Next game
vs Rockford
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Warrior Field at Raabe Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Wisconsin-Lutheran 87% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Wisconsin-Lutheran
3-4NACC · Warrior Field at Raabe Stadium · 1,700 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 9-35 at Aurora
Our model gave Wisconsin-Lutheran 19% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Concordia (WI) 7%, Concordia Chicago 24%
Win out 1% · expect 1.2 of 3 more wins
Wisconsin-Lutheran's chance to win each game left, from our model: Rockford 87%, Concordia (WI) 7%, Concordia Chicago 24%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Rockford · our model 87% Wisconsin-Lutheran
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Wisconsin-Lutheran · 2026 schedule and results3-4Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 36%.Our rank entering each game: #544 to #566
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #544 | #617 | — | @St. Scholastica | W 37-14 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #545 | #588 | — | Ripon | W 25-24 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #549 | #553 | — | Lakeland | L 31-32 | 2-1 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #545 | #546 | — | @St. Norbert | L 14-28 | 2-2 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #556 | #662 | — | Eureka | W 70-0 | 3-2 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #560 | #518 | — | Benedictine (IL) | L 13-27 | 3-3 | 1-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #566 | #482 | — | @Aurora | L 9-35 | 3-4 | 1-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #575 | #642 | Rockford | 2 pm ET87% to win | ||||
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Concordia (WI) | 1 pm ET7% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Concordia Chicago | 1 pm ET24% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Wisconsin-Lutheran, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Wisconsin-Lutheran: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Wisconsin-Lutheran has won one of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Wisconsin-Lutheran · 2026
Range of outcomes · Wisconsin-Lutheran · 2026Wisconsin-Lutheran’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 89% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 9%; 4 wins 65%; 5 wins 24%; 6 wins 1%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base5-7Mid-table finish.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-4
Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 9 in the NACC
Heart rate1-1white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 7)1st most one-score games of 9 in the NACC
Margin+5.6competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 9 in the NACC
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among NACC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Warriors of Milwaukee, a Lutheran college playing Division III football at Raabe Stadium in the NACC, coming off a 7-3 season that hinted at a program on the rise.
Standard GapA faith-grounded city program building credibility, where a winning…
Wisconsin Lutheran is a solid, climbing Milwaukee program, and even a 7-3 season barely registers outside the NACC.
Game day
The experience
The Warriors of Milwaukee, a Lutheran college playing Division III football at Raabe Stadium in the NACC, coming off a 7-3 season that hinted at a program on the rise.
Playoff path
Wisconsin-Lutheran sits 7th in the NACC and 166th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NACC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia (WI) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 67.4 |
| 2 | Benedictine (IL) | 4-0 | 6-0 | 67.5 |
| 3 | St. Norbert | 4-1 | 4-3 | 52.5 |
| 4 | Aurora | 3-1 | 3-3 | 53.0 |
| 5 | Concordia Chicago | 2-2 | 4-2 | 53.4 |
| 6 | Lakeland | 1-4 | 2-5 | 45.2 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 1-4 | 3-4 | 44.0 |
| 8 | Eureka | 0-4 | 0-6 | 31.8 |
44.0 CFB Zeitgeist#166 of 245 D345.6 strength of schedule
Win the NACC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-4
Signature win 70-0 over Eureka; toughest day 9-35 against Aurora.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site