Midwest · Rosenbloom Field · 1,500 seats
Next game
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Rosenbloom Field · series 13-8-3, lost the last 4
1900Each tick is a meeting: up is a win for Grinnell, down a lossnow
Grinnell 82% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Last game · Sat Oct 17
Our model gave Grinnell 83% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Monmouth (IL) 14%, Luther 63%
Win out 7% · expect 1.6 of 3 more wins
Grinnell's chance to win each game left, from our model: Cornell (IA) 82%, Monmouth (IL) 14%, Luther 63%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #622 | — | — | Mount Mercy | W 16-13 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #605 | #644 | — | @Concordia Chicago | L 7-42 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #630 | #495 | — | @Lake Forest | L 0-63 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #640 | #655 | — | Beloit | W 28-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #622 | #648 | — | Knox | W 31-7 | 3-2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #591 | #546 | — | @Illinois College | L 3-13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #599 | #657 | — | @Lawrence | W 28-7 | 4-3 | 3-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #582 | #617 | Cornell (IA) | 2 pm ET82% to win | ||||
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Monmouth (IL) | 2 pm ET14% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Luther | 2 pm ET63% to win | ||||||
Win chances are our model for Grinnell, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Grinnell: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Range of outcomes · Grinnell · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 6%; 5 wins 37%; 6 wins 50%; 7 wins 7%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Midwest teams the same season
The Pioneers of Grinnell, an elite Iowa liberal-arts college that played the first intercollegiate football game west of the Mississippi in 1889 — a 24-0 win over Iowa — and went perfect again in 1998.
Grinnell played the first college football game west of the Mississippi, and the sport files an elite little Iowa college away as academics-only.
The Pioneers of Grinnell, an elite Iowa liberal-arts college that played the first intercollegiate football game west of the Mississippi in 1889, a 24-0 win over Iowa, and went perfect again in 1998.
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Forest | 6-0 | 7-0 | 67.1 |
| 2 | Chicago | 4-0 | 5-1 | 59.4 |
| 3 | Monmouth (IL) | 4-0 | 4-2 | 55.9 |
| 4 | Luther | 4-2 | 4-3 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Grinnell | 3-2 | 4-3 | 47.0 |
| 6 | Cornell (IA) | 3-3 | 3-4 | 44.3 |
| 7 | Illinois College | 2-3 | 3-4 | 46.2 |
| 8 | Ripon | 1-3 | 1-5 | 38.1 |
Win the Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Signature win 31-7 over Knox; toughest day 0-63 against Lake Forest.
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
Range of outcomes · Grinnell · 2026