No. 4 Indiana routs Western Kentucky 38-0

Western Kentucky0-30
No. 4 Indiana3-038Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), Bloomington, Ind. · Crowd 54,695Peacock

No. 4 Indiana routed Western Kentucky 38-0.

We had Indiana favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

The Charlie Becker Heisman campaign is still on

Q3 10:55 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Indiana a 92% chance, and the closing betting line (Indiana was a 44.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Indiana led by 14 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+38+38
79-yard TD passIndiana · Q3 10:43
FinalIndiana 38-0 Western KentuckyIndiana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
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50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4IndianaWon38-0Scores79-yard TD passChatter1 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute7 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute9 comments a minute10 comments a minute9 comments a minute9 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute9 comments a minute14 comments a minute9 comments a minute7 comments a minute9 comments a minute3 comments a minute9 comments a minute15 comments a minute11 comments a minute15 comments a minute15 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute8 comments a minute10 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute5 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute8 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4IndianaLowest 0%Lost0-38Scores79-yard TD passChatter1 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute7 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute9 comments a minute10 comments a minute9 comments a minute9 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute9 comments a minute14 comments a minute9 comments a minute7 comments a minute9 comments a minute3 comments a minute9 comments a minute15 comments a minute11 comments a minute15 comments a minute15 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute8 comments a minute10 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute5 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute8 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4IndianaLowest 0%Lost0-38Scores79-yard TD passChatter1 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute7 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute9 comments a minute10 comments a minute9 comments a minute9 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute9 comments a minute14 comments a minute9 comments a minute7 comments a minute9 comments a minute3 comments a minute9 comments a minute15 comments a minute11 comments a minute15 comments a minute15 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute8 comments a minute10 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute5 comments a minute0 comments a minute4 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute8 comments a minute1 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 9:51Indiana scores on Chandler pass as fans criticize Beebe running gameDAVION CHANDLER UPDATE: 4 CAREER CATCHES, 4 CAREER TOUCHDOWNSr/CFB game threadJFC. We should be running all over these turds.r/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 1:07Indiana fans celebrate Jones interception and Beebe touchdown as they take 14-0 leadLee Beebe is a better runner than he’s shown today.r/CFB game threadgeorgia literally allowed WKU to score 6 points in the first half last week. soft.r/CFB game thread
  3. Q3 10:55Indiana fans celebrate Becker's touchdown but criticize Hoover's underthrown passQuoted at the top of the page.
Indiana’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Indiana -44.5), at 100% for Indiana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Indiana’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 12:40Glenn sacked for a 10-yd lossfumblesQ1, 12:40 · Indiana 0, Western Kentucky 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  2. Q2, 15:00Hoover sacked for a 3-yd lossQ2, 15:00 · Indiana 0, Western Kentucky 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  3. Q2, 9:51Hoover 26-yd TD pass to ChandlerIndiana goes ahead 7-0Q2, 9:51 · Indiana 7, Western Kentucky 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  4. Q2, 1:07Glenn intercepted by Jones at the WKU24returned 21 yardsQ2, 1:07 · Indiana 7, Western Kentucky 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  5. Q2, 0:37Beebe 1-yd TD runIndiana leads 14-0Q2, 0:37 · Indiana 14, Western Kentucky 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  6. Q3, 10:43Hoover 79-yd TD pass to BeckerIndiana leads 24-0Q3, 10:43 · Indiana 24, Western Kentucky 024-0score after the play24-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  7. Q3, 4:45Hoover 12-yd pass to MarshfumbledQ3, 4:45 · Indiana 24, Western Kentucky 024-0score after the play24-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  8. Q4, 7:10Richard 25-yd TD runIndiana leads 38-0Q4, 7:10 · Indiana 38, Western Kentucky 038-0score after the play38-0score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football

Every drive

Indiana scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Western Kentucky on 0 of its 12.

Indiana’s drives are teal, Western Kentucky’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Western Kentucky: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntIndiana: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 36Missed FGWestern Kentucky: Turned over on downs, from 64 yards out to 2DownsIndiana: Touchdown, from 98 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Western Kentucky: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58PuntIndiana: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 30DownsWestern Kentucky: Turned over on downs, from 70 yards out to 35DownsIndiana: Punt, from 65 yards out to 50PuntWestern Kentucky: Interception, from 85 yards out to 80InterceptionIndiana: Touchdown, from 3 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Kentucky: End of half, from 75 yards out to 77End of halfQ3Indiana: Field goal, from 60 yards out to 2Field goalWestern Kentucky: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntIndiana: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Kentucky: Punt, from 75 yards out to 57PuntIndiana: Punt, from 72 yards out to 69PuntWestern Kentucky: Turned over on downs, from 73 yards out to 50DownsIndiana: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Kentucky: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntIndiana: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntQ4Western Kentucky: Punt, from 64 yards out to 64PuntIndiana: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Kentucky: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntIndiana: Uncategorized, from 74 yards out to 47Uncategorized
“People gotta stop calling us Indy. Indy is an hour up the road”
An Indiana fan

How fans reacted

Steady

The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthIndiana fansWestern Kentucky fansusual

What it cost

Indiana’s chance to make the playoff rose from 16% to 23%.

Make the playoff

Western Kentucky · lost0% → 0%
Indiana · won16% → ▲23%16%▲ 23%

Win the conference

Western Kentucky · lost9% → ▲10%9%▲ 10%
Indiana · won8% → ▲15%8%▲ 15%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Indiana 38, Western Kentucky 0

Western Kentucky covered +44.5 by 6.5. The total, 38, stayed under 59.5.

