Stetson · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Stetson · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Stetson1894 first Florida college football games
Stetson plays the first college football games in Florida, pioneering the sport in the state
Stetson3-9Hope-Doping·Offseason
Stetson is the Florida pioneer — the oldest continuous college football in the state (first games 1894) — that dropped the sport in 1956 and revived it in 2013, now rebuilding to find the program it once was.
Standard GapA 1927 undefeated team that beat Auburn and Miami, and a 1952 Tangerine…
Fans here believe stetson has no chip. The program is still establishing itself. The chip would come much later, after winning seasons accumulate and a rivalry reignites.
offseason · quiet
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · at South Dakota State · Sat Aug 29 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Stetson is the Florida pioneer — the oldest continuous college football in the state (first games 1894) — that dropped the sport in 1956 and revived it in 2013, now rebuilding to find the program it once was.
The Hatters keep the faith.
Stetson · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 1-11
Base 3-9
Ceiling 6-6
floor1-11Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base3-9Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling6-6Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hibernating
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs South Dakota State · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Stetson
—
The Hatters keep the faith.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Stetson"
— Stetson fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Stetson · medium confidence
Stable (42)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 3-9 (25% win rate)44
Volume — 2 effective signal-N39
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Stetson · 2025 schedule & results3-9Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #259 | — | — | Webber International | L 21–31 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #242 | — | — | Warner University | W 59–13 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #238 | #172 | +27.5 | @Chattanooga | L 0–63 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #248 | — | +35.5 | Harvard | L 7–59 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #263 | #208 | +25.5 | @Dayton | L 14–48 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #264 | #259 | +6.5 | Davidson | W 35–32 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #262 | #250 | +7 | Morehead State | W 21–14 | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #258 | #123 | +34.5 | @Presbyterian | L 7–42 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #261 | #154 | +25.5 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 10–52 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #265 | #239 | +12.5 | @Marist | L 13–41 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #269 | #270 | +2.5 | @Valparaiso | L 31–32 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #269 | #150 | +22 | San Diego | L 8–42 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | San Diego | L 8–42 | — | — | — | -0.185 | 32.6% | 103.3% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 15 | @Valparaiso | L 31–32 | — | — | — | +0.059 | 38.9% | 125.3% | One-score loss |
| Nov 8 | @Marist | L 13–41 | — | — | — | +0.053 | 38.9% | 130.9% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 25 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 10–52 | — | — | — | -0.349 | 13.2% | 165.8% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 18 | @Presbyterian | L 7–42 | — | — | — | -0.030 | 29.6% | 140.9% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 11 | Morehead State | W 21–14 | — | — | — | +0.082 | 38.7% | 116.8% | One-score win |
| Oct 4 | Davidson | W 35–32 | — | — | — | +0.450 | 56.1% | 141.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 27 | @Dayton | L 14–48 | — | — | — | -0.017 | 37.5% | 141.7% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 20 | Harvard | L 7–59 | — | — | — | -0.032 | 26.2% | 150.4% | Blowout loss |
| Sep 13 | @Chattanooga | L 0–63 | — | — | — | -0.203 | 22.0% | 101.9% | Blowout loss |
| Sep 6 | Warner University | W 59–13 | — | — | — | +0.378 | 57.3% | 112.6% | Best success rate |
| Aug 30 | Webber International | L 21–31 | — | — | — | -0.135 | 40.3% | 120.5% | |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | +0.006 | 35.9% | 129.3% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Stetson's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.01; 5th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.01. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.12 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Stetson · 2018-present
Elite
54% home win rate vs 21% on the road. margin runs +16.6 better at home. Spec Martin Municipal Stadium seats 6,000, averaging 27% full (1,606 attendance, 10 games reported).
Home24-20Away7-25
Venue texture
79°F average kickoff temp; 28% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 32 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Stetson
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
56-120-2
since 1911 · 39 seasons · .314 win rate
HOME
33-50-1
AWAY
19-62-1
NEUTRAL
4-8
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
2010s
2020s
Pioneer Standing · 2025
9th in the Pioneer
Stetson is 9th of 12 in the Pioneer at 2-6. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake | 7-1 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 6-2 |
| 3 | San Diego | 6-2 |
| 4 | Dayton | 5-3 |
| 5 | St. Thomas (MN) | 5-3 |
| 6 | Butler | 4-4 |
| 7 | Morehead State | 4-4 |
| 8 | Marist | 3-5 |
| 9 | Stetson | 2-6 |
| 10 | Davidson | 1-7 |
| 11 | Valparaiso | 1-7 |
| 12 | Jacksonville | 0-0 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1927 undefeated season
Stetson goes undefeated with wins over Auburn (then a major power) and Miami
1952 Tangerine Bowl
Stetson's last bowl appearance before the 1956 discontinuation
2013 revival
Stetson revives football after 56 years, starting a second era
Moment of the Year · Stetson · 2025
Moment of the Year · Stetson · 2025Won 59-13 vs Warner University
Week 2 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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