Marist · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Marist · low confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Marist2013 Pioneer League title
Marist wins its first and only conference championship
Marist5-7Hope-Doping·Offseason
Marist is the Hudson Valley college that won one Pioneer League title and competes year to year with realistic ambitions — the program that accepts its tier and plays within it.
Title DroughtSince 2013 · 12 yrs
Fans here believe marist has no chip. The program competes in its lane — FCS non-scholarship football where .500 is the reasonable bar.
low signal
Approaching
22 days
until kickoff · at New Haven · Fri Aug 28 · 22:00 UTC
The experience
Marist is the Hudson Valley college that won one Pioneer League title and competes year to year with realistic ambitions — the program that accepts its tier and plays within it.
The Red Foxes hold the line.
Marist · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-4
floor3-9Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base5-7Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling8-4Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
The forecast
Opens Aug 28
vs New Haven · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Marist
—
The Red Foxes hold the line.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Red Foxes."
— Marist fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Marist · low confidence
Growing (53)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-7 (42% win rate)53
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Marist · 2025 schedule & results5-7Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #253 | #265 | +3.5 | New Haven | W 31–14 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #253 | #169 | +12 | Bucknell | L 23–34 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #254 | #222 | +7.5 | @Wagner | W 21–10 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #250 | #221 | +6.5 | @Butler | L 28–31 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #239 | #176 | +8.5 | San Diego | W 19–14 | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Oct 10 | #231 | #220 | +16.5 | @Pennsylvania | L 9–28 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #236 | #251 | -8.5 | @Morehead State | L 21–23 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #231 | #152 | +12.5 | Drake | L 17–31 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #235 | #140 | +14 | @St. Thomas (MN) | L 0–45 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #239 | #265 | -12.5 | Stetson | W 41–13 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #226 | #253 | -14 | Davidson | W 37–10 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #210 | #124 | +17.5 | @Presbyterian | L 25–29 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | @Presbyterian | L 25–29 | — | — | — | +0.113 | 36.5% | 121.7% | One-score loss |
| Nov 15 | Davidson | W 37–10 | — | — | — | +0.464 | 51.6% | 141.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 8 | Stetson | W 41–13 | — | — | — | +0.139 | 42.1% | 145.8% | Blowout win |
| Nov 1 | @St. Thomas (MN) | L 0–45 | — | — | — | -0.162 | 25.9% | 111.5% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 25 | Drake | L 17–31 | — | — | — | +0.051 | 41.8% | 114.3% | |
| Oct 18 | @Morehead State | L 21–23 | — | — | — | +0.075 | 40.5% | 121.9% | One-score loss |
| Oct 10 | @Pennsylvania | L 9–28 | — | — | — | +0.140 | 32.1% | 123.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 4 | San Diego | W 19–14 | — | — | — | -0.027 | 31.0% | 151.0% | One-score win |
| Sep 27 | @Butler | L 28–31 | — | — | — | +0.096 | 28.3% | 168.5% | One-score loss |
| Sep 13 | @Wagner | W 21–10 | — | — | — | -0.072 | 31.9% | 129.0% | Best defensive stand |
| Sep 6 | Bucknell | L 23–34 | — | — | — | +0.093 | 46.3% | 101.4% | |
| Aug 29 | New Haven | W 31–14 | — | — | — | +0.031 | 25.8% | 173.8% | Most explosive |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | +0.078 | 36.2% | 133.6% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Marist's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.08; 39th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.06 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Marist · 2018-present
Above-Average
36% home win rate vs 35% on the road. margin runs +3.6 better at home. Leonidoff Field seats 5,000, averaging 53% full (2,646 attendance, 10 games reported).
Home14-24Away14-25
Venue texture
63°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 27 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Marist
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
97-140
since 2003 · 22 seasons · .409 win rate
HOME
49-66
AWAY
42-69
NEUTRAL
6-5
2000s
2010s
2020s
Pioneer Standing · 2025
8th in the Pioneer
Marist is 8th of 12 in the Pioneer at 3-5. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake | 7-1 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 6-2 |
| 3 | San Diego | 6-2 |
| 4 | Dayton | 5-3 |
| 5 | St. Thomas (MN) | 5-3 |
| 6 | Butler | 4-4 |
| 7 | Morehead State | 4-4 |
| 8 | Marist | 3-5 |
| 9 | Stetson | 2-6 |
| 10 | Davidson | 1-7 |
| 11 | Valparaiso | 1-7 |
| 12 | Jacksonville | 0-0 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Moment of the Year · Marist · 2025
Moment of the Year · Marist · 2025Won 31-14 vs New Haven
Week 1 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
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