Western KentuckyIndianaTotal yardsWestern Kentucky 186Indiana 513186513Passing yardsWestern Kentucky 120Indiana 280120280Rushing yardsWestern Kentucky 66Indiana 23366233First downsWestern Kentucky 10Indiana 241024TurnoversWestern Kentucky 1Indiana 010Time of possessionWestern Kentucky 25:09Indiana 34:5125:0934:51
Team totalsWestern KentuckyIndiana
Total yards186513
Passing17 of 32, 120 yds19 of 25, 280 yds
Rushing29 for 66 yds41 for 233 yds
First downs1024
Third down4 of 152 of 10
Fourth down0 of 31 of 2
Turnovers10
Penalties2 for 15 yds2 for 15 yds
Time of possession25:0934:51

Western Kentucky leaders

  • Passing Brock Glenn 17 of 32, 120 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Brock Glenn 11 for 30 yds; Ajay Allen 10 for 22 yds
  • Receiving CC Ezirim 2 for 30 yds; Jonathan Stafford Jr. 6 for 27 yds

Indiana leaders

  • Passing Josh Hoover 18 of 24, 273 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Turbo Richard 15 for 149 yds, 1 TD; Lee Beebe 17 for 50 yds, 2 TD
  • Receiving Charlie Becker 5 for 127 yds, 1 TD; Nick Marsh 7 for 81 yds

No rain and calm

86° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 4 mph from the north-northeast, gusts to 12

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 63 other games played at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 70°, with about 7 in 10 games between 59° and 84°.

September game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Indiana favoredWestern Kentucky favored100%Win chanceIndianaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Indiana favoredWestern Kentucky favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 15:00 left4:08 p.m.
Western Kentucky 0, Indiana 0 · Indiana 100% to win
no rain · wind 5 mph from the north · 86°
Allen run for a 1-yd loss
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Bloomington airport, 5.4 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Western Kentucky · 0-2

Rated 42nd in our preseason ratings, 52nd now.

Two straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 20-70 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #3 of 668

lost by 50 as a 40.5-point underdog

Western Kentucky lost 20-70 at Georgia. Never had a real chance.

Last two games

Indiana · 2-0

Rated 8th in our preseason ratings, 10th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 55-0 vs Howard #217 of 668

won by 55 as a 57.5-point favorite

Indiana won 55-0 vs Howard. Never in doubt.

Week by week

Indiana

Wk 1: W 52-16 vs North Texas▲36North TexasWk 2: W 55-0 vs Howard▲55Howard
  • Wk 1Wvs North Texas52-16
  • Wk 2Wvs Howard55-0

Western Kentucky

Wk 1: L 14-49 at Nevada▼35NevadaWk 2: L 20-70 at Georgia▼50Georgia
  • Wk 1Lat Nevada14-49
  • Wk 2Lat Georgia20-70

Power rating by week

Indiana is rated 7.5 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

1481Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2IndianaWestern Kentucky

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Western Kentucky’s success rate against Indiana, 92 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Indiana’s explosive plays against Western Kentucky’s defense

    86 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Indiana offense, 97th percentile · Western Kentucky defense, 11th

  2. Western Kentucky’s success rate against Indiana’s defense

    92 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Western Kentucky offense, 7th percentile · Indiana defense, 99th

  3. Western Kentucky’s rushing EPA against Indiana’s defense

    71 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Western Kentucky offense, 16th percentile · Indiana defense, 87th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Western KentuckyIndiana
EPA/play, offense
Western Kentucky…Indiana · 98
EPA/play, defense
Western Kentucky · 29Indiana · 89
Success rate, offense
Western Kentucky · 7Indiana · 74
Success rate, defense
Western Kentucky · 57Indiana · 99
Explosive-play rate, offense
Western Kentucky · 58Indiana · 97
Explosive-play rate, defense
Western Kentucky · 11Indiana · 6
Rush EPA, offense
Western Kentucky…Indiana · 59
Rush EPA, defense
Western Kentucky · 4Indiana · 87
Pass EPA, offense
Western Kentucky · 19Indiana · 99
Pass EPA, defense
Western Kentucky · 68Indiana · 81

The series

Indiana leads the series 5-0

5 meetings since 2008 · Indiana has won the last 5

  • 2022Indiana 33-30Indiana won 33-30 vs Western Kentucky. Chance to win started at 62%, low 8%, high better than 99%.
  • 2021Indiana 33-31Indiana won 33-31 at Western Kentucky. Chance to win started at 73%, low 60%, high 97%.
  • 2015Indiana 38-35
  • 2010Indiana 38-21
  • 2008Indiana 31-13

Each line is Indiana’s chance to win through that meeting. Indiana is 2-0 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Western Kentucky fans are in a better mood than Indiana fans (96th vs 34th among FBS fanbases), even with Indiana favored.

50-50Model 92% · Line 100%Indiana fans · 34thWestern Kentucky fans · 96thWestern KentuckyIndiana

Indiana favored by 44.5 · Total 59.5

How games like this usually go

Indiana by 44.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 91° at kickoff.

Western Kentucky at Indiana · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Bloomington

  • 91°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 60weather score, Rough
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's eight kickoff times. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 97, against 60 at 4 pm.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • noon: 61, Rough
  • 1 pm: 61, Rough
  • 2 pm: 60, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 60, Rough
  • 4 pm: 60, Rough (this game)
  • 6 pm: 80, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 97, Comfortable
  • 7:45 pm: 97, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Indiana is worth +4.4 points (±5.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 56th percentile.

60% at home, 46% on the road against FBS opponents (29-19 home, 19-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.7 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 152 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next