Next game
vs St. Olaf
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Public Schools Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
University of St. Scholastica 52% to win · our ratings after 6 games
University of St. Scholastica
0-6Minnesota · Public Schools Stadium · 4,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 3-31 vs Gustavus Adolphus
Our model gave University of St. Scholastica 9% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Saint John's (MN) <1%
Win out <1% · expect 0.8 of 4 more wins
University of St. Scholastica's chance to win each game left, from our model: St. Olaf 52%, Hamline 30%, Saint John's (MN) <1%, Bethel (MN) 1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs St. Olaf · our model 52% University of St. Scholastica
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
University of St. Scholastica · 2026 schedule and results0-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 57%.Our rank entering each game: #617 to #626
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #617 | #544 | — | Wisconsin Lutheran | L 14-37 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #620 | #566 | — | @Augsburg | L 0-30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #629 | #604 | — | @Macalester | L 14-24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #628 | #460 | — | Concordia (MN) | L 3-63 | 0-4 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #629 | #535 | — | @Carleton | L 21-28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #626 | #490 | — | Gustavus Adolphus | L 3-31 | 0-6 | 0-5 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #631 | #612 | St. Olaf | 2 pm ET52% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #631 | #627 | @Hamline | 2 pm ET30% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Saint John's (MN) | 1 pm ET<1% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Bethel (MN) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for University of St. Scholastica, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for University of St. Scholastica: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
University of St. Scholastica has lost eight straight.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last eight.
Streak L8Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · University of St. Scholastica · 2026
Range of outcomes · University of St. Scholastica · 2026University of St. Scholastica’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 100% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 33%; 1 wins 51%; 2 wins 16%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel45rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 10 in the Minnesota
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 10 in the Minnesota
Margin-26.3competitiveavg scoring margin8th best margin of 10 in the Minnesota
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Minnesota teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
St. Scholastica is a program embracing its new identity in the MIAC—the newest member finding its place, playing for the pride of the institution and the honor of representing a Benedictine legacy.
Title DroughtSince 2025 · 1 yrs
St. Scholastica's identity is about belonging, not revenge. The fanbase is proud to be in the MIAC and is committed to proving the conference made the right call in inviting them.
Game day
The experience
St. Scholastica is a program embracing its new identity in the MIAC—the newest member finding its place, playing for the pride of the institution and the honor of representing a Benedictine legacy.
Playoff path
University of St. Scholastica sits 10th in the Minnesota Conference and 238th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Minnesota · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint John's (MN) | 5-0 | 6-0 | 71.3 |
| 2 | Concordia (MN) | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.6 |
| 3 | Bethel (MN) | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Carleton | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.7 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 3-2 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 6 | Macalester | 2-3 | 3-3 | 48.4 |
| 7 | Augsburg | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 10 | St. Scholastica | 0-5 | 0-6 | 31.1 |
31.1 CFB Zeitgeist#238 of 245 D351.5 strength of schedule
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 21-28 over Carleton; toughest day 3-63 against Concordia (MN).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site