Youngstown State routs Duquesne 70-13

Duquesne0-213
Youngstown State2-170Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Stambaugh Stadium, Youngstown, Ohio · Crowd 10,824ESPN+

Youngstown State routed Duquesne 70-13.

We had Youngstown State favored. It won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Youngstown State a 71% chance, and the closing betting line (Youngstown State was a 22.5-point favorite) put it at 97%.

FinalYoungstown State 70-13 DuquesneYoungstown State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won70-13Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won70-13Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost13-70Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost13-70Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Youngstown State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Youngstown State -22.5), at 95% for Youngstown State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Youngstown State scored on 10 of its 12 drives; Duquesne on 3 of its 12.

Youngstown State’s drives are teal, Duquesne’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Duquesne: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 7Field goalYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 77 yards out to 73PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 23 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 92 yards out to 97PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 6 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Duquesne: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 75 yards out to 78PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 75 yards out to 62PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 83 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 75 yards out to 54PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: End of half, from 75 yards out to 61End of halfQ3Youngstown State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntYoungstown State: Punt, from 65 yards out to 61PuntDuquesne: Punt, from 74 yards out to 58PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Duquesne: Field goal, from 55 yards out to 31Field goalYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownDuquesne: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntYoungstown State: End of game, from 73 yards out to 13End of game

Box score

Youngstown State 70, Duquesne 13

Youngstown State covered −22.5 by 34.5. The total, 83, went over 54.5.

Duquesne leaders

  • Passing Carson Camp 5 of 19, 63 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Johness Davis 11 for 88 yds; Dazhaun Hopkins 8 for 46 yds
  • Receiving Ryan Petras 3 for 52 yds, 1 TD; Zae-Mear Correll 3 for 31 yds

Youngstown State leaders

  • Passing Beau Brungard 20 of 23, 290 yds, 6 TD
  • Rushing Beau Brungard 14 for 111 yds, 2 TD; Da'Shaun Whatley 3 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Lynn Wyche-El 5 for 77 yds, 2 TD; Jeremiah Sanders 4 for 65 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Duquesne · 7-5

Rated 185th in our preseason ratings, 190th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 5-point win over Central Connecticut as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 20-17 @ Robert Morris #238 of 667

won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 38-33 vs Central Connecticut #178 of 667

won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 11-29 @ Long Island University #174 of 667

lost by 18 as a 7-point favorite

L 13-24 @ Wagner #247 of 667

lost by 11 as a 23.5-point favorite

W 37-0 @ Mercyhurst #241 of 667

won by 37 as a 3-point favorite

W 52-7 vs Saint Francis #258 of 667

won by 45 as a 14.5-point favorite

W 34-14 vs Stonehill #244 of 667

won by 20 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 44-18 vs New Haven #264 of 667

won by 26 as an 18-point favorite

L 7-51 @ Akron #144 of 667

lost by 44 as a 10.5-point underdog

Duquesne lost 7-51 at Akron. Chance to win started at 17%, low under 1%, high 22%.

L 21-35 vs Lehigh #166 of 667

lost by 14 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 55-14 vs Lincoln (PA) #390 of 667

L 9-61 @ PittsburghTop 25 #67 of 667

lost by 52 as a 39.5-point underdog

Duquesne lost 9-61 at Pittsburgh. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

Last two games

Youngstown State · 1-1

Rated 147th in our preseason ratings, 126th now, up 21 spots.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Youngstown State

Wk 1: W 43-10 vs Mercyhurst▲33MercyhurstWk 1: L 13-45 at Kentucky▼32Kentucky
  • Wk 1Wvs Mercyhurst43-10
  • Wk 1Lat Kentucky13-45

Duquesne

  • Wk 1Lat Air Force0-34

The series

Youngstown State leads the series 6-1

7 meetings since 2013 · Duquesne won the last meeting

Youngstown State wonDuquesne won2013: Youngstown State by 422014: Youngstown State by 112016: Youngstown State by 352019: Youngstown State by 202022: Youngstown State by 172023: Youngstown State by 332024: Duquesne by 320132024
  • 2024Duquesne 28-25
  • 2023Youngstown State 40-7
  • 2022Youngstown State 31-14
  • 2019Youngstown State 34-14
  • 2016Youngstown State 45-10

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Youngstown State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 71%Line · 97%DuquesneYoungstown State

Youngstown State favored by 22.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Youngstown State by 22.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The total rose 1 point.

opened 53.5now 54.5

Total: 53.5 → 54.5

The books’ cut: 5.4%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Youngstown State is worth +5.3 points (±12.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 72nd percentile.

50% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (2-2 home, 0-12 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.0 at home vs. away over 56 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 58 miles to get here.

Where next