The rest of the season
One real test left: Central Connecticut 30%
Win out 21% · expect 2.0 of 3 more wins
Duquesne University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Robert Morris 78%, Mercyhurst 87%, Central Connecticut 30%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Carson Camp 1,301 · Rushing Johness Davis 547 · Receiving Ryan Petras 397 All player stats
Updated Thu Nov 5 · through week 9
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @Air Force | L 0-34 121 | 0-1 | 0-0 | Pass Camp 42 · Rush Davis 32 · Rec Thomas 27 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @Youngstown State | L 13-70 | 0-2 | 0-0 | Pass Camp 63 · Rush Davis 88 · Rec Petras 52 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @Washington State | L 7-48 115 | 0-3 | 0-0 | Pass Camp 69 · Rush Hopkins 60 · Rec Petras 56 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | University of Rio Grande | W 53-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | Pass Camp 211 · Rush Oliver 97 · Rec Petras 52 |
| 5 | Bye week | |||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | Long Island University | L 14-17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | Pass Camp 202 · Rush Davis 69 · Rec Boyd 81 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @Stonehill | W 14-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | Pass Camp 243 · Rush Solomon Jr. 42 · Rec Walker 65 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | Wagner | W 52-21 | 3-4 | 2-1 | Pass Camp 180 · Rush Davis 181 · Rec Canty 56 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @New Haven | W 41-14 | 4-4 | 3-1 | Pass Camp 291 · Rush Davis 79 · Rec Petras 153 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | Robert Morris | 12 pm ET · NEC Front Row78% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Mercyhurst | 12 pm ET · SportsNet PIT87% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Central Connecticut | 12 pm ET30% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Duquesne University, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | @New Haven | W 41-14 | — | — | — | +0.287 | 42.3% | 1.58 | Most explosive |
| Oct 24 | Wagner | W 52-21 | — | — | — | +0.425 | 50.0% | 1.57 | Blowout win |
| Oct 17 | @Stonehill | W 14-7 | — | — | — | −0.013 | 32.1% | 1.56 | One-score win |
| Oct 10 | Long Island University | L 14-17 | — | — | — | −0.240 | 38.8% | 0.91 | One-score loss |
| Sep 26 | University of Rio Grande | W 53-0 | — | — | — | +0.427 | 55.6% | 1.22 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 19 | @Washington State | L 7-48 | 180 | 0 | 31:44 | −0.368 | 18.9% | 1.42 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | @Youngstown State | L 13-70 | — | — | — | +0.014 | 32.8% | 1.12 | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 5 | @Air Force | L 0-34 | 107 | 2 | 19:10 | −0.248 | 22.2% | 1.10 | Blowout loss |
| Season average (8 games) | 144 | 1.0 | +0.036 | 36.6% | 1.31 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Range of outcomes · Duquesne University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 2%; 5 wins 21%; 6 wins 56%; 7 wins 21%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-4
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among NEC teams the same season
Duquesne is the Northeast Conference veteran and 'City Game' rival—a program that resumed the Pittsburgh football rivalry after 86 years of silence, anchored by Jerry Schmitt's 21-year coaching legacy.
Duquesne is the Northeast Conference veteran and 'City Game' rival—a program that resumed the Pittsburgh football rivalry after 86 years of silence, anchored by Jerry Schmitt's 21-year coaching legacy.
Range of outcomes · Duquesne University · 2026