what word describes them now. Not a basketball school. Not a Cinderella. Something new, something the last 130 years didn't prepare the fanbase to name.
How they play
Cignetti's process is the most-studied blueprint in the portal era: proven veteran production over recruiting-ranking upside, a roster built around players who absorb coaching immediately and execute at a high level in year one. The offense under Mendoza is pro-style with enough spread influence to create conflict for Big Ten defenses. The defense is physical and assignment-sound. Memorial Stadium — the Crimson Out — was the quietest big venue in the Big Ten for a century and is now the home of the defending champions.
Rising
Indiana 2016–2025. Climbing +0.6 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope +0.27 rungs / year — moving up the prestige scale.
CFP Era · Indiana
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 16-0 · CFP #1 / AP #1
Season Standing · 2025 · 16-0 · CFP #1 / AP #1CFP contender
Indiana: Top 5 / CFP-contender. A real championship case is on the table.
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Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Big Ten Standing · 2025
1st in the Big Ten
Indiana sits at the top of the Big Ten at 11-0. Everyone else is chasing.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana | 11-0 |
| 2 | Ohio State | 9-1 |
| 3 | Oregon | 8-2 |
| 4 | Michigan | 7-2 |
| 5 | USC | 7-2 |
| 6 | Iowa | 6-3 |
| 7 | Illinois | 5-4 |
| 8 | Minnesota | 5-4 |
| 9 | Washington | 5-4 |
| 10 | Nebraska | 4-5 |
| 11 | Northwestern | 4-5 |
| 12 | Penn State | 3-6 |
| 13 | UCLA | 3-6 |
| 14 | Rutgers | 2-7 |
| 15 | Wisconsin | 2-7 |
| 16 | Maryland | 1-8 |
| 17 | Michigan State | 1-8 |
| 18 | Purdue | 0-9 |
Coaching Era · Indiana
Coaching Era · IndianaCurt Cignetti
Curt Cignetti in year 3 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Era Curt Cignetti · 2024–presentPrev: Tom Allen (2017–2023)OC: Mike Shanahan / co-Tino SunseriPrev OC: Mike Shanahan / co-Chandler Whitmer (2025)DC: Bryant HainesPrev DC: Chad Wilt / co-Matt Guerrieri (2023)
3
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Curt Cignetti Era (2024-)
since 2024
Curt Cignetti arrived from James Madison and produced one of the most-improbable back-to-back transformations in CFB history. Year one: 11-1, first CFP appearance. Year two: 16-0, national champion. Fernando Mendoza won the Heisman. Indiana beat Alabama 38-3 and Miami 27-21 in the title game. The basketball school never fully believed it was happening — even after the trophy arrived.
Old Oaken Bucket (vs Purdue)
since 1925
Indiana-Purdue plays for the Old Oaken Bucket — one of the oldest trophy games in CFB. The in-state Big Ten rivalry has produced 90+ meetings since 1925. The trophy's metal-letter chain (P-U for Purdue wins, I-U for Indiana) makes each season's outcome literally hung on the trophy.
Memorial Stadium Crimson Out
since 1960
Memorial Stadium (52,000 capacity) tailgates with the crimson-out fan dress code became season-changing visuals during the 2024 11-win run. The crimson-on-the-field aesthetic is uniquely Indiana — no other Big Ten program uses the same shade in the same density.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2024
The first CFP berth
An 11-1 debut under Cignetti — the first playoff appearance in program history
2025
The 16-0 title
Indiana beats Miami 27-21 for its first national championship, never trailing in the playoff — routing Alabama 38-3 and Oregon 56-22 en route
Moment of the Year · Indiana · 2025
Moment of the Year · Indiana · 2025Postseason · Won 56-22 vs Oregon
Week 20 of 2025. Beat a top-5 opponent on the field.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2015-2025): 3-5
Most recent: 2025 — win 27-21 (home). Last 5 postseason: 3-2.
20252025202520242020
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2026
NFL Draft PipelineSteady
11 picks last 5 cycles. Reliable mid-tier pipeline.
11
picks · 2 R1
#30
Omar Cooper Jr.
Wide Receiver · 2026 · New York · #13/485 final season
Succeeded by Tyler Morris · 4★
#50
D'Angelo Ponds
Cornerback · 2026 · New York · #37/364 final season
#55 all-time · 12 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Indiana’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014–2016 · Kevin Johns2017–2018 · Mike DeBord2019 · Kalen DeBoer2020–2021 · co-Grant Heard / Nick Sheridan2022 · co-Walt Bell / co-Adam Henry2023 · Walt Bell (interim)2024 · Mike Shanahan / co-Tino Sunseri2025 · Mike Shanahan / co-Chandler Whitmer
Hired for 2026: Mike Shanahan / co-Tino Sunseri — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014–2015 · Brian Knorr2016 · Tom Allen2017–2018 · Mark Hagen2019 · Kane Wommack2020 · Kane Wommack / co-Kevin Peoples2021 · Charlton Warren / co-Kevin Peoples2022 · Chad Wilt2023 · Chad Wilt / co-Matt Guerrieri2024–2025 (ongoing) · Bryant Haines
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 25% returning (below average), with the qb room the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the LS room but opened a hole at EDGE.
A first-rounder gone at WR headlines 8 2026 draft departures to replace.
Indiana sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
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