Next game
at Carthage
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Art Keller Field · series 1-3, lost the last 3
Millikin University 61% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Millikin University
3-4CCIW · Frank M. Lindsay Field · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-35 vs Illinois Wesleyan
Our model gave Millikin University 17% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: North Central College 7%, Carthage 61%
Win out 4% · expect 1.5 of 3 more wins
Millikin University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Carthage 61%, Elmhurst 86%, North Central College 7%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Carthage · our model 61% Millikin University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Millikin University · 2026 schedule and results3-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 57%.Our rank entering each game: #626 to #603
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #626 | #651 | — | @Olivet | L 19-39 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #635 | #665 | — | Luther | W 37-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #633 | #454 | — | @Wheaton (IL) | L 10-82 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #625 | #587 | — | North Park | W 31-27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #620 | #525 | — | Carroll (WI) | L 28-31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #609 | #509 | — | @Augustana (IL) | L 41-49 | 2-4 | 1-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #603 | #498 | — | Illinois Wesleyan | W 42-35 | 3-4 | 2-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #587 | #597 | @Carthage | 2 pm ET61% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #587 | #635 | @Elmhurst | 1 pm ET86% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | North Central College | 1 pm ET7% to win |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Millikin University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Millikin University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Millikin University has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Millikin University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Millikin University · 2026Millikin University’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 92% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 5%; 4 wins 39%; 5 wins 52%; 6 wins 4%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base5-7Mid-table finish.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-4
Game feel69shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 9 in the CCIW
Heart rate2-2white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 9 in the CCIW
Margin-9.9competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 9 in the CCIW
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among CCIW teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Millikin is the Decatur, Illinois CCIW program fighting back from the depths with new coaching leadership and the first win in multiple years.
Standard GapA small liberal-arts university in Decatur, Illinois that suffered a…
Fans here believe no chip — Millikin is rebuilding and playing for survival and progress.
Game day
The experience
Millikin is the Decatur, Illinois CCIW program fighting back from the depths with new coaching leadership and the first win in multiple years.
Playoff path
Millikin University sits 6th in the CCIW and 126th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
CCIW · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheaton (IL) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 76.1 |
| 2 | North Central College | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Illinois Wesleyan | 3-2 | 5-2 | 62.0 |
| 4 | Carroll (WI) | 3-2 | 4-3 | 56.4 |
| 5 | Augustana (IL) | 2-2 | 3-3 | 52.1 |
| 6 | Millikin | 2-3 | 3-4 | 49.4 |
| 7 | Carthage | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
| 8 | North Park | 1-3 | 1-5 | 41.1 |
49.4 CFB Zeitgeist#126 of 245 D355.7 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-4
Signature win 37-14 over Luther; toughest day 10-82 against Wheaton (IL).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site