Next game
at Simpson (IA)
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Bill Buxton Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Coe College 69% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Coe College
4-2American Rivers · Clark Field · 2,200 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-9 at Buena Vista
Our model gave Coe College 86% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Wartburg 25%, Dubuque 42%, Simpson (IA) 69%
Win out 7% · expect 2.3 of 4 more wins
Coe College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Simpson (IA) 69%, Nebraska Wesleyan 96%, Dubuque 42%, Wartburg 25%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Simpson (IA) · our model 69% Coe College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Coe College · 2026 schedule and results4-2Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 40%.Our rank entering each game: #460 to #475
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #460 | #589 | — | Cornell (IA) | W 49-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #463 | #429 | — | Wisconsin River Falls | L 6-38 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #458 | #465 | — | Wisconsin Oshkosh | L 7-28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #471 | #545 | — | Loras | W 35-14 | 2-2 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #472 | #494 | — | Central College | W 31-13 | 3-2 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #475 | #649 | — | @Buena Vista | W 42-9 | 4-2 | 3-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #477 | #568 | @Simpson (IA) | 2 pm ET69% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #478 | #655 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 2 pm ET96% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Dubuque | 2 pm ET42% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Wartburg | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Coe College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Coe College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Coe College has won three of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Coe College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Coe College · 2026Coe College’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 92% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 14%; 6 wins 44%; 7 wins 34%; 8 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel46rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 8 in the American Rivers
Heart rate0-0some dramain one-score games (0 of 6)6th most one-score games of 8 in the American Rivers
Margin+10.2comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 8 in the American Rivers
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among American Rivers teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Kohawks of Cedar Rapids, a winning Iowa program with 26 conference titles and a .600-plus all-time record, back in the Division III playoffs in three straight seasons.
Standard GapA historically winning small college where the bar is an American…
Coe has 26 conference titles and a .600 all-time mark, and the American Rivers spotlight keeps landing on Wartburg and Central instead of Cedar Rapids.
Game day
The experience
The Kohawks of Cedar Rapids, a winning Iowa program with 26 conference titles and a .600-plus all-time record, back in the Division III playoffs in three straight seasons.
Playoff path
Coe College sits 3rd in the American Rivers Conference and 96th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
American Rivers · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dubuque | 3-0 | 4-2 | 59.5 |
| 2 | Wartburg | 3-0 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 3 | Coe | 3-0 | 4-2 | 53.6 |
| 4 | Simpson (IA) | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 5 | Central College | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.6 |
| 6 | Loras | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.6 |
| 7 | Buena Vista | 0-3 | 1-5 | 36.4 |
| 8 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 0-3 | 0-6 | 34.8 |
53.6 CFB Zeitgeist#96 of 245 D348.3 strength of schedule
Win the American Rivers Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 49-7 over Cornell (IA); toughest day 6-38 against Wisconsin River Falls.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site