Next game
at Illinois Wesleyan
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Tucci Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Elmhurst University 2% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Elmhurst University
1-5CCIW · Langhorst Field · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 2-74 vs North Central College
Our model gave Elmhurst University 1% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Millikin 14%
Win out <1% · expect 0.3 of 4 more wins
Elmhurst University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Illinois Wesleyan 2%, Millikin 14%, Wheaton (IL) <1%, North Park 12%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Illinois Wesleyan · our model 2% Elmhurst University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Elmhurst University · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 44%.Our rank entering each game: #636 to #643
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #636 | #504 | — | Illinois College | L 13-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #629 | #641 | — | @Rockford | W 28-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #629 | #533 | — | Carroll (WI) | L 0-33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #632 | #524 | — | Augustana (IL) | L 14-58 | 1-3 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #635 | #593 | — | @Carthage | L 3-28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #643 | #427 | — | North Central College | L 2-74 | 1-5 | 0-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #636 | #511 | @Illinois Wesleyan | 2 pm ET2% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #635 | #587 | Millikin | 1 pm ET14% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Wheaton (IL) | 1 pm ET<1% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @North Park | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Elmhurst University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Elmhurst University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Elmhurst University has won one of its last five.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last four.
Streak L4Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Elmhurst University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Elmhurst University · 2026Elmhurst University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 98% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 75%; 2 wins 23%; 3 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel49even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 9 in the CCIW
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)9th most one-score games of 9 in the CCIW
Margin-29.2outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 9 in the CCIW
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among CCIW teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Elmhurst is the Illinois CCIW program competing within Division III tradition, building from a challenging foundation with new coaching leadership.
Standard GapA 2,500-student liberal-arts university in suburban Illinois that…
Fans here believe no chip — Elmhurst is rebuilding and playing for the future.
Game day
The experience
Elmhurst is the Illinois CCIW program competing within Division III tradition, building from a challenging foundation with new coaching leadership.
Playoff path
Elmhurst University sits 9th in the CCIW and 210th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
CCIW · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheaton (IL) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 76.1 |
| 2 | North Central College | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Illinois Wesleyan | 3-2 | 5-2 | 62.0 |
| 4 | Carroll (WI) | 3-2 | 4-3 | 56.4 |
| 5 | Augustana (IL) | 2-2 | 3-3 | 52.1 |
| 6 | Millikin | 2-3 | 3-4 | 49.4 |
| 7 | Carthage | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
| 9 | Elmhurst | 0-4 | 1-5 | 36.6 |
36.6 CFB Zeitgeist#210 of 245 D348.9 strength of schedule
Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 28-14 over Rockford; toughest day 2-74 against North Central College.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site