Next game
vs Wisconsin Platteville
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
J.J. Keller Field at Titan Stadium · series 2-2, last win 2024
UW-Oshkosh 5% to win · our ratings after 6 games
UW-Oshkosh
2-4Wisconsin · J.J. Keller Field at Titan Stadium · 9,800 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-28 at Wisconsin Eau Claire
Our model gave UW-Oshkosh 46% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Wisconsin Platteville 5%, Wisconsin Whitewater 11%, Wisconsin Stout 39%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
UW-Oshkosh's chance to win each game left, from our model: Wisconsin Platteville 5%, Wisconsin Whitewater 11%, Wisconsin Stevens Point 83%, Wisconsin Stout 39%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Wisconsin Platteville · our model 5% UW-Oshkosh
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
UW-Oshkosh · 2026 schedule and results2-4Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #468 to #455
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #468 | #438 | — | Linfield | L 15-41 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #468 | #453 | — | @Alma | W 23-21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #465 | #458 | — | @Coe | W 28-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #462 | #421 | — | Wisconsin La Crosse | L 31-32 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #463 | #418 | — | @Wisconsin River Falls | L 31-34 | 2-3 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #455 | #542 | — | @Wisconsin Eau Claire | L 7-28 | 2-4 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #472 | #405 | Wisconsin Platteville | 2 pm ET5% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #470 | #388 | @Wisconsin Whitewater | 8 pm ET11% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Wisconsin Stevens Point | 2 pm ET83% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Wisconsin Stout | 3 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for UW-Oshkosh, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for UW-Oshkosh: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
UW-Oshkosh has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · UW-Oshkosh · 2026
Range of outcomes · UW-Oshkosh · 2026UW-Oshkosh’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 86% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 9%; 3 wins 50%; 4 wins 36%; 5 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 8 in the Wisconsin
Heart rate1-2white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 8 in the Wisconsin
Margin-4.7outgunnedavg scoring margin7th best margin of 8 in the Wisconsin
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Wisconsin teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The program that's always there: UW-Oshkosh is the WIAC rival that has lived in Whitewater's shadow for 79 years and carries the chronic chip of the little brother who shows up every year.
Title DroughtSince 1985 · 41 yrs
Fans here believe oshkosh's chip is measured in the series record: 31-79-5 all-time against Whitewater. The Titans know they're the more athletic, more consistent program on some years — but the…
Game day
The experience
The program that's always there: UW-Oshkosh is the WIAC rival that has lived in Whitewater's shadow for 79 years and carries the chronic chip of the little brother who shows up every year.
Playoff path
UW-Oshkosh sits 7th in the Wisconsin Conference and 128th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Wisconsin · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin Platteville | 3-0 | 6-0 | 79.2 |
| 2 | Wisconsin Whitewater | 3-0 | 6-0 | 74.7 |
| 3 | Wisconsin Eau Claire | 2-1 | 5-1 | 63.5 |
| 4 | Wisconsin La Crosse | 2-1 | 3-3 | 53.4 |
| 5 | Wisconsin River Falls | 1-2 | 4-2 | 62.9 |
| 6 | Wisconsin Stout | 1-2 | 3-3 | 61.6 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Oshkosh | 0-3 | 2-4 | 49.0 |
| 8 | Wisconsin Stevens Point | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.8 |
49.0 CFB Zeitgeist#128 of 245 D357.5 strength of schedule
Win the Wisconsin Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 28-7 over Coe; toughest day 15-41 against Linfield.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site