Next game
vs Lawrence
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Harley Knosher Bowl · series 3-0-1
Knox College 73% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Knox College
1-5Midwest · Harley Knosher Bowl · 6,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 24-26 at Cornell (IA)
Our model gave Knox College 29% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Monmouth (IL) 4%, Luther 16%, Illinois College 16%
Win out <1% · expect 1.1 of 4 more wins
Knox College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Lawrence 73%, Luther 16%, Illinois College 16%, Monmouth (IL) 4%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Lawrence · our model 73% Knox College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Knox College · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #643 to #660
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #643 | #653 | — | @Eureka | W 16-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #643 | #497 | — | Lake Forest | L 12-68 | 1-1 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #642 | #583 | — | @Ripon | L 7-30 | 1-2 | 0-2 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #643 | #535 | — | Chicago | L 0-48 | 1-3 | 0-3 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #648 | #622 | — | @Grinnell | L 7-31 | 1-4 | 0-4 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #660 | #613 | — | @Cornell (IA) | L 24-26 | 1-5 | 0-5 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #650 | #666 | Lawrence | 2 pm ET73% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #650 | #626 | @Luther | 2 pm ET16% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Illinois College | 1 pm ET16% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Monmouth (IL) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Knox College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Knox College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Knox College has lost five straight.
1-8 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-8
Range of outcomes · Knox College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Knox College · 2026Knox College’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 97% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 18%; 2 wins 57%; 3 wins 22%; 4 wins 3%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel45even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 11 in the Midwest
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)4th most one-score games of 11 in the Midwest
Margin-22.8outgunnedavg scoring margin10th best margin of 11 in the Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Prairie Fire of Galesburg, who play home games at the Knosher Bowl and meet Monmouth every fall for the Bronze Turkey — the oldest trophy game in Division III, contested since 1888.
Standard GapA historic small college whose proudest football currency is the…
Knox plays the oldest trophy game in Division III, older than almost every rivalry in the sport, and barely anyone outside the Midwest Conference knows it exists.
Game day
The experience
The Prairie Fire of Galesburg, who play home games at the Knosher Bowl and meet Monmouth every fall for the Bronze Turkey — the oldest trophy game in Division III, contested since 1888.
Playoff path
Knox College sits 10th in the Midwest Conference and 209th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Forest | 6-0 | 7-0 | 67.1 |
| 2 | Chicago | 4-0 | 5-1 | 59.4 |
| 3 | Monmouth (IL) | 4-0 | 4-2 | 55.9 |
| 4 | Luther | 4-2 | 4-3 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Grinnell | 3-2 | 4-3 | 47.0 |
| 6 | Cornell (IA) | 3-3 | 3-4 | 44.3 |
| 7 | Illinois College | 2-3 | 3-4 | 46.2 |
| 10 | Knox | 0-5 | 1-5 | 36.7 |
36.7 CFB Zeitgeist#209 of 245 D347.9 strength of schedule
Win the Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 16-0 over Eureka; toughest day 12-68 against Lake Forest.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site