Next game
at Bluffton
Sat Oct 24 · 1:30 pm ET
Alumni Field (OH) · series 3-1
Franklin 51% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Franklin
2-4Heartland · Stewart ""Red"" Faught Stadium · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 19-7 at Manchester
Our model gave Franklin 68% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Hanover 20%, Bluffton 51%
Win out 8% · expect 2.5 of 4 more wins
Franklin's chance to win each game left, from our model: Bluffton 51%, Muskingum 83%, Anderson (IN) 92%, Hanover 20%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Marshall Kmiecik 150 · Rushing Marshall Kmiecik 44 · Receiving Brayden Wilkins 54 All player stats
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Bluffton · our model 51% Franklin
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Franklin · 2026 schedule and results2-4Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 59%.Our rank entering each game: #593 to #565
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #593 | #583 | — | North Park | W 34-31 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #594 | #222 | — | @Butler | L 0-52 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Kmiecik 150 · Rush Kmiecik 44 · Rec Wilkins 54 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #525 | #539 | — | Calvin | L 7-41 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #572 | #546 | — | @Rose Hulman | L 34-42 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #572 | #485 | — | Mount St Joseph | L 36-42 | 1-4 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #565 | #668 | — | @Manchester | W 19-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #567 | #622 | @Bluffton | 1:30 pm ET51% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #567 | #609 | Muskingum | 1:30 pm ET83% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Anderson (IN) | 1:30 pm ET92% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Hanover | 1:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Franklin, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Franklin: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Franklin has won one of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Franklin · 2026
Range of outcomes · Franklin · 2026Franklin’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 92% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 9%; 4 wins 41%; 5 wins 41%; 6 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel58even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 7 in the Heartland
Heart rate1-2white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 6)1st most one-score games of 7 in the Heartland
Margin-14.2competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 7 in the Heartland
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Heartland teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Franklin College is the HCAC program that brought back its all-time winningest coach Mike Leonard — the Grizzlies are betting the 129-win legend can restore the program to championship contention.
Standard GapA program that struggled without its legendary coach vs the return of…
Fans here believe no chip. Franklin is honoring its past by bringing back the greatest coach in program history.
Game day
The experience
Franklin College is the HCAC program that brought back its all-time winningest coach Mike Leonard — the Grizzlies are betting the 129-win legend can restore the program to championship contention.
Playoff path
Franklin sits 5th in the Heartland Conference and 140th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Heartland · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanover | 2-0 | 5-1 | 65.5 |
| 2 | Rose Hulman | 2-0 | 4-2 | 54.3 |
| 3 | Mount St Joseph | 2-1 | 5-1 | 62.4 |
| 4 | Bluffton | 2-1 | 2-4 | 45.7 |
| 5 | Franklin | 1-2 | 2-4 | 47.5 |
| 6 | Anderson (IN) | 0-3 | 1-5 | 35.6 |
| 7 | Manchester | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.1 |
47.5 CFB Zeitgeist#140 of 245 D352.6 strength of schedule
Win the Heartland Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 19-7 over Manchester; toughest day 0-52 against Butler.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site