UW-Stout · Next-Season Outcome Band2010
Clayt Birmingham era
Beginning of 15-season tenure as head coach, the longest-running leadership in the modern WIAC
UW-Stout6-5Verdict Begins·Offseason
The program with the steady coach: UW-Stout is defined by Clayt Birmingham's 15 seasons of competent, stable football — no titles, but no chaos either.
Title DroughtSince 1985 · 40 yrs
Fans believe Stout football belongs at the table with WIAC powers, and the next window could be the one that breaks through.
low signal
Blue Devils country waits.
UW-Stout · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
base6-6Mid-table finish.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Dubuque · away
Game Week
9 days
until kickoff · at Dubuque · Sat Sep 5 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
The program with the steady coach: UW-Stout is defined by Clayt Birmingham's 15 seasons of competent, stable football — no titles, but no chaos either.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
UW-Stout sits 5th in the Wisconsin Conference and 63rd of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
Wisconsin · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin River Falls | 6-1 | 14-1 | 77.1 |
| 2 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 5-2 | 8-3 | 67.2 |
| 3 | Wisconsin Platteville | 5-2 | 9-3 | 67.0 |
| 4 | Wisconsin Whitewater | 5-2 | 8-3 | 64.5 |
| 5 | Wisconsin Stout | 3-4 | 6-5 | 57.6 |
| 6 | Wisconsin Oshkosh | 3-4 | 5-5 | 56.8 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Stevens Point | 1-6 | 4-6 | 49.6 |
| 8 | Wisconsin Eau Claire | 0-7 | 3-7 | 46.0 |
57.6 CFB Zeitgeist#63 of 240 D359.5 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the Wisconsin Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 6-5
Signature win 56-13 over Northwestern (MN); toughest day 2-34 against Wisconsin Whitewater.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on UW-Stout
—
Blue Devils country waits.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go Blue Devils."
— UW-Stout fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
UW-Stout · 2025 schedule & results6-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 61%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6 | — | — | — | Dubuque | W 38–35 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #452 | #436 | — | Wartburg | L 0–16 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #461 | #517 | — | @Northwestern (MN) | W 56–13 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #473 | #578 | — | @Wisconsin Eau Claire | W 42–17 | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #473 | #435 | — | Wisconsin Oshkosh | W 27–16 | 4-1 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #457 | #361 | — | @Wisconsin Whitewater | L 2–34 | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #458 | #592 | — | Wisconsin Stevens Point | W 42–22 | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #461 | #391 | — | @Wisconsin La Crosse | L 14–31 | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #463 | #405 | — | @Wisconsin Platteville | L 23–24 | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #461 | #364 | — | Wisconsin River Falls | L 19–29 | 5-5 | 3-4 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #463 | #481 | — | Washington St. Louis (N) | W 31–23 | 6-5 | 3-4 |
Home-Field Advantage · UW-Stout · 2018-present
Above-Average
52% home win rate vs 41% on the road. margin runs +5.2 better at home. Don and Nona Williams Stadium seats 4,500.
Home11-10Away7-10
Venue texture
63°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 21 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
21-20
since 2022 · 4 seasons · .512 win rate
HOME
11-10
AWAY
7-10
NEUTRAL
3-0
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Moment of the Year · UW-Stout · 2025
Moment of the Year · UW-Stout · 2025Won 56-13 at Northwestern (MN)
Week 4 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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