Butler · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Butler · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Butler1997 NCAA playoff berth
Butler's first FCS playoff run under Grant Teaff
Butler6-6Hope-Doping·Offseason
Butler is the Indianapolis school that competes for non-scholarship excellence every year — the Hoosier Helmet Trophy rival and the example that football works best without the noise.
Standard GapA 140-year-old private university with a 4–4 conference record vs the FC…
Fans here believe butler has no chip. The program chose a different path: invest in the student-athlete experience, not the recruiting machine. The chip would contradict the whole point.
offseason · quiet
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · vs Georgetown College Kentucky · Sat Aug 29 · 17:00 UTC
The experience
Butler is the Indianapolis school that competes for non-scholarship excellence every year — the Hoosier Helmet Trophy rival and the example that football works best without the noise.
The Bulldogs are patient.
Butler · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base6-6Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs Georgetown College Kentucky · at home
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Butler
—
The Bulldogs are patient.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Butler"
— Butler fanbase · recurring line
16 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Butler · medium confidence
Growing (56)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 6-6 (50% win rate)58
Volume — 15 effective signal-N54
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Butler · 2025 schedule & results6-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #153 | #202 | +16.5 | @Northern Iowa | L 14–38 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #193 | #307 | — | Truman State | W 37–27 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #214 | #443 | — | @Hanover College | W 16–7 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | #223 | #155 | +16 | @Weber State | L 24–38 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #221 | #250 | -6.5 | Marist | W 31–28 | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #224 | #179 | +6.5 | @St. Thomas (MN) | W 21–14 | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #200 | #127 | +10.5 | Presbyterian | L 25–31 | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #205 | #157 | +2.5 | @Dayton | W 23–17 | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #183 | #151 | +6.5 | Drake | L 19–24 | 5-4 | 3-2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #191 | #249 | -12.5 | @Morehead State | L 30–31 | 5-5 | 3-3 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #194 | #162 | +7.5 | @San Diego | L 7–29 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #206 | #268 | -16.5 | Valparaiso | W 27–20 | 6-6 | 4-4 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Valparaiso | W 27–20 | — | — | — | +0.107 | 46.3% | 105.9% | One-score win |
| Nov 15 | @San Diego | L 7–29 | — | — | — | -0.158 | 27.9% | 117.6% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 8 | @Morehead State | L 30–31 | — | — | — | +0.159 | 47.2% | 100.6% | One-score loss |
| Nov 1 | Drake | L 19–24 | — | — | — | +0.271 | 48.1% | 112.2% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 18 | @Dayton | W 23–17 | — | — | — | +0.211 | 36.1% | 154.7% | One-score win |
| Oct 11 | Presbyterian | L 25–31 | — | — | — | +0.180 | 48.1% | 94.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 4 | @St. Thomas (MN) | W 21–14 | — | — | — | +0.119 | 50.8% | 83.3% | Best success rate |
| Sep 27 | Marist | W 31–28 | — | — | — | +0.197 | 36.4% | 142.3% | One-score win |
| Sep 21 | @Weber State | L 24–38 | — | — | — | +0.029 | 22.7% | 172.5% | Most explosive |
| Sep 13 | @Hanover College | W 16–7 | — | — | — | +0.058 | 47.5% | 92.3% | Best defensive stand |
| Aug 30 | @Northern Iowa | L 14–38 | — | — | — | +0.143 | 45.2% | 115.0% | |
| Season average (11 games) | — | — | +0.120 | 41.5% | 117.3% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Butler's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.12; 49th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.14 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Butler · 2018-present
Strong
60% home win rate vs 37% on the road. margin runs +11.4 better at home. Butler Bowl seats 5,647, averaging 55% full (3,100 attendance, 12 games reported).
Home24-16Away15-25
Venue texture
66°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 29 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Butler
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
114-166-3
since 1892 · 52 seasons · .402 win rate
HOME
69-55-1
AWAY
36-103-2
NEUTRAL
9-8
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1960s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Pioneer Standing · 2025
6th in the Pioneer
Butler sits 6th of 12 in the Pioneer at 4-4. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake | 7-1 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 6-2 |
| 3 | San Diego | 6-2 |
| 4 | Dayton | 5-3 |
| 5 | St. Thomas (MN) | 5-3 |
| 6 | Butler | 4-4 |
| 7 | Morehead State | 4-4 |
| 8 | Marist | 3-5 |
| 9 | Stetson | 2-6 |
| 10 | Davidson | 1-7 |
| 11 | Valparaiso | 1-7 |
| 12 | Jacksonville | 0-0 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2006
Hoosier Helmet Trophy rivalry
The annual conference championship trophy against Valparaiso, the rivalry that defines the program's identity
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