Howard at Indiana

Away
Howard
1-1 L2 · Cooling
Home
Indiana #5
1-0 W10 · Hot
Sat, Sep 12 · 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Fan take

How they got here

Last two games

Howard · 1-1

Picked #235 in the preseason · now #234 — about right.

1-1 in its last two, capped by a 7-point win over Alabama A&M as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 21–28 vs Richmond #197 of 669

lost by 7 as a 14-point underdog

W 31–24 vs Alabama A&M #242 of 669

won by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

Last three games · 2025 season

Indiana · 16-0

Picked #8 in the preseason · now #14 — about right.

Three straight wins, 3 over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 27–21 vs MiamiTop 25 #5 of 668

won by 6 as a 7-point favorite

W 56–22 vs OregonTop 25 #4 of 668

won by 34 as a 3-point favorite

W 38–3 vs AlabamaTop 25 #14 of 668

won by 35 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 13–10 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 668

won by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 56–3 @ Purdue #153 of 668

won by 53 as a 28.5-point favorite

W 31–7 vs Wisconsin #80 of 668

won by 24 as a 28-point favorite

W 27–24 @ Penn StateTop 25 #15 of 668

won by 3 as a 14-point favorite

W 55–10 @ Maryland #83 of 668

won by 45 as a 21-point favorite

W 56–6 vs UCLA #75 of 668

won by 50 as a 27.5-point favorite

W 38–13 vs Michigan State #93 of 668

won by 25 as a 26.5-point favorite

W 30–20 @ OregonTop 25 #3 of 668

won by 10 as a 6.5-point underdog

W 20–15 @ IowaTop 25 #31 of 668

won by 5 as a 9.5-point favorite

W 63–10 vs IllinoisTop 25 #41 of 668

won by 53 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 73–0 vs Indiana State #225 of 668

won by 73 as a 47.5-point favorite

W 56–9 vs Kennesaw State #144 of 668

won by 47 as a 35.5-point favorite

W 27–14 vs Old Dominion #51 of 668

won by 13 as a 23-point favorite

What’s at stake

Howard

  • Howard needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
  • Howard is still shaking off a 55-point loss.

Indiana

  • Indiana is ranked #5 — a loss would put a real dent in the résumé.
  • Indiana is coming off a 55-point win.

The series

Indiana leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2026 · Indiana won the last meeting

  • 2026Indiana 55–0

Best players

Indiana

The line, and the room

The model and the market are in lockstep on Indiana’s chances here.

evenModel 100% · Market 100%HowardIndiana

Home −57.5 · O/U 67.5

Conditions

76°F · 6 mph wind · Light Rain

Indiana is worth +4.6 points (±5.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 63rd percentile.

60% at home, 44% on the road against FBS opponents (27–18 home, 17–22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.4 at home vs. away over 72 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 510 miles to get here.

Howard 0 – Indiana 55

Indiana 55: 100%Howard 0: 0%

Called it — picked Indiana to win.

Recent games

Indiana

  • Wk 1Wvs North Texas52-16

Howard

  • Wk 1Wvs Alabama A&M31-24
  • Wk 1Lvs Richmond21-28

Trajectory

16.080.89-14.30Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2HowardIndiana

Indiana beat Howard 55-0 — exactly what the pregame pick had.