Bethune-Cookman at Southern

Away
Bethune-Cookman
5-4 Lost last game
Home
Southern
4-5 Won last game
Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET · Ace W. Mumford StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Bethune-Cookman (5‑4) at Southern (4‑5) — no line posted yet, but the model favors Southern (62%).

How they got here

Last three games

Bethune-Cookman · 5-4

Rated 174th in our preseason ratings, 204th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Jackson State as an 8.5-point underdog.

L 21-63 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff No. 168 of 668 teams

lost by 42 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 24-21 vs Jackson State No. 135 of 668 teams

won by 3 as an 8.5-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman won 24-21 vs Jackson State. Chance to win started at 32%, low 24%, high better than 99%.

W 34-14 @ Mississippi Valley State No. 262 of 668 teams

won by 20 as a 6.5-point favorite

Bethune-Cookman won 34-14 at Mississippi Valley State. Chance to win started at 67%, low 30%, high better than 99%.

L 17-55 @ Alabama A&M No. 129 of 668 teams

lost by 38 as a 4-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman lost 17-55 at Alabama A&M. Chance to win started at 36%, low under 1%, high 38%.

W 16-10 vs Alabama State No. 152 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 7-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman won 16-10 vs Alabama State. Chance to win started at 38%, low 36%, high 98%.

L 21-31 vs South Carolina State No. 116 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 17.5-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman lost 21-31 vs South Carolina State. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 27%.

W 62-3 vs Virginia Lynchburg

Bethune-Cookman won 62-3 vs Virginia Lynchburg. Chance to win started at 63%, low 48%, high better than 99%.

W 43-18 vs Stetson No. 259 of 668 teams

won by 25 as a 14.5-point favorite

Bethune-Cookman won 43-18 vs Stetson. Chance to win started at 88%, low 83%, high better than 99%.

L 6-73 @ UCF No. 103 of 668 teams

lost by 67 as a 43.5-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman lost 6-73 at UCF. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

Last three games

Southern · 4-5

Rated 201st in our preseason ratings, 194th now.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 28-point win over Florida A&M as a 6.5-point underdog.

W 42-14 @ Florida A&M No. 237 of 668 teams

won by 28 as a 6.5-point underdog

Southern won 42-14 at Florida A&M. Chance to win started at 22%, low 19%, high better than 99%.

L 21-24 @ Texas Southern No. 248 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog

Southern lost 21-24 at Texas Southern. Chance to win started at 41%, low under 1%, high 73%.

W 28-14 @ Prairie View A&M No. 175 of 668 teams

won by 14 as a 15.5-point underdog

Southern won 28-14 at Prairie View A&M. Chance to win started at 10%, low 4%, high better than 99%.

L 10-41 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff No. 200 of 668 teams

lost by 31 as a 3-point favorite

Southern lost 10-41 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Chance to win started at 64%, low under 1%, high 82%.

L 17-35 @ Jackson State No. 122 of 668 teams

lost by 18 as a 20.5-point underdog

W 50-31 vs Louisiana Christian

Southern won 50-31 vs Louisiana Christian. Chance to win started at 60%, low 55%, high better than 99%.

L 6-77 @ HoustonTop 25 No. 23 of 668 teams

lost by 71 as a 51.5-point underdog

Southern lost 6-77 at Houston. Never had a real chance.

W 34-15 vs Kentucky State No. 287 of 668 teams

Southern won 34-15 vs Kentucky State. Chance to win started at 57%, low 45%, high better than 99%.

L 17-30 @ Alabama State No. 128 of 668 teams

lost by 13 as a 19.5-point favorite

Southern lost 17-30 vs Alabama State. Chance to win started at 84%, low 3%, high 95%.

What’s at stake

Bethune-Cookman

  • Bethune-Cookman is 1 game back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
  • Bethune-Cookman is still shaking off a 42-point loss.

Southern

  • Southern is 2 games back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
  • Southern is coming off a 28-point win.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

Southern leads the series 3-1

4 meetings since 2006 · Bethune-Cookman won the last meeting

  • 2025Bethune-Cookman 45-14
  • 2024Southern 25-23
  • 2023 · neutral siteSouthern 28-18
  • 2006 · neutral siteSouthern 30-29

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-7 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.6 at home vs. away over 44 games — inside the ±10.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 611 miles to get here.

Week by week

Southern

Wk 4: L 17-35 at Jackson State▼18Jackson…Wk 5: L 10-41 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff▼31Arkansas…Wk 6: W 28-14 at Prairie View A&M▲14Prairie…Wk 8: L 21-24 at Texas Southern▼3T. South…Wk 9: W 42-14 at Florida A&M▲28F. A&M
  • Wk 4Lat Jackson State17-35
  • Wk 5Lvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff10-41
  • Wk 6Wat Prairie View A&M28-14
  • Wk 8Lat Texas Southern21-24
  • Wk 9Wat Florida A&M42-14

Bethune-Cookman

Wk 5: W 16-10 vs Alabama State▲6Alabama…Wk 6: L 17-55 at Alabama A&M▼38Alabama…Wk 7: W 34-14 at Mississippi Valley State▲20Mississi…Wk 8: W 24-21 vs Jackson State▲3Jackson…Wk 9: L 21-63 at Arkansas-Pine Bluff▼42Arkansas…
  • Wk 5Wvs Alabama State16-10
  • Wk 6Lat Alabama A&M17-55
  • Wk 7Wat Mississippi Valley State34-14
  • Wk 8Wvs Jackson State24-21
  • Wk 9Lat Arkansas-Pine Bluff21-63

Power rating by week

Southern is rated 1.6 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-7-9-12Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10SouthernBethune-Cookman

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.