Next game
at Lakeland
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Taylor Field · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Eureka College 12% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Eureka College
0-6NACC · Pete FioRito Stadium at McKinzie Field · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 12-55 vs Concordia (WI)
Our model gave Eureka College 3% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Rockford 42%
Win out <1% · expect 0.6 of 4 more wins
Eureka College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Lakeland 12%, Concordia Chicago 4%, Rockford 42%, Aurora <1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Lakeland · our model 12% Eureka College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Eureka College · 2026 schedule and results0-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #653 to #661
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #653 | #643 | — | Knox | L 0-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #654 | #653 | — | Westminster (MO) | L 0-41 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #659 | #552 | — | St. Norbert | L 0-31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #661 | #534 | — | @Benedictine (IL) | L 0-42 | 0-4 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #662 | #556 | — | @Wisconsin Lutheran | L 0-70 | 0-5 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #661 | #514 | — | Concordia (WI) | L 12-55 | 0-6 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #657 | #595 | @Lakeland | 1 pm ET12% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #657 | #564 | Concordia Chicago | 2 pm ET4% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Rockford | 2 pm ET42% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Aurora | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Eureka College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Eureka College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Eureka College has lost ten straight.
0-10 over the last 10, and lost the last ten.
Streak L10Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 0-10
Range of outcomes · Eureka College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Eureka College · 2026Eureka College’s most likely regular season is 0-10. 93% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 1-9.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 49%; 1 wins 44%; 2 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel44rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 9 in the NACC
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)9th most one-score games of 9 in the NACC
Margin-40.5outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 9 in the NACC
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among NACC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Red Devils of Eureka, the tiny Illinois college where a young Ronald Reagan played on the line, now grinding through Division III football in the NACC at Pete FioRito Stadium.
Standard GapA small college whose proudest football footnote is a future president…
Eureka gave America a president who played its football, and the sport treats a tiny Illinois college like it has no story to tell.
Game day
The experience
The Red Devils of Eureka, the tiny Illinois college where a young Ronald Reagan played on the line, now grinding through Division III football in the NACC at Pete FioRito Stadium.
Playoff path
Eureka College sits 8th in the NACC and 234th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NACC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia (WI) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 67.4 |
| 2 | Benedictine (IL) | 4-0 | 6-0 | 67.5 |
| 3 | St. Norbert | 4-1 | 4-3 | 52.5 |
| 4 | Aurora | 3-1 | 3-3 | 53.0 |
| 5 | Concordia Chicago | 2-2 | 4-2 | 53.4 |
| 6 | Lakeland | 1-4 | 2-5 | 45.2 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 1-4 | 3-4 | 44.0 |
| 8 | Eureka | 0-4 | 0-6 | 31.8 |
31.8 CFB Zeitgeist#234 of 245 D353.2 strength of schedule
Win the NACC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 0-16 over Knox; toughest day 0-70 against Wisconsin Lutheran.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site