CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Otterbein

1-9 2025 final

Otterbein is the OAC program attempting its first winning season since 2017 — a 1-9 2024 led to hiring Dave Marquis from Valparaiso, betting the FCS coordinator can rebuild the Cardinals.

Cardinals country waits.

Record
1-9
win% .100
Conference
10th of 10
Ohio · 1-7
Index Rating
36.8
D3 #205 of 240
Playoff Path
Win the league
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic
The Long Wait·Offseason

Otterbein is the OAC program attempting its first winning season since 2017 — a 1-9 2024 led to hiring Dave Marquis from Valparaiso, betting the FCS coordinator can rebuild the Cardinals.

Standard GapAn OAC member that has not had a winning season in eight years vs the be…

After a 1-9 season in 2024, Otterbein hired Dave Marquis, the former defensive coordinator at Valparaiso University, as head coach in 2025. Marquis brings FCS experience and a fresh approach to a program that needs to snap an eigh…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Otterbein sits 10th in the Ohio Conference and 205th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.

Ohio · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1John Carroll University1-012-274.2
2University of Mount Union8-111-174.0
3Ohio Northern7-18-360.5
4Baldwin Wallace6-28-262.2
5Heidelberg5-36-454.2
6Muskingum University4-44-647.7
7Marietta3-55-551.8
10Otterbein1-71-936.8
36.8 CFB Zeitgeist#205 of 240 D354.5 strength of schedule

Win the Ohio Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 1-9
L 28-65 vs Ohio Wesleyan · Wk 2-37Ohio WesL 31-47 at Marietta · Wk 3-16MariettaL 13-37 vs Muskingum University · Wk 5-24MuskinguL 7-62 at University of Mount Union · Wk 6-55UniversiL 14-56 vs Baldwin Wallace · Wk 7-42Baldwin L 41-54 vs Wilmington (OH) · Wk 8-13WilmingtW 20-19 at Capital · Wk 9+1CapitalL 13-69 at Heidelberg · Wk 10-56HeidelbeL 8-49 at Hanover College · Wk 11-41Hanover L 14-56 vs Ohio Northern · Wk 12-42Ohio Nor

Signature win 20-19 over Capital; toughest day 13-69 against Heidelberg.

The Pulse on Otterbein

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
Cardinals country waits.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Otterbein" — Otterbein fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Otterbein

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Otterbein · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
base1-11Mid-table finish.
ceiling4-8Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Otterbein · 2018-present

Average

10% home win rate vs 10% on the road. margin runs +2.1 better at home.

Home2-18Away2-18
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Cold

One of five. The film room is busy this week.

Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9

Schedule Strength · Otterbein · 2025

Hard

Average opponent win rate 55% across 10 finalized games. Strong conference slate — wins here carry full weight in Super Region selection.

Opp Win %0.559

From the Archive — Otterbein

2024: Won 39-10 vs Capital

In 2024, the program won 39-10 vs Capital — a blowout home result that left the 29-point margin on the books.

Go Cardinals.