Youngstown State routs Mercyhurst 43-10
Team pages: Mercyhurst · Youngstown State
Youngstown State routed Mercyhurst 43-10. Share this game
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Youngstown State a 72% chance, and the closing betting line (Youngstown State was a 30.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
Youngstown State led by 4 after the first quarter and by 26 at the half.
Youngstown State 43-10 Mercyhurst
Youngstown State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Mercyhurst 10-43 Youngstown StateMercyhurst lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Youngstown State -30.5), at 98% for Youngstown State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Youngstown State scored on 6 of its 10 drives; Mercyhurst on 2 of its 10.
Youngstown State’s drives are teal, Mercyhurst’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Youngstown State 43, Mercyhurst 10
Youngstown State covered −30.5 by 2.5. The total, 53, stayed under 57.5.
Mercyhurst leaders
- Passing Alex Gevaudan 18 of 31, 212 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing Jameir Gamble 9 for 36 yds; Alex Gevaudan 3 for 2 yds
- Receiving Camden Lewis 3 for 44 yds; Christian MacDonald 3 for 36 yds
Youngstown State leaders
- Passing Beau Brungard 20 of 29, 232 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Beau Brungard 21 for 119 yds, 2 TD; Jaden Gilbert 5 for 89 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Antuan Gardner 2 for 52 yds; Bryan Hunt 4 for 41 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Mercyhurst · 5-7
Rated 225th in our preseason ratings.
L 28-35 @ Central Connecticut #176 of 667
lost by 7 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 27-13 vs Robert Morris #242 of 667
won by 14 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 16-15 @ Saint Francis #258 of 667
won by 1 as a 10-point favorite
L 15-22 vs Stonehill #235 of 667
lost by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 0-37 vs Duquesne #141 of 667
lost by 37 as a 3-point underdog
W 19-7 @ Wagner #257 of 667
won by 12 as a 6-point favorite
W 22-13 vs Long Island University #214 of 667
won by 9 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 7-51 @ South Dakota State #86 of 667
lost by 44 as a 32.5-point underdog
L 0-17 @ Montana State #86 of 667
lost by 17 as a 29.5-point underdog
L 28-49 @ Sacramento State #118 of 667
lost by 21 as a 21.5-point underdog
W 48-14 vs New Haven #265 of 667
won by 34 as a 12.5-point favorite
L 15-24 @ Youngstown State #225 of 667
lost by 9 as a 24-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Youngstown State · 8-5
Rated 147th in our preseason ratings.
L 42-43 vs Yale #152 of 667
lost by 1 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 35-32 @ Northern Iowa #220 of 667
won by 3 as a 14-point favorite
W 48-29 vs Indiana State #229 of 667
won by 19 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 48-38 vs Southern Illinois #152 of 667
won by 10 as a 5-point favorite
L 30-38 @ North Dakota State #58 of 667
lost by 8 as a 26.5-point underdog
W 51-17 vs Murray State #266 of 667
won by 34 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 40-35 @ Illinois State #161 of 667
won by 5 as a 2-point underdog
L 17-35 @ North Dakota #97 of 667
lost by 18 as a 9-point underdog
L 30-35 vs South Dakota State #85 of 667
lost by 5 as a 15-point underdog
W 31-28 @ Towson #156 of 667
won by 3 as a 3-point favorite
L 24-41 @ Michigan State #77 of 667
lost by 17 as a 23.5-point underdog
W 56-17 vs Robert Morris #230 of 667
won by 39 as a 19.5-point favorite
W 24-15 vs Mercyhurst #263 of 667
won by 9 as a 24-point favorite
The series
Youngstown State leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2025 · Youngstown State won the last meeting
- 2025Youngstown State 24-15
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Youngstown State’s chances here.
Youngstown State favored by 30.5 · Total 57.5
How games like this usually go
Youngstown State by 30.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
Home field
Youngstown State is worth +5.3 points (±12.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 72nd percentile.
50% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (2-2 home, 0-12 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.0 at home vs. away over 56 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 76 miles to get here.