Next game
at Knox
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Harley Knosher Bowl · series 0-3-1
Lawrence University 27% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Lawrence University
0-6Midwest · Ron Roberts Field at the Banta Bowl · 3,634 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-28 vs Grinnell
Our model gave Lawrence University 17% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Knox 27%
Win out <1% · expect 0.7 of 4 more wins
Lawrence University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Knox 27%, Cornell (IA) 20%, Chicago 3%, Ripon 16%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Knox · our model 27% Lawrence University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Lawrence University · 2026 schedule and results0-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #659 to #657
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #659 | #665 | — | @Luther | L 7-30 | 0-1 | 0-1 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #661 | #639 | — | Buena Vista | L 14-26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #661 | #513 | — | Illinois College | L 7-54 | 0-3 | 0-2 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #661 | #461 | — | @Lake Forest | L 13-72 | 0-4 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #658 | #665 | — | Beloit | L 17-27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #657 | #599 | — | Grinnell | L 7-28 | 0-6 | 0-5 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #666 | #650 | @Knox | 2 pm ET27% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #666 | #617 | @Cornell (IA) | 2 pm ET20% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Chicago | 2 pm ET3% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Ripon | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Lawrence University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Lawrence University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Lawrence University has lost nine straight.
0-9 over the last 10, and lost the last nine.
Streak L9Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 0-9
Range of outcomes · Lawrence University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Lawrence University · 2026Lawrence University’s most likely regular season is 0-10. 99% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 48%; 1 wins 40%; 2 wins 11%; 3 wins 1%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 11 in the Midwest
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)10th most one-score games of 11 in the Midwest
Margin-28.7outgunnedavg scoring margin11th best margin of 11 in the Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Vikings of Appleton, a selective Wisconsin liberal-arts and conservatory college with 16 Midwest Conference titles and a pair of perfect seasons, playing at the storied Banta Bowl.
Standard GapAn elite small academic college whose football tradition runs deep…
Lawrence has 16 conference titles and two perfect seasons, and the football world files a small Wisconsin liberal-arts college away as academics-only.
Game day
The experience
The Vikings of Appleton, a selective Wisconsin liberal-arts and conservatory college with 16 Midwest Conference titles and a pair of perfect seasons, playing at the storied Banta Bowl.
Playoff path
Lawrence University sits 11th in the Midwest Conference and 244th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Forest | 6-0 | 7-0 | 67.1 |
| 2 | Chicago | 4-0 | 5-1 | 59.4 |
| 3 | Monmouth (IL) | 4-0 | 4-2 | 55.9 |
| 4 | Luther | 4-2 | 4-3 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Grinnell | 3-2 | 4-3 | 47.0 |
| 6 | Cornell (IA) | 3-3 | 3-4 | 44.3 |
| 7 | Illinois College | 2-3 | 3-4 | 46.2 |
| 11 | Lawrence | 0-5 | 0-6 | 28.1 |
28.1 CFB Zeitgeist#244 of 245 D347.6 strength of schedule
Win the Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 17-27 over Beloit; toughest day 13-72 against Lake Forest.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site