Next game
vs Wisconsin Stevens Point
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Perkins Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
UW-Whitewater 99% to win · our ratings after 6 games
UW-Whitewater
6-0Wisconsin · Perkins Stadium · 13,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 37-31 at Wisconsin Stout
Our model gave UW-Whitewater 68% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Wisconsin Platteville 21%, Wisconsin Eau Claire 70%
Win out 13% · expect 2.8 of 4 more wins
UW-Whitewater's chance to win each game left, from our model: Wisconsin Stevens Point 99%, Wisconsin Oshkosh 89%, Wisconsin Platteville 21%, Wisconsin Eau Claire 70%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Wisconsin Stevens Point · our model 99% UW-Whitewater
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
UW-Whitewater · 2026 schedule and results6-0Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 41%.Our rank entering each game: #433 to #406
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #433 | #509 | — | Carleton | W 69-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #433 | — | — | Saint Xavier | W 49-14 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #430 | #618 | — | @Keystone | W 69-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #423 | #428 | — | Wisconsin River Falls | W 24-16 | 4-0 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #415 | #416 | — | @Wisconsin La Crosse | W 24-18 | 5-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #406 | #439 | — | @Wisconsin Stout | W 37-31 | 6-0 | 3-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #390 | #630 | Wisconsin Stevens Point | 2 pm ET99% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #388 | #470 | Wisconsin Oshkosh | 8 pm ET89% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Wisconsin Platteville | 2 pm ET21% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Wisconsin Eau Claire | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for UW-Whitewater, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for UW-Whitewater: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
UW-Whitewater has won six straight.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last six.
Streak W6Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · UW-Whitewater · 2026
Range of outcomes · UW-Whitewater · 2026UW-Whitewater’s most likely regular season is 9-1. 97% of outcomes land from 8-2 to 10-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 3%; 8 wins 28%; 9 wins 56%; 10 wins 13%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 6-0
Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 8 in the Wisconsin
Heart rate3-0some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 8 in the Wisconsin
Margin+31.0comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 8 in the Wisconsin
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Wisconsin teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The D3 dynasty that won six national titles in eight years — now reclaiming what the standard demands.
Title DroughtSince 2014 · 12 yrs
Fans here believe there's no villain in dynasty restoration — just the knowledge that Whitewater owns the Stagg Bowl standard and every other D3 program is measuring themselves against what the…
Game day
The experience
The D3 dynasty that won six national titles in eight years — now reclaiming what the standard demands.
Playoff path
UW-Whitewater sits 2nd in the Wisconsin Conference and 5th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
Wisconsin · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin Platteville | 3-0 | 6-0 | 79.2 |
| 2 | Wisconsin Whitewater | 3-0 | 6-0 | 74.7 |
| 3 | Wisconsin Eau Claire | 2-1 | 5-1 | 63.5 |
| 4 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 2-1 | 3-3 | 53.4 |
| 5 | Wisconsin River Falls | 1-2 | 4-2 | 62.9 |
| 6 | Wisconsin Stout | 1-2 | 3-3 | 61.6 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Oshkosh | 0-3 | 2-4 | 49.0 |
| 8 | Wisconsin Stevens Point | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.8 |
74.7 CFB Zeitgeist#5 of 245 D354.8 strength of schedule3 quality wins
Win the Wisconsin Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 6-0
Signature win 69-0 over Keystone; toughest day 24-18 against Wisconsin La Crosse.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site