Next game
at Lake Erie
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Jack Britt Memorial Stadium · series 2-1, last win 2024
Thomas More 28% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Thomas More
1-6Great Midwest Athletic · BB&T Field at Griffin Plaza · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 10-48 vs Ashland
Our model gave Thomas More 27% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Northwood 3%, Findlay 6%, Lake Erie 28%
Win out <1% · expect 1.2 of 4 more wins
Thomas More's chance to win each game left, from our model: Lake Erie 28%, Findlay 6%, Northwood 3%, Kentucky Wesleyan 86%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Ben Chesser 140 · Rushing Martavious Smith 40 · Receiving Numehnne Gwilly 40 All player stats
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Lake Erie · our model 28% Thomas More
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Thomas More · 2026 schedule and results1-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 58%.Our rank entering each game: #366 to #386
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #366 | #380 | — | @Wheeling | L 10-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #373 | #193 | — | @Dayton | L 7-30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | Pass Chesser 140 · Rush Smith 40 · Rec Gwilly 40 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #362 | #339 | — | @Tiffin | L 14-38 | 0-3 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #370 | #332 | — | @Hillsdale | L 7-38 | 0-4 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #385 | #327 | — | Walsh | W 24-21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #377 | #364 | — | @Ohio Dominican | L 24-34 | 1-5 | 1-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #386 | #309 | — | Ashland | L 10-48 | 1-6 | 1-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #403 | #383 | @Lake Erie | 2 pm ET28% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #403 | #291 | Findlay | 12 pm ET6% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Northwood | 12 pm ET3% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Kentucky Wesleyan | 12 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Thomas More, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Thomas More: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Thomas More has won one of its last five.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Thomas More · 2026
Range of outcomes · Thomas More · 2026Thomas More’s most likely regular season is 2-9. 88% of outcomes land from 2-9 to 3-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 10%; 2 wins 61%; 3 wins 27%; 4 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-6
Game feel47even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 10 in the Great Midwest Athletic
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 7)8th most one-score games of 10 in the Great Midwest Athletic
Margin-20.0outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 10 in the Great Midwest Athletic
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great Midwest Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Thomas More enters the 2026 season at 1-6.
2026 Record1-6
Game day
The experience
Thomas More is the Great Midwest Athletic program known for the saints.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site