Next game
vs Chicago
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
April Zorn Memorial Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Monmouth College 71% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Monmouth College
4-2Midwest · April Zorn Memorial Stadium · 2,600 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 63-7 at Beloit
Our model gave Monmouth College 92% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 70%
Win out 44% · expect 3.3 of 4 more wins
Monmouth College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Chicago 71%, Illinois College 76%, Grinnell 86%, Knox 96%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Chicago · our model 71% Monmouth College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Monmouth College · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 49%.Our rank entering each game: #480 to #487
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #480 | #447 | — | Wartburg | L 21-36 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #479 | #465 | — | @Hampden Sydney | L 19-31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #480 | #587 | — | @Cornell (IA) | W 42-7 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #482 | #579 | — | Ripon | W 56-7 | 2-2 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #478 | #641 | — | Luther | W 30-13 | 3-2 | 3-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #487 | #658 | — | @Beloit | W 63-7 | 4-2 | 4-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #487 | #519 | Chicago | 2 pm ET71% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #488 | #548 | @Illinois College | 2 pm ET76% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Grinnell | 2 pm ET86% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Knox | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Monmouth College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Monmouth College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Monmouth College has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last four.
Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Monmouth College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Monmouth College · 2026Monmouth College’s most likely regular season is 8-2. 99% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 1%; 6 wins 13%; 7 wins 42%; 8 wins 44%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel55shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 11 in the Midwest
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)11th most one-score games of 11 in the Midwest
Margin+21.7comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 11 in the Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
The Fighting Scots went 9–0 in 2025 and won the Midwest Conference championship — the perfect season that proves the small Illinois program belongs with the giants of the league.
Title DroughtSince 1972 · 54 yrs
Game day
The experience
The Fighting Scots went 9–0 in 2025 and won the Midwest Conference championship — the perfect season that proves the small Illinois program belongs with the giants of the league.
Playoff path
Monmouth College sits 3rd in the Midwest Conference and 87th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Forest | 6-0 | 7-0 | 67.1 |
| 2 | Chicago | 4-0 | 5-1 | 59.4 |
| 3 | Monmouth (IL) | 4-0 | 4-2 | 55.9 |
| 4 | Luther | 4-2 | 4-3 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Grinnell | 3-2 | 4-3 | 47.0 |
| 6 | Cornell (IA) | 3-3 | 3-4 | 44.3 |
| 7 | Illinois College | 2-3 | 3-4 | 46.2 |
| 8 | Ripon | 1-3 | 1-5 | 38.1 |
55.9 CFB Zeitgeist#87 of 245 D348.9 strength of schedule
Win the Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 63-7 over Beloit; toughest day 21-36 against Wartburg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site