Next game
at Mount St Joseph
Sat Oct 24 · 1:30 pm ET
Schueler Field · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Manchester 1% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Manchester
1-5Heartland · Carl W. Burt Memorial Stadium · 4,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-19 vs Franklin
Our model gave Manchester 32% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Mount St Joseph 1%
Win out <1% · expect 0.7 of 4 more wins
Manchester's chance to win each game left, from our model: Mount St Joseph 1%, Rose Hulman 8%, Hanover 4%, Anderson (IN) 57%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Mount St Joseph · our model 1% Manchester
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Manchester · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47%.Our rank entering each game: #668 to #668
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #668 | #647 | — | Westminster (MO) | W 17-10 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #668 | #616 | — | @Hiram | L 11-20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #668 | #646 | — | Olivet | L 33-56 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #668 | #647 | — | @Otterbein | L 35-36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #667 | #640 | — | Bluffton | L 13-37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #668 | #565 | — | Franklin | L 7-19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #668 | #444 | @Mount St Joseph | 1:30 pm ET1% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #668 | #554 | @Rose Hulman | 2 pm ET8% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Hanover | 1:30 pm ET4% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Anderson (IN) | 1:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Manchester, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Manchester: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Manchester has lost five straight.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Manchester · 2026
Range of outcomes · Manchester · 2026Manchester’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 93% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 38%; 2 wins 55%; 3 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel49rock fightscombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 7 in the Heartland
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)5th most one-score games of 7 in the Heartland
Margin-10.3competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 7 in the Heartland
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Heartland teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Spartans of North Manchester, a Church of the Brethren college in northern Indiana — Manchester College until a 2012 renaming — playing Division III football at Burt Field in the Heartland Conference.
Standard GapA small faith-rooted college where football is part of a tight…
Manchester is a historic Brethren college with a long football past, and outside the Heartland Conference almost nobody knows the Spartans play at all.
Game day
The experience
The Spartans of North Manchester, a Church of the Brethren college in northern Indiana, Manchester College until a 2012 renaming, playing Division III football at Burt Field in the Heartland Conference.
Playoff path
Manchester sits 7th in the Heartland Conference and 218th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Heartland · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanover | 2-0 | 5-1 | 65.5 |
| 2 | Rose Hulman | 2-0 | 4-2 | 54.3 |
| 3 | Mount St Joseph | 2-1 | 5-1 | 62.4 |
| 4 | Bluffton | 2-1 | 2-4 | 45.7 |
| 5 | Franklin | 1-2 | 2-4 | 47.5 |
| 6 | Anderson (IN) | 0-3 | 1-5 | 35.6 |
| 7 | Manchester | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.1 |
35.1 CFB Zeitgeist#218 of 245 D348.7 strength of schedule
Win the Heartland Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 17-10 over Westminster (MO); toughest day 13-37 against Bluffton.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site