Next game
vs Wisconsin La Crosse
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Don and Nona Williams Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
UW-Stout 45% to win · our ratings after 6 games
UW-Stout
3-3Wisconsin · Don and Nona Williams Stadium · 4,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 31-37 vs Wisconsin Whitewater
Our model gave UW-Stout 32% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Wisconsin River Falls 34%
Win out 5% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
UW-Stout's chance to win each game left, from our model: Wisconsin La Crosse 45%, Wisconsin River Falls 34%, Wisconsin Eau Claire 55%, Wisconsin Oshkosh 61%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Wisconsin La Crosse · our model 45% UW-Stout
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
UW-Stout · 2026 schedule and results3-3Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 70%.Our rank entering each game: #462 to #439
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #462 | #528 | — | @Dubuque | W 34-20 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #462 | #530 | — | Augustana (IL) | W 37-34 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #463 | #313 | — | @Roosevelt | L 10-31 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #455 | #437 | — | Wisconsin Platteville | L 27-31 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #460 | #600 | — | @Wisconsin Stevens Point | W 48-2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #439 | #406 | — | Wisconsin Whitewater | L 31-37 | 3-3 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #432 | #408 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 2 pm ET45% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #431 | #416 | @Wisconsin River Falls | 2:05 pm ET34% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Wisconsin Eau Claire | 2:05 pm ET55% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Wisconsin Oshkosh | 3 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for UW-Stout, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for UW-Stout: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
UW-Stout has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · UW-Stout · 2026
Range of outcomes · UW-Stout · 2026UW-Stout’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 88% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 6%; 4 wins 26%; 5 wins 39%; 6 wins 24%; 7 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel57shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 8 in the Wisconsin
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)4th most one-score games of 8 in the Wisconsin
Margin+5.3competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 8 in the Wisconsin
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Wisconsin teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The program with the steady coach: UW-Stout is defined by Clayt Birmingham's 15 seasons of competent, stable football — no titles, but no chaos either.
Title DroughtSince 1985 · 41 yrs
Fans believe Stout football belongs at the table with WIAC powers, and the next window could be the one that breaks through.
Game day
The experience
The program with the steady coach: UW-Stout is defined by Clayt Birmingham's 15 seasons of competent, stable football — no titles, but no chaos either.
Playoff path
UW-Stout sits 6th in the Wisconsin Conference and 49th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
Wisconsin · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin Platteville | 3-0 | 6-0 | 79.2 |
| 2 | Wisconsin Whitewater | 3-0 | 6-0 | 74.7 |
| 3 | Wisconsin Eau Claire | 2-1 | 5-1 | 63.5 |
| 4 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 2-1 | 3-3 | 53.4 |
| 5 | Wisconsin River Falls | 1-2 | 4-2 | 62.9 |
| 6 | Wisconsin Stout | 1-2 | 3-3 | 61.6 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Oshkosh | 0-3 | 2-4 | 49.0 |
| 8 | Wisconsin Stevens Point | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.8 |
61.6 CFB Zeitgeist#49 of 245 D362.0 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Wisconsin Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 48-2 over Wisconsin Stevens Point; toughest day 10-31 against Roosevelt.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site