Next game
at Baldwin Wallace
Sat Oct 24 · 1:30 pm ET
George Finnie Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Otterbein <1% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Otterbein
2-4Ohio · Memorial Stadium (Westerville, OH) · 2,400 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 24-62 at Ohio Northern
Our model gave Otterbein 9% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Muskingum 47%
Win out <1% · expect 0.8 of 4 more wins
Otterbein's chance to win each game left, from our model: Baldwin Wallace <1%, Capital 26%, Muskingum 47%, Mount Union 3%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Baldwin Wallace · our model <1% Otterbein
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Otterbein · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 58%.Our rank entering each game: #648 to #641
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #648 | #548 | — | Calvin | L 21-53 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #650 | #524 | — | Heidelberg | L 0-38 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #653 | #607 | — | @Wilmington (OH) | W 35-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #644 | #519 | — | Marietta | L 7-42 | 1-3 | 1-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #647 | #668 | — | Manchester | W 36-35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #641 | #520 | — | @Ohio Northern | L 24-62 | 2-4 | 1-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #640 | #456 | @Baldwin Wallace | 1:30 pm ET<1% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #638 | #579 | Capital | 12 pm ET26% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Muskingum | 1:30 pm ET47% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Mount Union | 1:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Otterbein, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Otterbein: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Otterbein has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Otterbein · 2026
Range of outcomes · Otterbein · 2026Otterbein’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 100% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 38%; 3 wins 48%; 4 wins 14%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel61shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 10 in the Ohio
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 10 in the Ohio
Margin-20.2outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 10 in the Ohio
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Ohio teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Otterbein is the OAC program attempting its first winning season since 2017 — a 1-9 2024 led to hiring Dave Marquis from Valparaiso, betting the FCS coordinator can rebuild the Cardinals.
Standard GapAn OAC member that has not had a winning season in eight years vs the…
Fans here believe no chip. Otterbein is climbing out of a hole and focused on the next step.
Game day
The experience
Otterbein is the OAC program attempting its first winning season since 2017 — a 1-9 2024 led to hiring Dave Marquis from Valparaiso, betting the FCS coordinator can rebuild the Cardinals.
Playoff path
Otterbein sits 7th in the Ohio Conference and 156th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Ohio · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baldwin Wallace | 4-0 | 6-0 | 72.4 |
| 2 | Ohio Northern | 4-1 | 4-2 | 55.4 |
| 3 | Heidelberg | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.2 |
| 4 | Mount Union | 3-1 | 4-2 | 60.4 |
| 5 | Marietta | 2-3 | 3-3 | 52.2 |
| 6 | Capital | 2-3 | 3-3 | 50.9 |
| 7 | Otterbein | 1-3 | 2-4 | 45.3 |
| 8 | Wilmington (OH) | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.6 |
45.3 CFB Zeitgeist#156 of 245 D353.6 strength of schedule
Win the Ohio Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 35-14 over Wilmington (OH); toughest day 0-38 against Heidelberg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site