Next game
at Wisconsin River Falls
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
David Smith Stadium at Ramer Field · series 0-4, lost the last 4
UW-Eau Claire 34% to win · our ratings after 6 games
UW-Eau Claire
5-1Wisconsin · Carson Park · 6,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 28-7 vs Wisconsin Oshkosh
Our model gave UW-Eau Claire 54% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Wisconsin La Crosse 46%
Win out 2% · expect 1.6 of 4 more wins
UW-Eau Claire's chance to win each game left, from our model: Wisconsin River Falls 34%, Wisconsin La Crosse 46%, Wisconsin Stout 45%, Wisconsin Whitewater 30%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Wisconsin River Falls · our model 34% UW-Eau Claire
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
UW-Eau Claire · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 48%.Our rank entering each game: #599 to #542
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #599 | #450 | — | Alma | W 23-15 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #590 | #521 | — | @Carroll (WI) | W 34-17 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #577 | #581 | — | Carthage | W 40-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #550 | #602 | — | Wisconsin Stevens Point | W 31-9 | 4-0 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #540 | #432 | — | @Wisconsin Platteville | L 0-38 | 4-1 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #542 | #455 | — | Wisconsin Oshkosh | W 28-7 | 5-1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #526 | #416 | @Wisconsin River Falls | 2 pm ET34% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #523 | #407 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 12:30 pm ET46% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Wisconsin Stout | 2:05 pm ET45% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Wisconsin Whitewater | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for UW-Eau Claire, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for UW-Eau Claire: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
UW-Eau Claire has won four of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · UW-Eau Claire · 2026
Range of outcomes · UW-Eau Claire · 2026UW-Eau Claire’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 98% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 14%; 6 wins 36%; 7 wins 34%; 8 wins 14%; 9 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel40rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 8 in the Wisconsin
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 8 in the Wisconsin
Margin+11.7competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 8 in the Wisconsin
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Wisconsin teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The program in the valley: UW-Eau Claire went 0-7 in the WIAC in 2025 — the Blugolds are rebuilding and the fanbase is learning patience.
Title DroughtSince 1985 · 41 yrs
Fans hope the rock-bottom 2025 season is a foundation for rebuild, not a new standard.
Game day
The experience
The program in the valley: UW-Eau Claire went 0-7 in the WIAC in 2025 — the Blugolds are rebuilding and the fanbase is learning patience.
Playoff path
UW-Eau Claire sits 3rd in the Wisconsin Conference and 36th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — inside the projected 40-team field on the at-large math.
Wisconsin · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin Platteville | 3-0 | 6-0 | 79.2 |
| 2 | Wisconsin Whitewater | 3-0 | 6-0 | 74.7 |
| 3 | Wisconsin Eau Claire | 2-1 | 5-1 | 63.5 |
| 4 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 2-1 | 3-3 | 53.4 |
| 5 | Wisconsin River Falls | 1-2 | 4-2 | 62.9 |
| 6 | Wisconsin Stout | 1-2 | 3-3 | 61.6 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Oshkosh | 0-3 | 2-4 | 49.0 |
| 8 | Wisconsin Stevens Point | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.8 |
63.5 CFB Zeitgeist#36 of 245 D353.1 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Wisconsin Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 40-0 over Carthage; toughest day 0-38 against Wisconsin Platteville.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site