Alabama State at Texas Southern
Alabama State (4‑4) at Texas Southern (3‑5) — no line posted yet, but the model favors Alabama State (78%).
How they got here
Last three games
Alabama State · 4-4
Rated 114th in our preseason ratings, 163rd now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 41-15 vs Mississippi Valley State No. 265 of 668 teams
won by 26 as a 34.5-point favorite
W 34-0 vs Lane College No. 399 of 668 teams
Last three games
Texas Southern · 3-5
Rated 209th in our preseason ratings, 235th now.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over Grambling as a 4.5-point underdog.
L 34-38 vs Mississippi Valley State No. 260 of 668 teams
lost by 4 as a 14-point favorite
L 10-66 @ Florida Atlantic No. 103 of 668 teams
lost by 56 as a 47.5-point underdog
L 14-52 @ Prairie View A&M No. 109 of 668 teams
lost by 38 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 42-30 vs North Carolina Central No. 167 of 668 teams
won by 12 as a 10.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Alabama State
- Alabama State is 1 game back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
Texas Southern
- Texas Southern is 2 games back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
- A win would be one of Texas Southern’s biggest of the season — a 72-spot gap in the power ratings.
The series
Alabama State leads the series 12-2
14 meetings since 2007 · Alabama State has won the last 6
- 2025Alabama State 42-24
- 2022Alabama State 16-13
- 2021Alabama State 24-21
- 2019Alabama State 27-21
- 2018Alabama State 30-21
Weather at kickoff
Typical at BBVA Compass Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 93, 3:30 pm Saturdays 77
Alabama State at Texas Southern · Saturday, Nov. 7 · 3 pm ET · BBVA Compass Stadium.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
If it kicked off at
Typical at BBVA Compass Stadium: noon Saturdays score 78, 3:30 pm 77, 7:30 pm 93.
- noon: 78, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 77, Mixed
- 7:30 pm: 93, Comfortable
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Typical means the average of regular-season Saturdays at this stadium, 2018 to 2025. It is not a forecast for this game.
Home field
Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.
0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-13 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.9 at home vs. away over 51 games — inside the ±9.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 566 miles to get here.
Week by week
Texas Southern
- Wk 4Lat Alcorn State40-43
- Wk 5Lat Florida Atlantic10-66
- Wk 6Lvs Mississippi Valley State34-38
- Wk 8Wvs Southern24-21
- Wk 9Wvs Grambling23-20
Alabama State
- Wk 4Wvs Mississippi Valley State41-15
- Wk 5Lat Bethune-Cookman10-16
- Wk 6Lvs Florida A&M27-28
- Wk 7Wat Arkansas-Pine Bluff21-15
- Wk 9Lat Alabama A&M28-31
Power rating by week
Alabama State is rated 5.2 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- Texas Southern9th2-3
- Alabama State7th3-3