Next game
vs Benedictine (IL)
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Concordia Stadium · series 1-3, lost the last 3
Concordia University Chicago 34% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Concordia University Chicago
4-2NACC · Concordia Stadium · 1,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 43-34 vs Lakeland
Our model gave Concordia University Chicago 83% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Benedictine (IL) 34%, St. Norbert 45%
Win out 11% · expect 2.5 of 4 more wins
Concordia University Chicago's chance to win each game left, from our model: Benedictine (IL) 34%, Eureka 96%, St. Norbert 45%, Wisconsin Lutheran 76%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Benedictine (IL) · our model 34% Concordia University Chicago
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Concordia University Chicago · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 42%.Our rank entering each game: #646 to #573
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #646 | #604 | — | @Minnesota Morris | W 52-19 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #644 | #605 | — | Grinnell | W 42-7 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #606 | #644 | — | Rockford | W 46-20 | 3-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #567 | #507 | — | @Concordia (WI) | L 14-21 | 3-1 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #551 | #487 | — | @Aurora | L 0-52 | 3-2 | 1-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #573 | #587 | — | Lakeland | W 43-34 | 4-2 | 2-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #564 | #517 | Benedictine (IL) | 2 pm ET34% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #564 | #657 | @Eureka | 2 pm ET96% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @St. Norbert | 2 pm ET45% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Concordia University Chicago, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Concordia University Chicago: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Concordia University Chicago has won three of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Concordia University Chicago · 2026
Range of outcomes · Concordia University Chicago · 2026Concordia University Chicago’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 100% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 10%; 6 wins 40%; 7 wins 39%; 8 wins 11%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel58even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 9 in the NACC
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 9 in the NACC
Margin+7.3competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the NACC
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among NACC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Cougars of River Forest, a Lutheran university just west of Chicago playing Division III football at Concordia Stadium in the NACC.
Standard GapA faith-rooted suburban program where the NACC grind, not a…
Concordia Chicago is a steady Lutheran program in Chicago's suburbs, and the wider Division III world barely registers the Cougars among the city's small colleges.
Game day
The experience
The Cougars of River Forest, a Lutheran university just west of Chicago playing Division III football at Concordia Stadium in the NACC.
Playoff path
Concordia University Chicago sits 5th in the NACC and 97th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NACC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia (WI) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 67.4 |
| 2 | Benedictine (IL) | 4-0 | 6-0 | 67.5 |
| 3 | St. Norbert | 4-1 | 4-3 | 52.5 |
| 4 | Aurora | 3-1 | 3-3 | 53.0 |
| 5 | Concordia Chicago | 2-2 | 4-2 | 53.4 |
| 6 | Lakeland | 1-4 | 2-5 | 45.2 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 1-4 | 3-4 | 44.0 |
| 8 | Eureka | 0-4 | 0-6 | 31.8 |
53.4 CFB Zeitgeist#97 of 245 D345.9 strength of schedule
Win the NACC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 42-7 over Grinnell; toughest day 0-52 against Aurora.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
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