Western Kentucky routs Mercyhurst 52-7

Mercyhurst1-47
Western Kentucky1-352Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Ky. · Crowd 17,247ESPN+

Western Kentucky routed Mercyhurst 52-7.

We had Western Kentucky favored. It won.

Next: Mercyhurst lost to Long Island University 27-24, Sat Oct 3

Next: Western Kentucky lost to New Mexico State 34-13, Thu Oct 1

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Western Kentucky a 93% chance, and the closing betting line (Western Kentucky was a 39.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Western Kentucky led by 10 after the first quarter and by 31 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+45+45
FinalWestern Kentucky 52-7 MercyhurstWestern Kentucky wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won52-7Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won52-7Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost7-52Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost7-52Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Western Kentucky’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Western Kentucky -39.5), at 99% for Western Kentucky (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Western Kentucky scored on 8 of its 11 drives; Mercyhurst on 1 of its 10.

Western Kentucky’s drives are teal, Mercyhurst’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Mercyhurst: Punt, from 68 yards out to 63PuntWestern Kentucky: Touchdown, from 86 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Punt, from 86 yards out to 57PuntWestern Kentucky: Field goal, from 81 yards out to 17Field goalMercyhurst: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntQ2Western Kentucky: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Punt, from 78 yards out to 73PuntWestern Kentucky: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 54DownsWestern Kentucky: Touchdown, from 46 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntWestern Kentucky: End of half, from 67 yards out to 69End of halfQ3Western Kentucky: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntWestern Kentucky: Touchdown, from 43 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Touchdown, from 89 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Kentucky: Fumble, from 50 yards out to 28FumbleMercyhurst: Turned over on downs, from 72 yards out to 11DownsQ4Western Kentucky: Touchdown, from 89 yards out to 0TouchdownMercyhurst: Turned over on downs, from 79 yards out to 40DownsWestern Kentucky: End of game, from 60 yards out to 37End of game

Box score

Western Kentucky 52, Mercyhurst 7

Western Kentucky covered −39.5 by 5.5. The total, 59, went over 58.5.

MercyhurstWestern KentuckyTotal yardsMercyhurst 264Western Kentucky 596264596Passing yardsMercyhurst 172Western Kentucky 413172413Rushing yardsMercyhurst 92Western Kentucky 18392183First downsMercyhurst 14Western Kentucky 241424TurnoversMercyhurst 0Western Kentucky 101Time of possessionMercyhurst 31:27Western Kentucky 28:3331:2728:33
Team totalsMercyhurstWestern Kentucky
Total yards264596
Passing22 of 44, 172 yds24 of 31, 413 yds
Rushing23 for 92 yds34 for 183 yds
First downs1424
Third down6 of 176 of 11
Fourth down2 of 54 of 4
Turnovers01
Penalties2 for 15 yds0 for 0 yds
Time of possession31:2728:33

Mercyhurst leaders

  • Passing Alex Gevaudan 22 of 44, 172 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Jameir Gamble 9 for 58 yds; Emanuel Fincher 5 for 18 yds
  • Receiving Emanuel Fincher 4 for 40 yds; Ethen Knox 6 for 38 yds

Western Kentucky leaders

  • Passing Rodney Tisdale Jr. 19 of 23, 309 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing Brock Glenn 5 for 50 yds, 1 TD; Le'Kamren Meadows 4 for 45 yds
  • Receiving Nigel Johnson 1 for 72 yds, 1 TD; Zion Taylor 2 for 66 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

76° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 5 mph from the northeast, gusts to 12

The usual here around this date is 68°, with about 7 in 10 games between 57° and 79°.

September game-day temperatures at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Western Kentucky favoredMercyhurst favored100%Win chanceWestern KentuckyRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Western Kentucky favoredMercyhurst favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:22 left6:03 p.m.
Mercyhurst 0, Western Kentucky 0 · Western Kentucky 99% to win
no rain · wind 6 mph from the northeast · 75°
Gevaudan 5-yd pass to Lattimore
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Bowling Green airport, 2.6 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Mercyhurst · 1-3

Rated 225th in our preseason ratings, 247th now.

1-3 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 49-20 vs Glenville State #373 of 668

Mercyhurst won 49-20 vs Glenville State. Chance to win started at 53%, low 46%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Western Kentucky · 0-3

Rated 42nd in our preseason ratings, 58th now.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 20-70 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #3 of 668

lost by 50 as a 40.5-point underdog

Western Kentucky lost 20-70 at Georgia. Never had a real chance.

Week by week

Western Kentucky

Wk 1: L 14-49 at Nevada▼35NevadaWk 2: L 20-70 at Georgia▼50GeorgiaWk 3: L 0-38 at Indiana▼38Indiana
  • Wk 1Lat Nevada14-49
  • Wk 2Lat Georgia20-70
  • Wk 3Lat Indiana0-38

Mercyhurst

Wk 1: L 10-43 at Youngstown State▼33Youngstown…Wk 1: L 14-51 at New Mexico State▼37N. Mexico S…Wk 2: L 7-70 at New Mexico▼63New MexicoWk 3: W 49-20 vs Glenville State▲29Glenville S…
  • Wk 1Lat Youngstown State10-43
  • Wk 1Lat New Mexico State14-51
  • Wk 2Lat New Mexico7-70
  • Wk 3Wvs Glenville State49-20

Power rating by week

Western Kentucky is rated 12.2 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

7-3-13Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3Western KentuckyMercyhurst

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Western Kentucky’s chances here.

50-50Model 93% · Line 100%MercyhurstWestern Kentucky

Western Kentucky favored by 39.5 · Total 58.5

How games like this usually go

Western Kentucky by 39.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Western Kentucky.

opened −38.5now −39.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 56.5now 58.5

Spread: −38.5 → −39.5 · Total: 56.5 → 58.5

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 70° at kickoff.

Mercyhurst at Western Kentucky · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green

  • 70°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 100weather score, Ideal
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium that day, a 2:30 pm kickoff would have scored 87, against 100 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 95, Comfortable
  • 2:30 pm: 87, Mixed
  • 3:15 pm: 92, Comfortable
  • 5 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 6 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
  • 7 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 8 pm: 99, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Western Kentucky is worth +5.5 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 75th percentile.

64% at home, 46% on the road against FBS opponents (25-14 home, 26-30 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.7 at home vs. away over 104 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 491 miles to get here.

Where next