Next game
at Adrian
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Docking Stadium · series 3-1, last win 2024
Trine University 65% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Trine University
5-1Michigan · Fred Zollner Athletic Stadium · 5,000 seats
Last game · Thu Oct 15
W 40-16 vs Albion
Our model gave Trine University 97% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Hope 40%, Calvin 48%, Adrian 65%
Win out 12% · expect 2.5 of 4 more wins
Trine University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Adrian 65%, Calvin 48%, Olivet 96%, Hope 40%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Adrian · our model 65% Trine University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Trine University · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 42%.Our rank entering each game: #545 to #471
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #545 | #519 | — | Chicago | W 48-34 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #542 | #534 | — | @Illinois Wesleyan | L 35-45 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #542 | #638 | — | @Bluffton | W 59-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #525 | #631 | — | @Kalamazoo | W 58-12 | 3-1 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #501 | #467 | — | Alma | W 33-9 | 4-1 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 15 | #471 | #583 | — | Albion | W 40-16 | 5-1 | 3-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #471 | #480 | @Adrian | 1 pm ET65% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #469 | #463 | Calvin | 1 pm ET48% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Olivet | 1 pm ET96% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Hope | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Trine University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Trine University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Trine University has won four of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last four.
Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Trine University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Trine University · 2026Trine University’s most likely regular season is 8-2. 100% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 12%; 7 wins 38%; 8 wins 38%; 9 wins 12%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel66shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 8 in the Michigan
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)8th most one-score games of 8 in the Michigan
Margin+25.0competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 8 in the Michigan
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Michigan teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Thunder of Angola, Indiana — the program once known as Tri-State University until a 2008 donor renaming — now one of the Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association's strongest Division III sides.
Standard GapA small northeast-Indiana school that turned a name change into a new…
A rebranded small school in rural northeast Indiana climbed into MIAA contention, and the national Division III conversation still acts like Trine doesn't exist.
Game day
The experience
The Thunder of Angola, Indiana, the program once known as Tri-State University until a 2008 donor renaming, now one of the Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association's strongest Division III sides.
Playoff path
Trine University sits 3rd in the Michigan Conference and 38th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — inside the projected 40-team field on the at-large math.
Michigan · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hope | 3-0 | 6-0 | 73.5 |
| 2 | Calvin | 3-0 | 6-0 | 70.1 |
| 3 | Trine | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.9 |
| 4 | Alma | 2-1 | 2-4 | 46.7 |
| 5 | Kalamazoo | 1-2 | 2-4 | 44.7 |
| 6 | Olivet | 0-3 | 3-3 | 51.3 |
| 7 | Adrian | 0-3 | 2-4 | 47.7 |
| 8 | Albion | 0-3 | 0-6 | 37.3 |
62.9 CFB Zeitgeist#38 of 245 D349.3 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Michigan Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 59-7 over Bluffton; toughest day 35-45 against Illinois Wesleyan.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site