Next game
vs Eureka
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Taylor Field · series 4-0, won the last 4
Lakeland 88% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Lakeland
2-5NACC · Taylor Field · 1,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 34-43 at Concordia Chicago
Our model gave Lakeland 17% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Aurora 5%
Win out 4% · expect 1.7 of 3 more wins
Lakeland's chance to win each game left, from our model: Eureka 88%, Aurora 5%, Rockford 80%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Eureka · our model 88% Lakeland
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Lakeland · 2026 schedule and results2-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 64%.Our rank entering each game: #551 to #587
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #551 | #586 | — | @Carthage | L 14-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #555 | #584 | — | @Greenville | W 41-20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #553 | #549 | — | @Wisconsin Lutheran | W 32-31 | 2-1 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #542 | #522 | — | Concordia (WI) | L 28-49 | 2-2 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #558 | #533 | — | Benedictine (IL) | L 13-49 | 2-3 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #576 | #549 | — | @St. Norbert | L 7-34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #587 | #573 | — | @Concordia Chicago | L 34-43 | 2-5 | 1-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #595 | #657 | Eureka | 1 pm ET88% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #595 | #479 | @Aurora | 2 pm ET5% to win | ||||
| 10 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Rockford | 2 pm ET80% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Lakeland, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Lakeland: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Lakeland has won one of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last four.
Streak L4Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Lakeland · 2026
Range of outcomes · Lakeland · 2026Lakeland’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 94% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 2%; 3 wins 25%; 4 wins 69%; 5 wins 4%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 9 in the NACC
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 7)7th most one-score games of 9 in the NACC
Margin-11.4competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 9 in the NACC
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among NACC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Muskies of Plymouth, Wisconsin, a small NACC program rooted in the old Mission House College, who once ran the table at 10-0 to win a 1997 conference title and still play for pride in the Wisconsin small-college ranks.
Standard GapA modest NACC program whose best football is measured in the…
Lakeland is a tiny Wisconsin university with deep Mission House roots, easy to overlook in a conference full of bigger names.
Game day
The experience
The Muskies of Plymouth, Wisconsin, a small NACC program rooted in the old Mission House College, who once ran the table at 10-0 to win a 1997 conference title and still play for pride in the Wisconsin small-college ranks.
Playoff path
Lakeland sits 6th in the NACC and 157th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NACC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia (WI) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 67.4 |
| 2 | Benedictine (IL) | 4-0 | 6-0 | 67.5 |
| 3 | St. Norbert | 4-1 | 4-3 | 52.5 |
| 4 | Aurora | 3-1 | 3-3 | 53.0 |
| 5 | Concordia Chicago | 2-2 | 4-2 | 53.4 |
| 6 | Lakeland | 1-4 | 2-5 | 45.2 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 1-4 | 3-4 | 44.0 |
| 8 | Eureka | 0-4 | 0-6 | 31.8 |
45.2 CFB Zeitgeist#157 of 245 D353.5 strength of schedule
Win the NACC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-5
Signature win 41-20 over Greenville; toughest day 13-49 against Benedictine (IL).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site