Dayton

3-0

Pioneer · Welcome Stadium · 11,000 · 3,110 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat Drake · our model 68% Dayton · a number, not a pick

LastW 17–14 at Eastern Kentucky · Sat Sep 19 · Luke Hansen 110 rush yds, 1 TD, 10 rec yds

Nextat Drake · Sat Oct 3 · 1 pm ET · Drake Stadium · series 14-7, last win 2022

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Dayton · 2026 schedule & results3-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Aug 29#175#360Fairmont StateW 43–201-00-0
2Sep 12#195#377Thomas MoreW 30–72-00-0
3Sep 19#205#168+11.5@Eastern KentuckyW 17–143-00-0
5Oct 3#188#234@Drake
6Oct 10Morehead State
7Oct 17@Butler
8Oct 24San Diego
9Oct 31@Stetson
10Nov 7Valparaiso
11Nov 14Davidson
12Nov 21@Presbyterian
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@Eastern KentuckyW 17–14-0.09931.2%124.2%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12Thomas MoreW 30–7+0.14545.5%125.0%Best success rate
Aug 29Fairmont StateW 43–20+0.17038.9%131.0%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)+0.07238.5%126.7%

Game Week

11 days

until kickoff · at Drake · Sat Oct 3 · 1 pm ET

Verdict Begins·Live

Dayton is the Ohio program that won two NCAA Division III national championships and built a 17-year winning streak — an FCS institution for 30 years, now chasing the form that made it a dynasty.

Title DroughtSince 2015 · 11 yrs

Fans here believe dayton's chip is internal — a program measured against its own ceiling. The question isn't disrespect; it's whether the program can still access the standard it set for itself.

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What it is like to watch them2025 · 7-4 · last season

Game feel45rock fightscombined pts / game10th highest-scoring of 11 in the Pioneer
Heart rate2-2some dramain one-score games (4 of 11)6th most one-score games of 11 in the Pioneer
Margin+10.5comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 11 in the Pioneer
Big plays1.53highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 11 in the Pioneer
Home crowd3,547avg attendance3rd biggest crowds of 11 in the Pioneer

✓ measured from 11 games · ranks are among Pioneer teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Dayton has won four of its last five.

Warming. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last four.

Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
The forecast

Next Oct 3

vs Drake · away

Outcome band · Dayton · 2026

Dayton's most likely season is 3-9 — mid-table finish. The floor is 1-11; the ceiling is 6-6.

Floor1-11Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
Base3-9Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.

No season-path projection for this program yet, so this is last season's record with a two-win swing down and a three-win swing up, over a 12-game frame.

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Dayton is the Ohio program that won two NCAA Division III national championships and built a 17-year winning streak — an FCS institution for 30 years, now chasing the form that made it a dynasty.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages synth v1.0 “Go Flyers.”
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