NEC CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Long Island University
Rank #155
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Long Island University fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Quiet Professional
Primary: 72% confidence
Fanbases with no delusions. They know exactly who their team is: good enough to win 8-10 games, not good enough to win it all. They are at peace with this.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“We know what we are”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 1 · @ Florida
Week 11 · vs Duquesne
Week 9 · vs New Haven
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Week 2 vs Eastern Michigan
Cover by +26.50 against a closing line of +21.5.
Week 3 vs Sacred Heart
No cover by -16.50. These are the losses bettors remember.
Week 5 vs Stonehill
Under versus 46.5 by -33.50 points.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
29th pct
Defense
34th pct
Adjusted values: +0.01 offense, +0.09 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
99th pct
Defense
83rd pct
Adjusted values: +0.02 offense, -0.08 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
23rd pct
Defense
83rd pct
Adjusted values: +0.27 offense, -0.25 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
33rd pct
Defense
98th pct
Adjusted values: +0.02 offense, +0.02 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power +10.4
Currently +10.4 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Defensive Efficiency currently grades around the 99th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 55
Body of work: best signal lost to Florida 0-55. Closest call lost to Sacred Heart 21-24. 55th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
3-1 over the last 4 (L10 W11 W12 W13)
Last four games: 3-1 over the last 4 (L10 W11 W12 W13). Power is 22 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 6-6. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#155
Inside FCS#40 of 129
Inside NEC#2 of 9
Power+10.4pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5555th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborColorado
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +3
#154 Alcorn State
FCS | SWAC
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume -7
#156 Colorado
FBS | Big 12
FCS Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +3
#154 Alcorn State
FCS | SWAC
NEC Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +17
#152 Central Connecticut
FCS | NEC
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power -0.0 | Resume -7
#156 Colorado
FBS | Big 12
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
The number of fully modeled seasons currently attached to this program.
A recent multi-year closing-power average. This is the kind of anchor that should matter in preseason priors.
How the current season's closing power stacks up against the program's recent standard.
How far the current season finished below the strongest loaded team in program history.
The strongest closing power this program has posted in the loaded archive.
No earlier loaded season beat the current closing power.
No earlier loaded season beat the current resume.
The highest loaded all-level board finish currently attached to this program.
The strongest body-of-work season currently attached to this program in the loaded archive.
Where the current season sits inside this program's loaded history on the two main scales.
A cleaner fan-facing answer to the question: is this near the top of the program's arc or just another solid year?
The cleanest results season in the loaded archive, regardless of whether it was also the strongest by power.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Bars: win rate
Line: public power vs average team
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 6-6 in 12 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 6-6 | 12 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
2025 Season
Ended at power -1.5, record 6-6, and final loaded-board rank #156.
2025 Season
Resume 36 / 100 with 6 wins and a 50% win rate.
+3.7 power
From 2024 to 2025, the program moved from -5.2 to -1.5.
6-6
The cleanest loaded season by results came in 2025, with a margin of -29.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 13
Regular Season
vs Wagner
Result
Win
Pregame
-3.52
Power
+0.37
Resume
+0.03
Postgame
-3.15
Week 12
Regular Season
@ St. Francis (PA)
Result
Win
Pregame
-3.97
Power
+0.44
Resume
+0.04
Postgame
-3.52
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Duquesne
Result
Win
Pregame
-5.58
Power
+1.61
Resume
+0.10
Postgame
-3.97
Week 10
Regular Season
@ Central Connecticut
Result
Loss
Pregame
-5.81
Power
+0.23
Resume
+0.01
Postgame
-5.58
Week 9
Regular Season
vs New Haven
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.25
Power
+1.44
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-5.81
Week 8
Regular Season
vs Robert Morris
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.26
Power
+0.01
Resume
+0.05
Postgame
-7.25
Week 6
Regular Season
@ Mercyhurst
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.47
Power
-0.18
Resume
-0.01
Postgame
-7.65
Week 5
Regular Season
@ Stonehill
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.26
Power
-0.20
Resume
-0.01
Postgame
-7.47
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Rhode Island
Result
Loss
Pregame
-6.84
Power
-0.42
Resume
-0.18
Postgame
-7.26
Week 3
Regular Season
vs Sacred Heart
Result
Loss
Pregame
-6.16
Power
-0.68
Resume
-0.49
Postgame
-6.84
Week 2
Regular Season
@ Eastern Michigan
Result
Win
Pregame
-7.15
Power
+0.99
Resume
+1.14
Postgame
-6.16
Week 1
Regular Season
@ Florida
Result
Loss
Pregame
-9.42
Power
+2.27
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-7.15
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30, 2025 | @ Florida FBS | Regular Season | L 0-55 | +47.0 | No cover | 56.5 | Under | -9.42 | +2.27 | +0.00 | -7.15 |
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | @ Eastern Michigan FBS | Regular Season | W 28-23 | +21.5 | Cover | 53.5 | Under | -7.15 | +0.99 | +1.14 | -6.16 |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | vs Sacred Heart FCS | Regular Season | L 21-24 | -13.5 | No cover | 42.5 | Over | -6.16 | -0.68 | -0.49 | -6.84 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Rhode Island FCS | Regular Season | L 7-28 | +16.5 | No cover | 45.5 | Under | -6.84 | -0.42 | -0.18 | -7.26 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | @ Stonehill FCS | Regular Season | L 3-10 | -6.0 | No cover | 46.5 | Under | -7.26 | -0.20 | -0.01 | -7.47 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | @ Mercyhurst FCS | Regular Season | L 13-22 | +3.5 | No cover | 50.5 | Under | -7.47 | -0.18 | -0.01 | -7.65 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | vs Robert Morris FCS | Regular Season | W 17-7 | -9.5 | Cover | 42.5 | Under | -7.26 | +0.01 | +0.05 | -7.25 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | vs New Haven FCS | Regular Season | W 38-16 | -10.0 | Cover | 46.5 | Over | -7.25 | +1.44 | +0.11 | -5.81 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ Central Connecticut FCS | Regular Season | L 7-10 | +5.5 | Cover | 42.5 | Under | -5.81 | +0.23 | +0.01 | -5.58 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Duquesne FCS | Regular Season | W 29-11 | +7.0 | Cover | 43.5 | Under | -5.58 | +1.61 | +0.10 | -3.97 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | @ St. Francis (PA) FCS | Regular Season | W 10-3 | -14.0 | No cover | 37.5 | Under | -3.97 | +0.44 | +0.04 | -3.52 |
| 13 | Nov 22, 2025 | vs Wagner FCS | Regular Season | W 24-17 | -10.0 | No cover | 36.5 | Over | -3.52 | +0.37 | +0.03 | -3.15 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CurrentThis season anchors the current board. | 6-6 | #156 | -1.5 | 36 | 12 | 197 | 226 | -29 |
| 2024 | In rangeA season that landed inside the normal historical band. | 4-8 | #257 | -5.2 | 9 | 12 | 266 | 333 | -67 |
| 2023 | In rangeA season that landed inside the normal historical band. | 4-7 | #224 | -3.5 | 12 | 11 | 216 | 290 | -74 |
| 2022 | In rangeA season that landed inside the normal historical band. | 4-7 | #227 | -3.9 | 16 | 11 | 266 | 417 | -151 |
| 2021 | In rangeA season that landed inside the normal historical band. | 2-8 | #205 | -3.9 | 6 | 10 | 139 | 405 | -266 |