Texas Southern · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Texas Southern · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Texas SouthernThe 1952 national championship
Texas Southern won the black college national championship
Texas Southern6-5Hope-Doping·Offseason
Texas Southern is the Texas HBCU with a 1952 black college national championship and Pro Football Hall of Famer Michael Strahan as its most famous product — a program rebuilding under Cris Dishman in year two.
Title DroughtSince 1952 · 73 yrs
Fans here believe texas Southern won a national championship in 1952 and has been competitive ever since but never reached that peak again. The chip is that the program knows the standard exists and i…
low signal
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · vs North Carolina Central · Sat Aug 29 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Texas Southern is the Texas HBCU with a 1952 black college national championship and Pro Football Hall of Famer Michael Strahan as its most famous product — a program rebuilding under Cris Dishman in year two.
The Tigers wait in the brush.
Texas Southern · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base6-6Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs North Carolina Central · at home
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Texas Southern
—
The Tigers wait in the brush.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Texas Southern"
— Texas Southern fanbase · recurring line
5 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Texas Southern · medium confidence
Growing (52)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 6-5 (55% win rate)60
Volume — 5 effective signal-N44
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Texas Southern · 2025 schedule & results6-5Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 42% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | #222 | #159 | -1.5 | Prairie View A&M | L 21–22 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #217 | #65 | +44.5 | @California | L 3–35 131 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #202 | #176 | +9.5 | Lamar | L 7–31 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #232 | #246 | -13.5 | @Mississippi Valley State | W 23–20 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #228 | #244 | -6 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 51–7 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #209 | #190 | +3.5 | @Grambling | W 21–20 | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #202 | — | — | Virginia Lynchburg | W 61–10 | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #197 | #211 | -6.5 | Alcorn State | L 14–33 | 4-4 | 3-2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #220 | #101 | +17.5 | @Alabama State | L 24–42 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #213 | #262 | -6.5 | @Southern | W 35–30 | 5-5 | 4-3 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #218 | #234 | -3.5 | Alabama A&M | W 24–7 | 6-5 | 5-3 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Alabama A&M | W 24–7 | — | — | — | +0.097 | 43.1% | 102.4% | |
| Nov 15 | @Southern | W 35–30 | — | — | — | +0.293 | 50.0% | 102.1% | Best success rate |
| Nov 8 | @Alabama State | L 24–42 | — | — | — | +0.123 | 50.0% | 107.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Nov 1 | Alcorn State | L 14–33 | — | — | — | -0.051 | 36.2% | 142.9% | |
| Oct 11 | @Grambling | W 21–20 | — | — | — | +0.102 | 40.7% | 126.3% | One-score win |
| Oct 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 51–7 | — | — | — | +0.431 | 49.3% | 128.5% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 27 | @Mississippi Valley State | W 23–20 | — | — | — | +0.121 | 42.4% | 129.6% | One-score win |
| Sep 13 | Lamar | L 7–31 | — | — | — | +0.047 | 31.5% | 117.4% | |
| Sep 6 | @California | L 3–35 | 192 | 1 | 28:22 | -0.313 | 25.4% | 77.4% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Aug 31 | Prairie View A&M | L 21–22 | — | — | — | +0.192 | 41.2% | 153.9% | Most explosive |
| Season average (10 games) | 192 | 1.0 | +0.104 | 41.0% | 118.7% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Texas Southern's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.10; 45th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.19 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Texas Southern · 2018-present
Elite
33% home win rate vs 21% on the road. margin runs +20.6 better at home. BBVA Compass Stadium seats 22,000, averaging 37% full (8,040 attendance, 9 games reported).
Home10-20Away9-33
Venue texture
78°F average kickoff temp; 14% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 22 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Texas Southern
Power Program
All-Time Record
67-148-1
since 1977 · 27 seasons · .310 win rate
HOME
21-37-1
AWAY
22-80
NEUTRAL
24-31
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
SWAC Standing · 2025
5th in the SWAC
Texas Southern sits 5th of 12 in the SWAC at 5-3. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama State | 8-1 |
| 2 | Prairie View A&M | 8-1 |
| 3 | Jackson State | 7-2 |
| 4 | Bethune-Cookman | 5-3 |
| 5 | Texas Southern | 5-3 |
| 6 | Florida A&M | 4-4 |
| 7 | Grambling | 4-4 |
| 8 | Alcorn State | 4-5 |
| 9 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 2-6 |
| 10 | Alabama A&M | 2-7 |
| 11 | Southern | 2-8 |
| 12 | Mississippi Valley State | 1-8 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1993
Michael Strahan to the NFL
Strahan's NFL journey began as a Texas Southern product; Hall of Fame proof
2025
60+ NFL alumni
Multiple generations of Tigers have played professional football
Moment of the Year · Texas Southern · 2025
Moment of the Year · Texas Southern · 2025Won 51-7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Week 6 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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