Next game
at Luther
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Legacy Field in Carlson Stadium · first meeting on record
Ripon College 27% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Ripon College
1-5Midwest · Ingalls Field · 3,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 14-45 vs Lake Forest
Our model gave Ripon College 7% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Chicago 10%, Luther 27%
Win out 2% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
Ripon College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Luther 27%, Chicago 10%, Beloit 72%, Lawrence 84%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Luther · our model 27% Ripon College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Ripon College · 2026 schedule and results1-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 61%.Our rank entering each game: #581 to #590
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #581 | #526 | — | Concordia (WI) | L 14-38 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #588 | #545 | — | @Wisconsin Lutheran | L 24-25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #583 | #642 | — | Knox | W 30-7 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #579 | #482 | — | @Monmouth (IL) | L 7-56 | 1-3 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #585 | #612 | — | @Cornell (IA) | L 28-42 | 1-4 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #590 | #461 | — | Lake Forest | L 14-45 | 1-5 | 1-3 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #602 | #626 | @Luther | 2 pm ET27% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #602 | #520 | @Chicago | 2 pm ET10% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Beloit | 5 pm ET72% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Lawrence | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Ripon College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Ripon College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Ripon College has won one of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Ripon College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Ripon College · 2026Ripon College’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 95% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 3%; 2 wins 25%; 3 wins 51%; 4 wins 20%; 5 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel55shootoutscombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 11 in the Midwest
Heart rate0-1white-knucklein one-score games (1 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 11 in the Midwest
Margin-16.0competitiveavg scoring margin8th best margin of 11 in the Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
The Wisconsin school that won two perfect seasons (1957, 1963) and now competes in the Midwest Conference knowing excellence is possible in any given November.
Title DroughtSince 1963 · 63 yrs
Game day
The experience
The Wisconsin school that won two perfect seasons (1957, 1963) and now competes in the Midwest Conference knowing excellence is possible in any given November.
Playoff path
Ripon College sits 8th in the Midwest Conference and 202nd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Forest | 6-0 | 7-0 | 67.1 |
| 2 | Chicago | 4-0 | 5-1 | 59.4 |
| 3 | Monmouth (IL) | 4-0 | 4-2 | 55.9 |
| 4 | Luther | 4-2 | 4-3 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Grinnell | 3-2 | 4-3 | 47.0 |
| 6 | Cornell (IA) | 3-3 | 3-4 | 44.3 |
| 7 | Illinois College | 2-3 | 3-4 | 46.2 |
| 8 | Ripon | 1-3 | 1-5 | 38.1 |
38.1 CFB Zeitgeist#202 of 245 D352.5 strength of schedule
Win the Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 30-7 over Knox; toughest day 7-56 against Monmouth (IL).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site