Bethune-Cookman · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Bethune-Cookman · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Bethune-CookmanThe 2010 national championship
Bethune-Cookman won the black college national championship in the MEAC
Bethune-Cookman6-6Hope-Doping·Offseason
Bethune-Cookman is the Florida HBCU that won black college national championships in 2010 and 2013 — now rebuilding in the SWAC (since 2021) under Raymond Woodie Jr. in year three, searching to return to national prominence.
Title DroughtSince 2013 · 12 yrs
Fans here believe bethune-Cookman won national championships in 2010 and 2013 and knows that standard. The chip is that the transition from MEAC to SWAC has been rough, but the program refuses to acce…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
28 days
until kickoff · at UCF · Thu Sep 3 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Bethune-Cookman is the Florida HBCU that won black college national championships in 2010 and 2013 — now rebuilding in the SWAC (since 2021) under Raymond Woodie Jr. in year three, searching to return to national prominence.
The Wildcats are on the prowl.
Bethune-Cookman · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base6-6Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Sep 3
vs UCF · away
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] Jackson State Defeats Bethune-Cookman 28-13
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
The Pulse on Bethune-Cookman
—
The Wildcats are on the prowl.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Bethune-Cookman"
— Bethune-Cookman fanbase · recurring line
9 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Bethune-Cookman · medium confidence
Growing (53)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 6-6 (50% win rate)58
Volume — 9 effective signal-N49
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#44 / 138 · 69th pct29.7
Pts allowed/game#121 / 138 · 13th pct32.7
All 10 stats
Other
H1 epa per play#146 / 162 · 10th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct-0.0-0.0
H1 epa per play opponent#165 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct0.60.0/gm
First down pass rate#170 / 215 · 21st pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct0.40.0/gm
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips#137 / 167 · 19th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#1 / 7 · 100th pct70.6/gm
Red zone score %#152 / 167 · 10th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#7 / 7 · 14th pct57.1%57.1%
Points / drive#154 / 167 · 8th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#5 / 7 · 43rd pct0.60.0/gm
Yards / drive#134 / 167 · 20th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#2 / 7 · 86th pct33.82.8/gm
Plays / drive#93 / 167 · 45th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#2 / 7 · 86th pct6.50.5/gm
Three-and-out rate#92 / 167 · 46th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#7 / 7 · 14th pct14.3%14.3%
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Standard-downs success allowed#171 / 172 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct68.5%68.5%
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Bethune-Cookman · 2025 schedule & results6-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51% · 1 AP top-25 opponent on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #213 | #125 | +26.5 | @Florida International | L 9–42 142 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #208 | #6 | +54.5 | @Miami | L 3–45 117 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #188 | #139 | +18 | @South Carolina State | L 41–55 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #206 | #296 | — | Edward Waters | W 35–9 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #214 | #175 | +4.5 | Alabama A&M | W 41–34 | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #206 | #117 | +13 | @Alabama State | L 35–52 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #212 | #237 | -1 | Southern | W 45–14 | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #197 | #250 | -13.5 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 31–14 | 4-4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #189 | #253 | -22 | Mississippi Valley State | W 42–34 | 5-4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #192 | #188 | +1.5 | @Grambling | L 23–31 | 5-5 | 4-2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #200 | #80 | +23.5 | @Jackson State | L 13–28 | 5-6 | 4-3 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #195 | #214 | +2.5 | Florida A&M (N) | W 38–34 | 6-6 | 5-3 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | @Jackson State | L 13–28 | — | — | — | -0.146 | 32.1% | 140.8% | |
| Nov 8 | @Grambling | L 23–31 | — | — | — | +0.147 | 40.3% | 134.9% | One-score loss |
| Nov 1 | Mississippi Valley State | W 42–34 | — | — | — | +0.223 | 46.2% | 113.4% | One-score win |
| Oct 25 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 31–14 | — | — | — | +0.145 | 47.3% | 101.6% | |
| Oct 4 | @Alabama State | L 35–52 | — | — | — | +0.358 | 54.3% | 126.2% | Best success rate |
| Sep 27 | Alabama A&M | W 41–34 | — | — | — | +0.474 | 50.8% | 153.6% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 20 | Edward Waters | W 35–9 | — | — | — | +0.166 | 46.2% | 125.9% | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 13 | @South Carolina State | L 41–55 | — | — | — | +0.299 | 52.0% | 139.6% | |
| Sep 6 | @Miami | L 3–45 | 191 | 2 | 31:55 | -0.228 | 24.5% | 113.2% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Aug 29 | @Florida International | L 9–42 | 346 | 1 | 27:59 | -0.024 | 32.4% | 126.7% | Blowout loss |
| Season average (10 games) | 268 | 1.5 | +0.142 | 42.6% | 127.6% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Bethune-Cookman's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.14; 50th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 10: 0.18 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Bethune-Cookman · 2018-present
Elite
55% home win rate vs 23% on the road. margin runs +18.5 better at home. Municipal Stadium seats 10,000, averaging 73% full (7,251 attendance, 10 games reported).
Home16-13Away10-33
Venue texture
79°F average kickoff temp; 32% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.
Based on 22 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Bethune-Cookman
Power Program
All-Time Record
139-109
since 1977 · 23 seasons · .560 win rate
HOME
66-36
AWAY
51-62
NEUTRAL
22-11
1970s
2000s
2010s
2020s
SWAC Standing · 2025
4th in the SWAC
Bethune-Cookman sits 4th of 12 in the SWAC at 5-3. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama State | 8-1 |
| 2 | Prairie View A&M | 8-1 |
| 3 | Jackson State | 7-2 |
| 4 | Bethune-Cookman | 5-3 |
| 5 | Texas Southern | 5-3 |
| 6 | Florida A&M | 4-4 |
| 7 | Grambling | 4-4 |
| 8 | Alcorn State | 4-5 |
| 9 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 2-6 |
| 10 | Alabama A&M | 2-7 |
| 11 | Southern | 2-8 |
| 12 | Mississippi Valley State | 1-8 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
The 2013 national championship
Bethune-Cookman won the black college national championship in the MEAC
2021
SWAC membership
Bethune-Cookman joined the SWAC after four decades in the MEAC
Moment of the Year · Bethune-Cookman · 2025
Moment of the Year · Bethune-Cookman · 2025Lost 3-45 at Miami
Week 2 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
r/cfb moments
300
[Postgame Thread] UCF Defeats Bethune-Cookman 63-14
129
[Postgame Thread] Bethune-Cookman Defeats Jackson State 36-15
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
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