Capital · Next-Season Outcome Band2024 season (1-9)
Rock bottom, but the start of the turnaround narrative
Heartbreak
Capital3-7Hope-Doping·Offseason
Capital is the OAC rebuilder trying to snap a 15-year winning drought — 1-9 in 2024, but Head Coach Brian Foos is betting 2025 and beyond are the turnaround years.
Standard GapA small Columbus university that fell to 1-9 in 2024 vs the belief that…
Fans here believe no chip. Capital is climbing out of a hole of its own making and focused on the next step.
offseason · quiet
The Crusaders hold the line.
Capital · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 1-11
Base 3-9
Ceiling 6-6
floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
base3-9Mid-table finish.
ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cold
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Waynesburg · away
Game Week
11 days
until kickoff · at Waynesburg · Sat Sep 5 · 17:00 UTC
The experience
Capital is the OAC rebuilder trying to snap a 15-year winning drought — 1-9 in 2024, but Head Coach Brian Foos is betting 2025 and beyond are the turnaround years.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
Capital sits 9th in the Ohio Conference and 182nd of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Ohio · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Carroll | 1-0 | 12-2 | 74.2 |
| 2 | Mount Union | 8-1 | 11-1 | 74.0 |
| 3 | Ohio Northern | 7-1 | 8-3 | 60.5 |
| 4 | Baldwin Wallace | 6-2 | 8-2 | 62.2 |
| 5 | Heidelberg | 5-3 | 6-4 | 54.2 |
| 6 | Muskingum University | 4-4 | 4-6 | 47.7 |
| 7 | Marietta | 3-5 | 5-5 | 51.8 |
| 9 | Capital | 1-7 | 3-7 | 42.0 |
42.0 CFB Zeitgeist#182 of 240 D350.1 strength of schedule
Win the Ohio Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 3-7
Signature win 52-27 over Manchester; toughest day 0-56 against Ohio Northern.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Capital
—
The Crusaders hold the line.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go Capital"
— Capital fanbase · recurring line
18 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Capital · 2025 schedule & results3-7Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sep 13 | — | #574 | — | Catholic | W 36–20 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #606 | #499 | — | Baldwin Wallace | L 7–44 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #626 | #508 | — | Marietta | L 21–24 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #619 | #558 | — | @Heidelberg | L 27–30 | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #611 | #667 | — | @Manchester | W 52–27 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #602 | #507 | — | @Ohio Northern | L 0–56 | 2-4 | 0-4 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #604 | #638 | — | Otterbein | L 19–20 | 2-5 | 0-5 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #610 | #436 | — | @Mount Union | L 17–65 | 2-6 | 0-6 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #600 | #575 | — | Muskingum University | L 3–7 | 2-7 | 0-7 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #601 | #596 | — | @Wilmington (OH) | W 28–27 | 3-7 | 1-7 |
Home-Field Advantage · Capital · 2018-present
Strong
15% home win rate vs 10% on the road. margin runs +10.6 better at home. Bernlohr Stadium seats 3,000.
Home3-17Away2-18
Venue texture
70°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.
Based on 20 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
5-35
since 2022 · 4 seasons · .125 win rate
HOME
3-17
AWAY
2-18
NEUTRAL
0-0
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Moment of the Year · Capital · 2025
Moment of the Year · Capital · 2025Won 36-20 vs Catholic
Week 3 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
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