CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

UW-Stout

6-5 2025 final

The program with the steady coach: UW-Stout is defined by Clayt Birmingham's 15 seasons of competent, stable football — no titles, but no chaos either.

Blue Devils country waits.

Record
6-5
win% .545
Conference
6th of 8
Wisconsin · 3-4
Index Rating
57.6
D3 #63 of 240
Playoff Path
On the bubble
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-win — basking
The Long Wait·Offseason

The program with the steady coach: UW-Stout is defined by Clayt Birmingham's 15 seasons of competent, stable football — no titles, but no chaos either.

Title DroughtSince 1985 · 40 yrs

UW-Stout went 6-5 in 2025 under 15th-year coach Clayt Birmingham. The Blue Devils remain a steady WIAC presence but continue the conference-title drought that stretches back to 1985. With River Falls winning a national championshi…

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Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

UW-Stout sits 5th in the Wisconsin Conference and 63rd of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.

Wisconsin · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1Wisconsin-River Falls6-114-177.1
2Wisconsin-Lacrosse5-28-367.2
3Wisconsin-Platteville5-29-367.0
4Wisconsin-Whitewater5-28-364.5
5Wisconsin-Stout3-46-557.6
6Wisconsin-Oshkosh3-45-556.8
7Wisconsin-Stevens Pt1-64-649.6
8Wisconsin-Eau Claire0-73-746.0
57.6 CFB Zeitgeist#63 of 240 D359.5 strength of schedule2 quality wins

Win the Wisconsin Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 6-5
W 38-35 vs Dubuque · Wk 2+3DubuqueL 0-16 vs Wartburg · Wk 3-16WartburgW 56-13 at Northwestern (MN) · Wk 4+43NorthwesW 42-17 at Wisconsin-Eau Claire · Wk 6+25WisconsiW 27-16 vs Wisconsin-Oshkosh · Wk 7+11WisconsiL 2-34 at Wisconsin-Whitewater · Wk 8-32WisconsiW 42-22 vs Wisconsin-Stevens Pt · Wk 9+20WisconsiL 14-31 at Wisconsin-Lacrosse · Wk 10-17WisconsiL 23-24 at Wisconsin-Platteville · Wk 11-1WisconsiL 19-29 vs Wisconsin-River Falls · Wk 12-10WisconsiW 31-23 vs Washington University (St. Louis) · Wk 13+8Washingt

Signature win 56-13 over Northwestern (MN); toughest day 2-34 against Wisconsin-Whitewater.

The Pulse on UW-Stout

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
Blue Devils country waits.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Blue Devils." — UW-Stout fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · UW-Stout

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

UW-Stout · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
base6-6Mid-table finish.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · UW-Stout · 2018-present

Above-Average

52% home win rate vs 41% on the road. margin runs +5.2 better at home.

Home11-10Away7-10
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Cooling

Two of five. Schedule has caught up.

Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5

Schedule Strength · UW-Stout · 2025

Hard

Average opponent win rate 61% across 11 finalized games. Strong conference slate — wins here carry full weight in Super Region selection.

Opp Win %0.616

Moment of the Year · UW-Stout · 2025

Won 56-13 at Northwestern (MN)

Week 4 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.

Decisive Margin

From the Archive — UW-Stout

2025: Lost 0-16 vs Wartburg

In 2025, the program lost 0-16 vs Wartburg — a one to file away home result, 16 points either way.

Go Blue Devils.