Carleton College · Next-Season Outcome Band1931
The Goat Trophy rivalry begins
Carleton and St. Olaf establish the rivalry that would become one of the oldest continuous in college football
Carleton College6-4Hope-Doping·Offseason
Carleton is the program where the Goat Trophy matters more than the scoreboard—a school that plays for the love of the game and a rivalry 105 years old.
Title DroughtSince 2025
Fans here believe carleton's identity is not about what it lost—it's about what it refuses to be: a program chasing prestige or national rankings. The Goat Trophy IS Carleton football.
offseason · quiet
The Knights polish their armor.
Carleton College · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
base6-6Mid-table finish.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Wisconsin Whitewater · away
Game Week
11 days
until kickoff · at Wisconsin Whitewater · Sat Sep 5 · 18:00 UTC
The experience
Carleton is the program where the Goat Trophy matters more than the scoreboard—a school that plays for the love of the game and a rivalry 105 years old.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
Carleton College sits 4th in the Minnesota Conference and 79th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Minnesota · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethel (MN) | 9-0 | 12-1 | 73.6 |
| 2 | Saint John's (MN) | 8-1 | 10-2 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Concordia (MN) | 6-3 | 7-3 | 58.6 |
| 4 | Carleton | 6-3 | 6-4 | 55.4 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 5-4 | 5-5 | 52.3 |
| 6 | Augsburg | 4-5 | 4-6 | 49.3 |
| 7 | St. Olaf | 3-6 | 4-6 | 46.4 |
| 8 | St. Scholastica | 2-7 | 3-7 | 43.5 |
55.4 CFB Zeitgeist#79 of 240 D353.4 strength of schedule
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 6-4
Signature win 63-14 over Hamline; toughest day 7-49 against Bethel (MN).
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Carleton College
—
The Knights polish their armor.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go Carleton"
— Carleton College fanbase · recurring line
2 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Carleton College · 2025 schedule & results6-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6 | — | — | — | @Wisconsin Whitewater | L 14–45 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #493 | #636 | — | Macalester | W 51–7 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #515 | #516 | — | St. Olaf | W 35–28 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #517 | #539 | — | @Gustavus Adolphus | W 45–28 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #504 | #623 | — | @St. Scholastica | W 41–14 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #483 | #656 | — | Hamline | W 63–14 | 5-1 | 5-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #479 | #417 | — | @Saint John's (MN) | L 10–49 | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #496 | #538 | — | Augsburg | W 48–17 | 6-2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #476 | #399 | — | @Bethel (MN) | L 7–49 | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #493 | #479 | — | Concordia (MN) | L 24–31 | 6-4 | 6-3 |
Home-Field Advantage · Carleton College · 2018-present
Elite
80% home win rate vs 42% on the road. margin runs +24.2 better at home. Laird Stadium seats 7,500.
Home16-4Away8-11
Venue texture
67°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.
Based on 20 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
30-35-2
since 1896 · 27 seasons · .447 win rate
HOME
18-7
AWAY
12-28-2
NEUTRAL
0-0
1890s
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2025 Goat Trophy victory
Carleton defeats St. Olaf 35-28, claiming the Goat Trophy and validating the year
2025
Jack Curtis's career
Senior QB sets program records for completions, yards, and TDs while battling Hodgkin's lymphoma—a season of honor and resilience
Miracle
Moment of the Year · Carleton College · 2025
Moment of the Year · Carleton College · 2025Won 51-7 vs Macalester
Week 4 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
Postseason History
Postseason HistoryRecent postseason (2023): 1-0
Most recent: 2023 — win 25-41 (away). Last 5 postseason: 1-0.
2023
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