Next game
at Kalamazoo
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Angell Field · series 4-0, won the last 4
Olivet College 53% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Olivet College
3-3Michigan · Cutler Field · 2,200 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-55 at Alma
Our model gave Olivet College 36% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Trine 4%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
Olivet College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Kalamazoo 53%, Adrian 16%, Trine 4%, Albion 66%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Kalamazoo · our model 53% Olivet College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Olivet College · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.Our rank entering each game: #651 to #617
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #651 | #626 | — | Millikin | W 39-19 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #647 | #586 | — | North Park | W 43-41 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #646 | #668 | — | @Manchester | W 56-33 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #639 | #495 | — | @Calvin | L 20-66 | 3-1 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #630 | #449 | — | Hope | L 17-66 | 3-2 | 0-2 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #617 | #488 | — | @Alma | L 7-55 | 3-3 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #619 | #623 | @Kalamazoo | 2 pm ET53% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #619 | #480 | Adrian | 12 pm ET16% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Trine | 1 pm ET4% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Albion | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Olivet College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Olivet College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Olivet College has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Olivet College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Olivet College · 2026Olivet College’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 93% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 13%; 4 wins 43%; 5 wins 38%; 6 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel77shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 8 in the Michigan
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 8 in the Michigan
Margin-16.3competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 8 in the Michigan
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Michigan teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Comets of Olivet, Michigan — football since 1884 and a founding member of the MIAA, the nation's oldest collegiate conference, with 13 league titles to their name at the Cutler Athletic Complex.
Title DroughtSince 2016 · 10 yrs
Olivet helped found the oldest collegiate conference in America and owns 13 MIAA titles — and gets dismissed as a small Christian college nobody knows.
Game day
The experience
The Comets of Olivet, Michigan — football since 1884 and a founding member of the MIAA, the nation's oldest collegiate conference, with 13 league titles to their name at the Cutler Athletic Complex.
Playoff path
Olivet College sits 6th in the Michigan Conference and 114th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Michigan · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hope | 3-0 | 6-0 | 73.5 |
| 2 | Calvin | 3-0 | 6-0 | 70.1 |
| 3 | Trine | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.9 |
| 4 | Alma | 2-1 | 2-4 | 46.7 |
| 5 | Kalamazoo | 1-2 | 2-4 | 44.7 |
| 6 | Olivet | 0-3 | 3-3 | 51.3 |
| 7 | Adrian | 0-3 | 2-4 | 47.7 |
| 8 | Albion | 0-3 | 0-6 | 37.3 |
51.3 CFB Zeitgeist#114 of 245 D352.7 strength of schedule
Win the Michigan Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 56-33 over Manchester; toughest day 17-66 against Hope.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site