Next game
vs North Central College
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Schneider Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Carroll University (WI) 8% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Carroll University (WI)
4-3CCIW · Schneider Stadium · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 3-41 at Wheaton (IL)
Our model gave Carroll University (WI) 8% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: North Central College 8%, Augustana (IL) 43%, North Park 58%
Win out 2% · expect 1.1 of 3 more wins
Carroll University (WI)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: North Central College 8%, North Park 58%, Augustana (IL) 43%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs North Central College · our model 8% Carroll University (WI)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Carroll University (WI) · 2026 schedule and results4-3Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 57%.Our rank entering each game: #525 to #545
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #525 | #527 | — | @St. Norbert | W 40-10 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #521 | #590 | — | Wisconsin Eau Claire | L 17-34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #533 | #629 | — | @Elmhurst | W 33-0 | 2-1 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #527 | #594 | — | Carthage | W 20-0 | 3-1 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #525 | #620 | — | @Millikin | W 31-28 | 4-1 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #524 | #523 | — | Illinois Wesleyan | L 7-44 | 4-2 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #545 | #446 | — | @Wheaton (IL) | L 3-41 | 4-3 | 3-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #549 | #419 | North Central College | 2 pm ET8% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #549 | #580 | @North Park | 2 pm ET58% to win | ||||
| 10 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Augustana (IL) | 1 pm ET43% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Carroll University (WI), through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Carroll University (WI): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Carroll University (WI) has won three of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Carroll University (WI) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Carroll University (WI) · 2026Carroll University (WI)’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 98% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 22%; 5 wins 49%; 6 wins 27%; 7 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel44rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 9 in the CCIW
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)8th most one-score games of 9 in the CCIW
Margin-0.9competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 9 in the CCIW
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among CCIW teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Pioneers of Carroll University in Waukesha — Wisconsin's oldest college — who returned to the CCIW in 2016 after 24 years away and grind in one of Division III's deepest conferences.
Standard GapAn old small-college program fighting to find footing in the…
Carroll is the oldest college in Wisconsin with football dating to 1896, and the rest of the CCIW treats the Pioneers like newcomers who don't belong.
Game day
The experience
The Pioneers of Carroll University in Waukesha, Wisconsin's oldest college, who returned to the CCIW in 2016 after 24 years away and grind in one of Division III's deepest conferences.
Playoff path
Carroll University (WI) sits 4th in the CCIW and 83rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
CCIW · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheaton (IL) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 76.1 |
| 2 | North Central College | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Illinois Wesleyan | 3-2 | 5-2 | 62.0 |
| 4 | Carroll (WI) | 3-2 | 4-3 | 56.4 |
| 5 | Augustana (IL) | 2-2 | 3-3 | 52.1 |
| 6 | Millikin | 2-3 | 3-4 | 49.4 |
| 7 | Carthage | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
| 8 | North Park | 1-3 | 1-5 | 41.1 |
56.4 CFB Zeitgeist#83 of 245 D354.7 strength of schedule
Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-3
Signature win 33-0 over Elmhurst; toughest day 3-41 against Wheaton (IL).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site