Next game
vs Millikin
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Art Keller Field · series 3-1, won the last 3
Carthage College 39% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Carthage College
2-4CCIW · Art Keller Field · 2,448 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 12-17 vs North Park
Our model gave Carthage College 58% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Millikin 39%
Win out <1% · expect 0.6 of 4 more wins
Carthage College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Millikin 39%, North Central College 1%, Augustana (IL) 15%, Wheaton (IL) 2%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Millikin · our model 39% Carthage College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Carthage College · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 45%.Our rank entering each game: #586 to #586
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #586 | #551 | — | Lakeland | W 23-14 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #581 | #577 | — | @Wisconsin Eau Claire | L 0-40 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #594 | #527 | — | @Carroll (WI) | L 0-20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #592 | #529 | — | @Illinois Wesleyan | L 14-34 | 1-3 | 0-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #593 | #635 | — | Elmhurst | W 28-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #586 | #590 | — | North Park | L 12-17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #597 | #587 | Millikin | 2 pm ET39% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #597 | #419 | @North Central College | 2 pm ET1% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Augustana (IL) | 1 pm ET15% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Wheaton (IL) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Carthage College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Carthage College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Carthage College has won one of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Carthage College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Carthage College · 2026Carthage College’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 92% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 50%; 3 wins 43%; 4 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel34rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 9 in the CCIW
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)7th most one-score games of 9 in the CCIW
Margin-8.5competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 9 in the CCIW
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among CCIW teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Carthage is the Wisconsin CCIW program with a storied athletic heritage stretching back to the 1800s, still playing with quiet institutional pride.
Standard GapA historic liberal-arts college in Kenosha, Wisconsin with a football…
Fans here believe no chip — Carthage plays for the college and the history.
Game day
The experience
Carthage is the Wisconsin CCIW program with a storied athletic heritage stretching back to the 1800s, still playing with quiet institutional pride.
Playoff path
Carthage College sits 7th in the CCIW and 177th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
CCIW · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheaton (IL) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 76.1 |
| 2 | North Central College | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Illinois Wesleyan | 3-2 | 5-2 | 62.0 |
| 4 | Carroll (WI) | 3-2 | 4-3 | 56.4 |
| 5 | Augustana (IL) | 2-2 | 3-3 | 52.1 |
| 6 | Millikin | 2-3 | 3-4 | 49.4 |
| 7 | Carthage | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
| 8 | North Park | 1-3 | 1-5 | 41.1 |
42.5 CFB Zeitgeist#177 of 245 D350.8 strength of schedule
Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 28-3 over Elmhurst; toughest day 0-40 against Wisconsin Eau Claire.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site