Next game
vs Marietta
Sat Oct 24 · 1:30 pm ET
Sherman Field at McConagha Stadium · series 1-3
Muskingum University 10% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Muskingum University
0-6Ohio · Sherman Field at McConagha Stadium · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 35-42 at Wilmington (OH)
Our model gave Muskingum University 37% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Baldwin Wallace <1%
Win out <1% · expect 0.8 of 4 more wins
Muskingum University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Marietta 10%, Franklin 17%, Otterbein 53%, Baldwin Wallace <1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Marietta · our model 10% Muskingum University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Muskingum University · 2026 schedule and results0-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #571 to #608
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #571 | #513 | — | @Mount St Joseph | L 0-34 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #576 | #508 | — | @Ohio Northern | L 13-41 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #580 | #507 | — | @Heidelberg | L 0-56 | 0-3 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #589 | #464 | — | Mount Union | L 7-65 | 0-4 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #598 | #586 | — | Capital | L 25-36 | 0-5 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #608 | #620 | — | @Wilmington (OH) | L 35-42 | 0-6 | 0-5 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #609 | #524 | Marietta | 1:30 pm ET10% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #609 | #567 | @Franklin | 1:30 pm ET17% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Otterbein | 1:30 pm ET53% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Baldwin Wallace | 1:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Muskingum University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Muskingum University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Muskingum University has lost seven straight.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last seven.
Streak L7Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Muskingum University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Muskingum University · 2026Muskingum University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 99% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 35%; 1 wins 50%; 2 wins 13%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel59even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 10 in the Ohio
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)8th most one-score games of 10 in the Ohio
Margin-32.3outgunnedavg scoring margin10th best margin of 10 in the Ohio
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Ohio teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Fighting Muskies of New Concord, John Glenn's hometown school, with four perfect seasons in its early history and an OAC football tradition that long predates the Mount Union era.
Standard GapA program whose perfect seasons came generations ago — the identity is…
Muskingum has four perfect seasons in the books, and in the modern OAC the whole conversation is about getting past Mount Union just to matter.
Game day
The experience
The Fighting Muskies of New Concord, John Glenn's hometown school, with four perfect seasons in its early history and an OAC football tradition that long predates the Mount Union era.
Playoff path
Muskingum University sits 10th in the Ohio Conference and 224th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Ohio · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baldwin Wallace | 4-0 | 6-0 | 72.4 |
| 2 | Ohio Northern | 4-1 | 4-2 | 55.4 |
| 3 | Heidelberg | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.2 |
| 4 | Mount Union | 3-1 | 4-2 | 60.4 |
| 5 | Marietta | 2-3 | 3-3 | 52.2 |
| 6 | Capital | 2-3 | 3-3 | 50.9 |
| 7 | Otterbein | 1-3 | 2-4 | 45.3 |
| 10 | Muskingum | 0-5 | 0-6 | 33.7 |
33.7 CFB Zeitgeist#224 of 245 D356.3 strength of schedule
Win the Ohio Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 35-42 over Wilmington (OH); toughest day 7-65 against Mount Union.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site