Next game
at North Park
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Holmgren Athletic Complex · series 3-1
Augustana College (Illinois) 70% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Augustana College (Illinois)
3-3CCIW · Charles D. Lindberg Stadium · 1,800 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 49-41 vs Millikin
Our model gave Augustana College (Illinois) 76% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Wheaton (IL) 13%, Carroll (WI) 57%, North Park 70%
Win out 4% · expect 2.2 of 4 more wins
Augustana College (Illinois)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: North Park 70%, Wheaton (IL) 13%, Carthage 85%, Carroll (WI) 57%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at North Park · our model 70% Augustana College (Illinois)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Augustana College (Illinois) · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 52%.Our rank entering each game: #529 to #509
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #529 | #568 | — | Simpson (IA) | W 42-14 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #530 | #462 | — | @Wisconsin Stout | L 34-37 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #521 | #534 | — | Illinois Wesleyan | L 10-17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #524 | #632 | — | @Elmhurst | W 58-14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #506 | #430 | — | @North Central College | L 7-35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #509 | #609 | — | Millikin | W 49-41 | 3-3 | 2-2 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #515 | #580 | @North Park | 2 pm ET70% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #515 | #436 | Wheaton (IL) | 2 pm ET13% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Carthage | 1 pm ET85% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Carroll (WI) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Augustana College (Illinois), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Augustana College (Illinois): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Augustana College (Illinois) has won two of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Augustana College (Illinois) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Augustana College (Illinois) · 2026Augustana College (Illinois)’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 94% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 2%; 4 wins 16%; 5 wins 42%; 6 wins 35%; 7 wins 4%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 9 in the CCIW
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 9 in the CCIW
Margin+7.0competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the CCIW
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among CCIW teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Augustana is the small Illinois liberal-arts program that won four straight national titles in the 1980s and still plays with the pride of a dynasty.
Title DroughtSince 1986 · 40 yrs
Fans here believe no chip — Augustana plays for the honor of wearing the same uniform as the '83 through '86 teams that put a 2,000-person school on the national college football map.
Game day
The experience
Augustana is the small Illinois liberal-arts program that won four straight national titles in the 1980s and still plays with the pride of a dynasty.
Playoff path
Augustana College (Illinois) sits 5th in the CCIW and 107th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
CCIW · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheaton (IL) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 76.1 |
| 2 | North Central College | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Illinois Wesleyan | 3-2 | 5-2 | 62.0 |
| 4 | Carroll (WI) | 3-2 | 4-3 | 56.4 |
| 5 | Augustana (IL) | 2-2 | 3-3 | 52.1 |
| 6 | Millikin | 2-3 | 3-4 | 49.4 |
| 7 | Carthage | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
| 8 | North Park | 1-3 | 1-5 | 41.1 |
52.1 CFB Zeitgeist#107 of 245 D354.3 strength of schedule
Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 58-14 over Elmhurst; toughest day 7-35 against North Central College.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site